CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Looks like the euro gets the taint line to near Kevin and Bob, but it's pretty cold at the surface. Jackpot is further north, up by Dendrite. Maybe 1-3" here for all snow areas. Maybe 4" at the NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Round 1 on euro rather pedestrian for sne....maybe a few/several inches in parts of MA Suppressed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Looks like the euro gets the taint line to near Kevin and Bob, but it's pretty cold at the surface. Jackpot is further north, up by Dendrite. Maybe 1-3" here for all snow areas. Maybe 4" at the NH border. Well I'm heading to ME on Sunday so maybe I'll cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Round 1 on euro rather pedestrian for sne....maybe a few/several inches in parts of MA Round 2 a couple snow showers along extreme s coast ct/ri/ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Well I'm heading to ME on Sunday so maybe I'll cash in. Bob, Looks like a 2-4" deal here per euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Suppressed? Eh....meat grinder really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Suppressed? Weak low, Does not close off until it reaches the GOM, Then it almost trys to retro back in here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Looks like the euro gets the taint line to near Kevin and Bob, but it's pretty cold at the surface. Jackpot is further north, up by Dendrite. Maybe 1-3" here for all snow areas. Maybe 4" at the NH border. is that a snow depth forecast ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 is that a snow depth forecast ? That's the word of the season. You know how every year or season seems to have a catchy word that everyone uses? Well Jerry spread that seed like wild fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Not me. I have no interest in warm sunny weather in February or March. Winter months = winter weather. Plenty of time reserved for warm days later on. And, as luck would have it, it's looking quite wintry for the forseeable future. Kick. Azz. don't get me wrong, I hate it as much as you do. it bites. i just want it to do 1 thing or the other. warm days (60+/-) in Feb can kiss my butt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Wow--instant torch. I think I went up 3* in about 20 minutes. Seriously, pretty close to that. 54.4/44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Pretty toasty at hr 168 on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Wow--instant torch. I think I went up 3* in about 20 minutes. Seriously, pretty close to that. 54.4/44 Fronts closing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Pretty toasty at hr 168 on the euro Yeah that's been the 2 day warm spell we've been mentioning. That's not 100% either, but the pattern supports it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I think those "2 day warm spells" are going to be increasing in frequency as we head into March. I just looked at the teleconnectors and the polar field is collapsing... The AO is forecast to rise well positive and that would mean there is no -PNA compensation as the sun angle begins climbing fast. Yep, this run tries to really drill that point home... We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I think those "2 day warm spells" are going to be increasing in frequency as we head into March. I just looked at the teleconnectors and the polar field is collapsing... The AO is forecast to rise well positive and that would mean there is no -PNA compensation as the sun angle begins climbing fast. Yep, this run tries to really drill that point home... We'll see. Yeah the NAO is not going to be very negative, but the -EPO is really helping things. The PV is pointed right into Quebec, and the west coast trough does retrograde west into the GOA on the ensembles. It sets up just enough ridging out west to keep temps below normal for the area north of 40N..even a little south of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Monday looks pretty decent for plowable snow...seems like its been ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I think those "2 day warm spells" are going to be increasing in frequency as we head into March. I just looked at the teleconnectors and the polar field is collapsing... The AO is forecast to rise well positive and that would mean there is no -PNA compensation as the sun angle begins climbing fast. Yep, this run tries to really drill that point home... We'll see. unless someone can figure out a way to adjust the earth's axial tilt in the next few weeks, i'd tend to agree with you on this one john. in fact, i'd go so far as to say it will get more frequent as we move into april and may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Yeah that's been the 2 day warm spell we've been mentioning. That's not 100% either, but the pattern supports it. Scott, I tell you what though, Its not that far away from a long duration frozen event if it had more of an east component Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Not the best of Euro runs today overall..but who cares...the rest of the guidance does look good for a decent snow event on Monday..so may as well roll with concensus. Doubtful that 2 day mild spell late week is anything close to this current one. Best part is we all keep snowpack and snowbanks and add to them on Monday and then we have a great March seemingly locked. Noone plays golf..or able to do anything outside until mid april except winter type stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Man for the warministas who want snowmelt and spring weather...those day 9-10 Euro maps are something you don't want.. That's a long duration cold, snowy pattern setting up late Feb and March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 unless someone can figure out a way to adjust the earth's axial tilt in the next few weeks, i'd tend to agree with you on this one john. in fact, i'd go so far as to say it will get more frequent as we move into april and may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 unless someone can figure out a way to adjust the earth's axial tilt in the next few weeks, i'd tend to agree with you on this one john. in fact, i'd go so far as to say it will get more frequent as we move into april and may. Well duh - obviously. I'm speaking in context excluding seasonal change. That statement would have been valid on Christmas Eve given these teleconnectors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 The next two threats aren't looking all that hot. Some of you guys were kind of rough on that fella yesterday who's not buying into the snowy conclusion to the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Well duh - obviously. I'm speaking in context excluding seasonal change. That statement would have been valid on Christmas Eve given these teleconnectors. No offense..you put way too much stock into modelled teleconnectors... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 We need that second storm to come north. 1-3" would be nice though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 No offense..you put way too much stock into modelled teleconnectors... i know, i'm wrong all the time - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 We need that second storm to come north. 1-3" would be nice though. It's a one shot deal. We're not getting both. What looks most likely is the first one is all of SNE shot at 3-6 or 4-7... 2nd one will stay south overall. Euro setup would argue for me qpf than it's generating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 i know, i'm wrong all the time - Give yourself some credit, only slightly less than all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Well duh - obviously sometimes i forget that a lot of the posts on this board are meant to be light-hearted. try harder to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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