daddylonglegs Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 GFS sends the temps to the upper 40Fs here...all rain.. Might as well cancel this thread if the euro shows anything like this ...unless we have posters in International Falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Back to what the GFS showed 2 days ago. A decent ice storm, except with this novel first wave that the models weren't showing back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 GFS sends the temps to the upper 40Fs here...all rain.. Might as well cancel this thread if the euro shows anything like this ...unless we have posters in International Falls OR pay attention to the second wave for the posters SE of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Yeah, like I said it's more north (closer to 5") versus south (closer to 2"). Our snowdepth at 84 hour on the GFS is 2-3" and 3-5" further north, not including our current snow. It disappears after 90hr. Yeah after I looked again it looks a little better for an inch or 2 or tree north if all the stars aligned right (good luck) in MI. Gotta about 6 hrs and very little precip before it gets washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Back to what the GFS showed 2 days ago. A decent ice storm, except with this novel first wave that the models weren't showing back then. rain event here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Yesterday was worried about suppression, today worried about too much cutting. Is it too much to ask for a track in the middle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 From to then to what is next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Man first it was too far south with everyone wanting to jump off a bridge now its too far north with everyone wanting to jump off the bridge. I think lets wait a few days before we jump off of anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Back to what the GFS showed 2 days ago. A decent ice storm, except with this novel first wave that the models weren't showing back then. was i ever wrong Stebo nailed it saying the PV could interact thats why im not paid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Have we had any storms this year where there was just one area of low pressure? The flow has been so progressive with the Pacific spitting out storms and then there's been so much dry air ripping the storms apart. I haven't grown up in the Midwest, so maybe it's typical for that to happen in this area of the country? I thought the whole "everything needs to come together just right" was just an east coast thing. Still trying to figure out the climate in the Midwest... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I still fully expect to get rained on. In fact, I would prefer that to a "cement snow" type of accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 This is just the nature of the weather pattern here. A lot of variability--all the different scenarios need to be considered here since there is a lot of potential energy waiting to be processed by the atmosphere. When you have two significant moving parts and an amped low level baro zone--these kind of flip-flops will happen--but if consideration of the environment is taken--then it isn't a surprise to anyone. This is why weather is so exciting too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 EURO is a big snowstorm for most of Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 12z GGEM shows a nice front end thumping for Milwaukee and Detroit too. 4-6" based on QPF (assumng 10:1 ratio) before the transition to ice and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Winner winner chicken dinner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 EURO has a nice thump of snow for WI on the first wave, and now has a 1000 MB LOW in East-Central IL at hr 102. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 EURO is a big snowstorm for most of Wisconsin. Is that with the first wave (Sat night to Sunday night) or the second wave (Monday)? Or is there just one wave of precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 HR 108: 1000 MB LOW in E. IND. MOD-HVY snow in WI/N.IL/MI, N. IND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Total QPF in Madison at HR 108 (more to come) is nearing 1.5 and it looks to be majority snow I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 Total QPF in Madison at HR 108 (more to come) is nearing 1.5 and it looks to be majority snow I would think. I smell this being one of those Madison dream Milwaukee screw storms that have recently become more common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Just a little shift south and I could maybe get a decent ice event with the first wave of precip... kinna due for one. Save post 1,000 for tonights Euro giving me 12" of paste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 HR 108: 1000 MB LOW in E. IND. MOD-HVY snow in WI/N.IL/MI, N. IND while the 12z GFS has it in southern OK along the red river, great spread lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 And completing another run of ridiculous model mayhem.....the Chicago-Detroit corridor either has everything from a dry wedge between two storms (GFS) to a regionwide massive snowstorm of 12"+ (EURO). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 HR 114: 1000 MB LOW SE Ohio, lt-mod precip over WI, MI, N. IND, N. OH. HR 120: LT-MOD precip in MI. Total QPF for both systems: N. MN: .1-.25 C. MN: .5-.75 SC and S MN: .75-1 E. NE: .75-.1 W. Iowa: .75-1 C. Iowa: 1-1.25 E. Iowa: 1.5-1.75 W. WI: 1.5-1.75 C. WI: 1.25 S. WI: 1.75-2.00 N. IL: 1.5-2.00 (areas near WI/IL border 1.75-2.00) N. IND: 1-1.25 W. MI: 1.75-2.00 S. MI: 1.25-1.5 E. MI: 1-1.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I smell this being one of those Madison dream Milwaukee screw storms that have recently become more common. Madison and Milwaukee are in the same qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 ORD ends up with 1.48" liquid with .67" of that frozen precip. that second sfc low really helps us in the snow department. SUN 18Z 20-FEB 3.0 7.0 1010 88 72 0.29 559 551 MON 00Z 21-FEB 2.1 7.3 1005 97 85 0.19 557 553 MON 06Z 21-FEB 0.4 5.0 1006 96 87 0.25 555 550 MON 12Z 21-FEB -1.2 1.8 1008 89 55 0.08 552 545 MON 18Z 21-FEB -2.1 -0.3 1006 89 100 0.21 549 545 TUE 00Z 22-FEB -3.1 -6.6 1004 90 93 0.38 539 536 TUE 06Z 22-FEB -6.4 -12.7 1010 87 50 0.08 536 528 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 And completing another run of ridiculous model mayhem.....the Chicago-Detroit corridor either has everything from a dry wedge between two storms (GFS) to a regionwide massive snowstorm of 12"+ (EURO). Can't complain though, all of them gives us at least advisory criteria snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 TS, can you post the output for MKE? Just wanna see how they would do in terms of temps etc. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Detroit is "Destroyed" by the combination of the two waves: First Wave 0.77 QPF...ice/heavy snow Second Wave: 0.82 QPF...Heavy Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 And completing another run of ridiculous model mayhem.....the Chicago-Detroit corridor either has everything from a dry wedge between two storms (GFS) to a regionwide massive snowstorm of 12"+ (EURO). Yeah, no kidding. I suppose I'd be best served taking about a 24 hour break and checking in again tomorrow at this time, unless the thread reaches 50 pages before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.