Moneyman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Yup. 2nd low is weaker so far as well. EURO had a 1000 mb low in OK at hr 90 on the 12z, 0z hr 78 has a 1004 low in the same area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 The rapid consensus is almost scary. SREF/Euro/GFS/CMC/UK cluster is amazingly close after so much flip-flopping the last 3 days. NAM is the last outlier. Still room for some changes though--but definitely far more confident than even one day ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 amazing how it just finds a little nook to cut.. Fook this this event.. Wash the grime away. On to March lol. Knew i was stuck in no mans land days ago.. Good luck to those with wave two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 amazing how it just finds a little nook to cut.. Fook this this event.. Wash the grime away. On to March lol. It's one run, but fook 2ms above zero, who gives a dam if its 40s in feb...does absolutely zilch for me....I have the March-November for highs above 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 bleh Pretty much. Note the point of entry into the plains. Rarely do we get a snow event with a system entering the plains near or north of the KS/NE line and or near/north of i70 in KS. Not unless it is a clipper dropping in from the NW/Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I hate being on the border one way or the other. Basically, my area is right on the edge between snow/rain/freezing rain etc. 2nd wave is a bit weaker but gives N. IND some snow it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 What does the second wave do with that 999 in central IN...my accu pro data is not loading now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Any of the Euro guys/gals have precip numbers for MSP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Pretty much. Note the point of entry into the plains. Rarely do we get a snow event with a system entering the plains near or north of the KS/NE line and or near/north of i70 in KS. Not unless it is a clipper dropping in from the NW/Canada. Yeah the point of entry just blows unless it remains weak and bowls w/e more less. Bout ready to throw in the towel. Far southern MI gets clipped with the 2 part. Who knows what the euro shows tomorrow.. Not its best storm but a tough setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Rain? For system 1. Yes. System 2 looks good especially out that way in se MI/near state line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 MSP is in the 1-1.25 qpf range. Same as Western/Central Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Any of the Euro guys/gals have precip numbers for MSP? like 1.13" i believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Any of the Euro guys/gals have precip numbers for MSP? 1-1.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 For system 1. Yes. System 2 looks good especially out that way in se MI/near state line. I knew the first system would be suspect. 2nd system could work out around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Any of the Euro guys/gals have precip numbers for MSP? 1.15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 MSP is in the 1-1.25 qpf range. Same as Western/Central Wisconsin. Thanks. like 1.13" i believe Thanks. 1-1.25" Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 1.15" Haha thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Looks like .50 for you, mnweather.... NW side of a storm is the place to be a lot of the time in a cutter. You always get scraps at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 What does the second wave do with that 999 in central IN...my accu pro data is not loading now. Moves east towards D.C. About 0.25" for two 6hr periods for DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 System 2: PTK: 0.24 DET: 0.38 DTW: 0.46 TOL: 0.72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 System 2: PTK: 0.24 DET: 0.38 DTW: 0.46 TOL: 0.72 Has it been trending more north with every run with the 2nd system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Has it been trending more north with every run with the 2nd system? It came south from the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 1.15" Quit hiding mr anonymous. We needed to yahoo will this one south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Has it been trending more north with every run with the 2nd system? This is a step down from the 0.81 QPF for DET from the 12Z but a giant step up from the 00Z (yesterday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 It came south from the 12z run. thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Any of the Euro guys/gals have precip numbers for MSP? Firmly in the 1.0 to 1.25 zone which is the highest zone up that way. Basically all of S.MN over to Green bay/UP of MI line is in that zone. The .75 to 1 inch line runs across N.IA to near Madison and Milwaukee and northern MI. The other zone of 1 inch to 1.25 runs along and north of i70 in IN/OH up into S.MI/i94. With 1.25+ from near Ft. Wayne across all of nothern Ohio and a small bullseye of 1.50 near Mansfield. .75 to 1 inch from Muskegon ese to the northern Detroit Burbs/Buffalo. .50 to .75 for the Toronto guys. Most of the QPF with this is from system 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Harry, do you have the 2M temps and stuff by any chance? I think it would be snow to rain here, although I think it's close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/13609-feb-19th-22nd-winter-storm-part-2/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Harry, do you have the 2M temps and stuff by any chance? I think it would be snow to rain here, although I think it's close. SUN 12Z 20-FEB -2.1 0.3 1022 78 97 0.01 558 540 SUN 18Z 20-FEB 0.1 -3.2 1012 86 99 0.41 554 545 MON 00Z 21-FEB 0.0 0.2 1004 92 79 0.27 550 548 MON 06Z 21-FEB -1.1 0.9 1002 93 25 0.19 545 544 MON 12Z 21-FEB -3.4 -4.7 1007 87 21 0.02 542 536 MON 18Z 21-FEB -3.8 -7.3 1010 75 28 0.01 541 533 TUE 00Z 22-FEB -5.9 -10.4 1013 79 73 0.02 537 527 TUE 06Z 22-FEB -7.8 -13.1 1019 76 95 0.02 536 522 TUE 12Z 22-FEB -13.3 -11.2 1025 84 67 0.01 541 522 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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