CT Rain Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 It may be almost time to lock snow Next monday/Tuesday with everything except GFS dropping snow on us The Euro just is relentless with the snow and cold. oh wait, it's maybe an inch of snow on Tuesday morning followed by moderating temps at or just above avg for the rest of the week lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Euro ensembles show a robust snow event.. huh? they show a flat wave that gets squashed nobody east of western pa gets more than .10" liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 There's always next year, haha.Where in Southbridge do you live? Your elevation leads me to believe it is right on the MA/CT border.... Lebanon Hill Road area? My family has a summer place right over the CT border in Woodstock and its at 750ft right off Lebanon Hill Rd. Im on the CT border but off of 169, about 1 mile due east of your family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Euro ensembles show a robust snow event.. For the MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2011 Author Share Posted February 15, 2011 Euro ensembles are further north and warmer than the OP run which isn't a surprise considering we didn't even really get into any precip on the OP run...given how suppressed it was. Verbatim the ensemble mean is a nice snow event track for most of SNE. For Ryan and Forky.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 For Ryan and Forky..FTL Well forky is right that the qpf on the ensembles is very little E of the OH Valley...but that is mainly due to timing differences and model spread...I said "nice snow event track" in the post you quoted. Given the time frame we are working with, it doesn't mean a whole lot yet obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2011 Author Share Posted February 15, 2011 Well forky is right that the qpf on the ensembles is very little E of the OH Valley...but that is mainly due to timing differences and model spread...I said "nice snow event track" in the post you quoted. Given the time frame we are working with, it doesn't mean a whole lot yet obviously. Right, but he obviously knows that the mean showing that amount of qpf at this time frame is a very good sign. Ryan must have been one of two things 1) talking about the op Euro or 2) Drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Right, but he obviously knows that the mean showing that amount of qpf at this time frame is a very good sign. Ryan must have been one of two things 1) talking about the op Euro or 2) Drunk You are firing on all cylinders, its truly a pleasure to sit back and watch. Perfect night outside, no wind and temps dropping like a rock. 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Right, but he obviously knows that the mean showing that amount of qpf at this time frame is a very good sign. Ryan must have been one of two things 1) talking about the op Euro or 2) Drunk op Euro... didn't look at the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Boston season total 71.2 normal to date 27.5 Hartford. 79 .9. 31 .5 Providence. 47. 23 .5 Worcester. 77 .8. 39 .6 In case anyone was wondering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Boston season total 71.2 normal to date 27.5 Hartford. 79 .9. 31 .5 Providence. 47. 23 .5 Worcester. 77 .8. 39 .6 In case anyone was wondering Man is that impressive... 200% of normal across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 Boston season total 71.2 normal to date 27.5 Hartford. 79 .9. 31 .5 Providence. 47. 23 .5 Worcester. 77 .8. 39 .6 In case anyone was wondering BDL is over 80 I think though it might be lower since they revised one of the Norlun event totals PVD has either undermeasured or gotten severely screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Boston season total 71.2 normal to date 27.5 Hartford. 79 .9. 31 .5 Providence. 47. 23 .5 Worcester. 77 .8. 39 .6 In case anyone was wondering And BOX corrected the BDL too... so the 79.9 is pretty accurate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Man is that impressive... 200% of normal across the board. If you listen to some here you would think it is just OK, the amazing thing is the persistent depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 BDL is over 80 I think though it might be lower since they revised one of the Norlun event totals PVD has either undermeasured or gotten severely screwed BDL is officially 79.9 now with the revision Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 If you listen to some here you would think it is just OK, the amazing thing is the persistent depth. No kidding. BDR has definitely beaten their record for most days >12" OTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 BDL is officially 79.9 now with the revision You think they'll see 20 more? Gotta like the chances with the progged pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 BDL is over 80 I think though it might be lower since they revised one of the Norlun event totals PVD has either undermeasured or gotten severely screwed I would believe the PVD number. Warwick is near the water (actually on it) and they have not been as good as further inland (they rarely are) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 Hard to believe BDL is ahead of ORH.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 You think they'll see 20 more? Gotta like the chances with the progged pattern The progged pattern has me a bit discouraged for any big snow through the end of February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 The progged pattern has me a bit discouraged for any big snow through the end of February I'm not necc. talking big snow..but there look to be several chances of 4-8 type events..and then things get better for big dogs in March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Hard to believe BDL is ahead of ORH.. Well their Boxing day measurement is still bogus, so they might be behind by a little in reality. Also, ORH is actually at 78.6" (they havent entered in the 0.8" for 12/23 yet, but they did correct it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 And BOX corrected the BDL too... so the 79.9 is pretty accurate! Those numbers came off the CLI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 14/-3, Back below zero tonight. The 'Torch' Boogeyman looking less and less toothy. A couple cloudy days in the low-mid 40's. Eh. Tonight Increasing Clouds Lo -3 °FWednesday Mostly Sunny Hi 37 °FWednesday Night Increasing Clouds Lo 23 °FThursday Slight Chc Showers Hi 42 °FThursday Night Chance Showers Lo 34 °FFriday Chance Showers Hi 46 °FFriday Night Chance Rain/Snow Lo 28 °FSaturday Breezy Hi 33 °FSaturday Night Breezy Lo 13 ° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I would think that for MBY I am just a bit above normal. Not close to 200% For some this has been an amazing season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Those numbers came off the CLI Yeah that's what I mean.... the 79.9 includes the revised measurement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I'm not necc. talking big snow..but there look to be several chances of 4-8 type events..and then things get better for big dogs in March I am not expecting anything more than a 1-3 kinda deal through 2/28 with near or just above normal temps on avg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I would think that for MBY I am just a bit above normal. Not close to 200% For some this has been an amazing season Normal for this time of year for YBY is probably about 50" with another 25-28" to go. The "normal" value on the CLI for ORH is wrong anyway since its from the '71-'00 contaminated data set with all the late 90s missing data (but still counted in the averages)...its probably closer to 44-45" than 39.6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Normal for this time of year for YBY is probably about 50" with another 25-28" to go. The "normal" value on the CLI for ORH is wrong anyway since its from the '71-'00 contaminated data set with all the late 90s missing data (but still counted in the averages)...its probably closer to 44-45" than 39.6". Wow, did not realize it was weighted that much towards the end Of course I forget it is only Feb 15 and not Feb 28... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 I am not expecting anything more than a 1-3 kinda deal through 2/28 with near or just above normal temps on avg Well to be fair you also expected a near record snowless winter and torch Jan and Feb. so this may be a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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