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2/20 -2/22 Storm Threat Discussion


Zelocita Weather

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Join me in the fun...It's better than reading the Zucker,,,,,,,,(I love Nate by the way) just not now...

She sings very well...

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It's extremely close...but most of the OKX CWA looks to be snow on this run. 700-850-925mb temperatures don't go above freezing. We'll see soundings shortly.

Looks like that further south idea I talked about awhile back is coming to fruition. Where is this exiting the coast, John? Around ACY?

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Looks like that further south idea I talked about awhile back is coming to fruition. Where is this exiting the coast, John? Around ACY?

We'll have the high resolution images in a few minutes, but yeah I'd say around there. It's definitely south of it's 00z run..this run seems very similar to the 00z SPC WRF.

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Much farther north with the second event through 48 hours compared to it's 00z run--and better developed, too. Probably not going to be far enough for most of us, but it's definitely a big improvement.

Weird that "Option D" looks to be happening here-- opposite trends on both waves, both favorable for us, like Feb 1994. Maybe Miketroll was onto something -- or more like on something lol.

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By the way Alex at 33 hours you can see the surface low exiting..it jumps pretty far east actually after that. It's been a while since i've seen a WAA type event track this far south---wonder if the NAM is pulling it's usual shenanigans.

Im suspicious too, but its good that most of the guidance is trending south-- so hopefully this isnt just a blip lol.

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