CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Well to be fair you also expected a near record snowless winter and torch Jan and Feb. so this may be a good sign If by torch January you mean +1 on the month, then yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 If by torch January you mean +1 on the month, then yeah. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/115-terrible-torch-winter-ahead/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Well to be fair you also expected a near record snowless winter and torch Jan and Feb. so this may be a good sign Zing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 The PVD measurement is perplexing. Gonna check some sites near there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 http://www.americanw...h-winter-ahead/ I love that thread. Probably one of the better threads I've made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Wow, did not realize it was weighted that much towards the endOf course I forget it is only Feb 15 and not Feb 28... Dave, is this years depth and the length of the snowpack above normal or is it fairly typical for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 I love that thread. Probably one of the better threads I've made. Well when your winter forecast was for terrible torch winter ahead and torch jan and Feb and they end up 1,000 times totally opposite of that..well it has to be bumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 The PVD measurement is perplexing. Gonna check some sites near there. Woonsocket RI has 48.8" but they are missing the 1/21 event which probably dropped like 5-6"...and also the "appetizer" event the day before the 1/26-27 event which was probably around 3". Their December data looks a shade low too. So they are likely closer to 60" or so. The PVD number does look a bit low but not by a huge margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Dave, is this years depth and the length of the snowpack above normal or is it fairly typical for you? I have had deeper snowpack but I don't ever remember having a deep robust pack like this for this long. Only at 21" or so after a high of 29". But we usually lose a deep one then get it back I've only lived in my house since 1998 though and never really measured before 2 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Zing. I'd give that 2 snaps up in a circle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I'd give that 2 snaps up in a circle It's gonna get crazy again Mark. Looking forward to more snow after the intermission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 14.1F. Winterlicious Almost went skiing tonight. Sick family FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 agree. you are like jekyll and hyde. Well, I see the light at the end of the tunnel.....comming off of that epic stretch and seeing nothing but bleh for weeks was disheartening.....now we are almost back in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 14.1F. Winterlicious Almost went skiing tonight. Sick family FTL That video makes me want to go skiing on the other thread. I wonder how wawa will be after the torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 It's not out of the question the pattern could go Zucker like the 00z GFS showed. That's sort of a concern from me, but my gut says that it may be more on the wintry side...hopefully it's right. I'm not concerned at all......absolutely no way this March, this season sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Honestly this post is funny! For the last 3 years you've been in a HECS or go home mode and now this Well, I hadn't experienced one since Jan 2005...now I have; funny how that works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 That video makes me want to go skiing on the other thread. I wonder how wawa will be after the torch? Terrible. There will be no snow left, only rocks and grass and frisbees. Tell everyone and don't look at the webcams Seriously, I was skiing there in April last year and they never had as much snow as they do now. They stockpile it very well. If I am not puking I plan on going Weds, Friday, Sunday, Tuesday, etc etc etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 i don't see any signs of dec/jan type wx coming back ec/gfs/ensembles all show a big PV in northern canada with the horribly placed PAC ridge not going anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Terrible. There will be no snow left, only rocks and grass and frisbees. Tell everyone and don't look at the webcams Seriously, I was skiing there in April last year and they never had as much snow as they do now. They stockpile it very well. If I am not puking I plan on going Weds, Friday, Sunday, Tuesday, etc etc etc About 1.5 hours from here. My daughter loved it. I'd like to have her take a "sick" day and go one day this week but Friday may be tough with the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Yeah I like the setup more and more as we get closer. Its still a long ways out though...about a week to go. But with the blocking trending more impressive, we have an increased just of having the system go underneath us for a snowier solution vs over us or NW of us which would have significant taint and warmer scenario. Shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 i don't see any signs of dec/jan type wx coming back ec/gfs/ensembles all show a big PV in northern canada with the horribly placed PAC ridge not going anywhere 100% agree but I think there's a bunch privately that are holding out hope. What I see is mild/cold oscillating and maybe we get lucky and get some snow producers versus rainers. I was thinking last week I'd see about 15" more snow here this year, down to 10" now looking at the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 i don't see any signs of dec/jan type wx coming back ec/gfs/ensembles all show a big PV in northern canada with the horribly placed PAC ridge not going anywhere Sh**....I was expecting 160" this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 100% agree but I think there's a bunch privately that are holding out hope. What I see is mild/cold oscillating and maybe we get lucky and get some snow producers versus rainers. I was thinking last week I'd see about 15" more snow here this year, down to 10" now looking at the pattern. Sh**....I was expecting 160" this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Sh**....I was expecting 160" this season. i was responding to the thread title, for the most part what are you expecting, anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Exactly....folks are falling into the trap of "go coastal or go home"......tainted events count, too and it's a reality that we will have to accept with the RNA so robust and the NAO waning at times. I mean, say we get one good coastal for 10", then maybe four 2-5" tainters.....I'll take 18-30" more in March. Possible March goes bigger than that, but I'd say that the aformentioned scenario is a good middle ground for expectations to be set. i was responding to the thread title, for the most part what are you expecting, anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I don't think there is one person in SNE who thinks that we have a chance in hell at repeating January in March......no one expects another 50" month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Blizzy tends to get a little emotionally invested in thread titles... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 i don't see any signs of dec/jan type wx coming back ec/gfs/ensembles all show a big PV in northern canada with the horribly placed PAC ridge not going anywhere that isn't what people are talking about in here. more focused on a gradient pattern with some blocking to help out. the last prediction you made was insisting the storm on the 8th would no way no way drop 6-10 in nne. the next day it dropped 6-12 with thundersnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 that isn't what people are talking about in here. more focused on a gradient pattern with some blocking to help out. the last prediction you made was insisting the storm on the 8th would no way no way drop 6-10 in nne. the next day it dropped 6-12 with thundersnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 that isn't what people are talking about in here. more focused on a gradient pattern with some blocking to help out. the last prediction you made was insisting the storm on the 8th would no way no way drop 6-10 in nne. the next day it dropped 6-12 with thundersnow 15" in march after getting 60-90" dec-early feb is returning with a vengeance? and my prediction of not that much snow was predicated on the system not being that far north... they got into good ratios up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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