WeatherX Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 ...not that there's anything wrong with that... Join me in the fun...It's better than reading the Zucker,,,,,,,,(I love Nate by the way) just not now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Join me in the fun...It's better than reading the Zucker,,,,,,,,(I love Nate by the way) just not now... Zucker is reveling in his 400 feet elevation -- which is like being on the 40th floor of an apartment building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 06z NAM definitely a touch colder and drier through 30 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Colder and further south-west at 33 hours. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 One of those rare storms where it is mostly rain for Chicago and mostly snow for New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Zucker is reveling in his 400 feet elevation -- which is like being on the 40th floor of an apartment building Alex......I have to tell you.....grab a hitch on the plane back to SE Asia with us.....Nate is all good......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It's extremely close...but most of the OKX CWA looks to be snow on this run. 700-850-925mb temperatures don't go above freezing. We'll see soundings shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 03z ETA much farther north with the second event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Join me in the fun...It's better than reading the Zucker,,,,,,,,(I love Nate by the way) just not now... She sings very well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It's extremely close...but most of the OKX CWA looks to be snow on this run. 700-850-925mb temperatures don't go above freezing. We'll see soundings shortly. Looks like that further south idea I talked about awhile back is coming to fruition. Where is this exiting the coast, John? Around ACY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Looks like that further south idea I talked about awhile back is coming to fruition. Where is this exiting the coast, John? Around ACY? We'll have the high resolution images in a few minutes, but yeah I'd say around there. It's definitely south of it's 00z run..this run seems very similar to the 00z SPC WRF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Nice to see that 0 line staying south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Alex..here's a great image of the surface low exiting the coast. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/nam/20110220/06/nam_namer_033_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Also keep in mind that at that hour, precipitation is almost over. It's definitely almost all snow for everybody in this forum. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/nam/20110220/06/nam_namer_033_sim_radar.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Much farther north with the second event through 48 hours compared to it's 00z run--and better developed, too. Probably not going to be far enough for most of us, but it's definitely a big improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Send in the Clowns... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This is all I need tonight---another awesome run with the overnight crew. You guys rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Much farther north with the second event through 48 hours compared to it's 00z run--and better developed, too. Probably not going to be far enough for most of us, but it's definitely a big improvement. Weird that "Option D" looks to be happening here-- opposite trends on both waves, both favorable for us, like Feb 1994. Maybe Miketroll was onto something -- or more like on something lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Send in the Clowns... Yeah, that's the 00z NMM I believe. The 06z NAM is actually a good bit colder than that (not worth much, but just noting). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Light snow into NYC at 51 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 51-54 hours a decent hit up to Philly--very sharp cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 By the way Alex at 33 hours you can see the surface low exiting..it jumps pretty far east actually after that. It's been a while since i've seen a WAA type event track this far south---wonder if the NAM is pulling it's usual shenanigans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 John, William, Nate, the rest of the guys, etc.-- seems like when we all get together in the late night, good things happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 John, William, Nate, the rest of the guys, etc.-- seems like when we all get together in the late night, good things happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 By the way Alex at 33 hours you can see the surface low exiting..it jumps pretty far east actually after that. It's been a while since i've seen a WAA type event track this far south---wonder if the NAM is pulling it's usual shenanigans. Im suspicious too, but its good that most of the guidance is trending south-- so hopefully this isnt just a blip lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 These NSSL precip maps are really annoying...the 12z run will be out before they update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Haha I know, oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Looks like Wave 1 has a sharp cut off in CT, so matter what someone gets screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This is all I need tonight---another awesome run with the overnight crew. You guys rule. Lock in 4-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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