flwxwatcher45 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Dr Gray seems pretty Bullish of a hurricane impacting Florida this year. http://landfalldisplay.geolabvirtualmaps.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Dr Gray seems pretty Bullish of a hurricane impacting Florida this year. http://landfalldispl...irtualmaps.com/ Nice, he has Broward County at 55% chance of a named storm making landfall in region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Nice, he has Broward County at 55% chance of a named storm making landfall in region. I figured you might like his take on a Florida impact this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flweathernerd Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Not sure if I want a major cane hitting here in Ft. Lauderdale but a Cat 1 would be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 71.3% chance of a hurricane hitting, 33.8% of a major hitting. Really liking these odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 71.3% chance of a hurricane hitting, 33.8% of a major hitting. Really liking these odds. Yes, that and some chatter on the internet from some other Mets ,who also think Florida could be under the gun this year, leads me to believe Florida's relative calm may end this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 I also see 1999 is an analog year for this year.. I remember Hurricane Floyd. It was a mammoth storm and covered a huge area. Even though it passed about 100 miles offshore the Florida East Coast ,I had some squalls from it all the way here in Lakeland . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 I figured you might like his take on a Florida impact this year. Haha, yea I love it. Been here since Nov. of 2008 and Bonnie does not count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Yes, that and some chatter on the internet from some other Mets ,who also think Florida could be under the gun this year, leads me to believe Florida's relative calm may end this year. Makes sense. Wilma is the last one in 2005 right? I don't want an Andrew, but a nice Cat.1 storm would be cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Makes sense. Wilma is the last one in 2005 right? I don't want an Andrew, but a nice Cat.1 storm would be cool. Yes, Wima was the last Hurricane to strike Florida. I hear you about not wanting an Andrew type storm. A lot of the area hit by Andrew never have completly recovered. Like you said.. A nice Cat 1 storm will do nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Hard to believe a little over a month and a half till the season begins. While a Cat 1 would be a nice I'll stick with a strong tropical storm. Much less chance of damage. Besides, 50mph guts are pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Hard to believe a little over a month and a half till the season begins. While a Cat 1 would be a nice I'll stick with a strong tropical storm. Much less chance of damage. Besides, 50mph guts are pretty cool. Your no fun.. Yea about 7 weeks to go until showtime for rainy season and hurricane season . I also see the Gulf is starting to warm up quite nicely . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted April 8, 2011 Author Share Posted April 8, 2011 Yes, Wima was the last Hurricane to strike Florida. I hear you about not wanting an Andrew type storm. A lot of the area hit by Andrew never have completly recovered. Like you said.. A nice Cat 1 storm will do nicely. Andrew drove the Cleveland Indians right out of Homestead. Gone went their brand new facility there, gone went the Indians. Spring training baseball on the East Coast of FL is approaching pitiful today and Andrew can be credited with helping out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Andrew drove the Cleveland Indians right out of Homestead. Gone went their brand new facility there, gone went the Indians. Spring training baseball on the East Coast of FL is approaching pitiful today and Andrew can be credited with with helping out! Your Right.. I forgot about the Indians brand new Spring Training facility. Makes me wonder now that the Marlins are building a brand new stadium 'if that's he curse that brings Andrew the sequel into South Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Looks like some near record Temps for me in the Lakeland area the next few days. I will be pushing the lower 90's . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted April 9, 2011 Author Share Posted April 9, 2011 Looks like some near record Temps for me in the Lakeland area the next few days. I will be pushing the lower 90's . You can feel the change no doubt. I got back to Port Saint Lucie from a week in NJ yesterday and the first thing I noticed was the humidity, We are getting closer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 You can feel the change no doubt. I got back to Port Saint Lucie from a week in NJ yesterday and the first thing I noticed was the humidity, We are getting closer! Yes, the humidity has increased and it starting to feel like summer. With the Gulf waters warming up so nicely, maybe that will help an earlier start to the sea breeze driven t-storms this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 Looks like a chance of some Thunderstorms for Florida on Tuesday.. DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0217 AM CDT SUN APR 10 2011 VALID 121200Z - 131200Z ...FLORIDA... AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED ACROSS THE ERN SEABOARD TUESDAY WITH THE SRN END OF THE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE INTO NCNTRL FLORIDA AROUND MIDDAY. SFC HEATING AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD ALLOW FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM INITIATION. THIS DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE AT THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A MID-LEVEL JET AND THE JET SHOULD CREATE ENOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT. LIMITED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD KEEP THE THREAT VERY ISOLATED. UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS WITH ABOUT 25 KT OF FLOW AND STEEP LAPSE RATES AT LOW-LEVELS SHOULD MAKE WIND DAMAGE THE MAIN THREAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 Looks like I'll be in Orlando for about two months this summer, so I will be hanging out in this thread starting late May! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 Looks like I'll be in Orlando for about two months this summer, so I will be hanging out in this thread starting late May! You will be able to enjoy the late Afternoon and Evening storms!!!. Hopefully we will have an active summer!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 You will be able to enjoy the late Afternoon and Evening storms!!!. Hopefully we will have an active summer!! Maybe its just me but it seems Orlando and points E and SE get some monster seasbreeze storms in the summer. Could be I'm just jealous up in Ocala but being right in the middle of the state we usually get the storms as they are in the developing stage. As they move west, or east, they grow into these huge storms. I just look at the radar with envy sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 Maybe its just me but it seems Orlando and points E and SE get some monster seasbreeze storms in the summer. Could be I'm just jealous up in Ocala but being right in the middle of the state we usually get the storms as they are in the developing stage. As they move west, or east, they grow into these huge storms. I just look at the radar with envy sometimes. I know what you mean .. sometimes it does seem that way.. Since I have lived in Lakeland since 1996 , each summer has been very different for the Seabreeze T-storm season.. The last few years have been pretty poor , hoping this year the action picks up for my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 Funny how some of you are just now starting to see heat and humidity. It's been like that down here almost a month now. Crazy what 2 or 300 miles does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 Funny how some of you are just now starting to see heat and humidity. It's been like that down here almost a month now. Crazy what 2 or 300 miles does. I know what you mean.. When I lived in South Florida, sometimes it would stay humid through almost all the winter months, maybe february not being as humid. When I moved to central Florida, it felt like a change of seasons the first few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 I know what you mean.. When I lived in South Florida, sometimes it would stay humid through almost all the winter months, maybe february not being as humid. When I moved to central Florida, it felt like a change of seasons the first few years. It's been warm all winter. I think the last sub 50 temp was in the middle of January. I might have put the heat on 1 night in December, I forget, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 It's been warm all winter. I think the last sub 50 temp was in the middle of January. I might have put the heat on 1 night in December, I forget, lol. Yea, it seems once you get North of Lake Okeechobee or so it's a whole different climate. Your right, the whole time I lived down there I used the heat maybe 3 or 4 times in 4 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted April 11, 2011 Author Share Posted April 11, 2011 Yea, it seems once you get North of Lake Okeechobee or so it's a whole different climate. Your right, the whole time I lived down there I used the heat maybe 3 or 4 times in 4 years. I am pretty much right at the very top of the lake when you draw a straight eastward line (St Lucie County). I work in (north to south) Broward, Palm Beach, Martin, St. Lucie, Indian River, and ocassionaly Okeechobee counties. There is noticeable difference between Broward and most of the time Palm Beach County. "True" South Florida is just a different climate in the dry season. The wet season pretty much the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted April 11, 2011 Author Share Posted April 11, 2011 Funny how some of you are just now starting to see heat and humidity. It's been like that down here almost a month now. Crazy what 2 or 300 miles does. Not even 2 or 300. I am 85 miles north of the center of Fort Lauderdale. Just last Friday we had to kick the AC on. A huge difference for such a relatively short distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted April 13, 2011 Share Posted April 13, 2011 Nice to see the talk of Sea Breeze Showers and Storms this time of the year in the Local AFD'S. A snippet from this mornings Tampa AFD for early next week. THE RETURN FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL ALLOW MOISTURE TO SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS (POPS 20 PERCENT) A GOOD BET ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS EACH AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 HRRR (which performed excellently yesterday in NC) is quite bullish down here this afternoon. Looks like a pocket of cold air aloft combined with slightly-more-than-climo speed shear may allow for a couple strong storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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