A-L-E-K Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 12z GFS ensembles are all over the friggin map re: the clipper-ish storm and what follows. Given climo I'll ride all northern solutions, at least at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Even though the moisture will be severely limited with this system, you really gotta keep an eye on these hybrid type clippers. The system looks like a compact, yet very vigorous little storm. It will have a pretty impressive thermal boundary to ride along as well. If this system ends up looking like what the GEM and especially the Euro are showing, then I wouldn't be at all surprised to see a narrow band of enhanced accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Louisiana gets more snow than me and money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Louisiana gets more snow than me and money. I'll make sure to take pictures of my 1/3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Meh, it's still early. A 100 mile shift to the north would put us in the highest accumlations probably. Never wanna be in the bullseye 120+ hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I'll make sure to take pictures of my 1/3". 4-6" for streamwoodie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Bah. I wished the clipper would slow down so the better precip would fall overnight rather than the heat of the day on Saturday. Something tells me that 35-36 won't deliver the snow accumulations I am hoping to receive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Precip charts free on the Euro today. If you can make heads or tails out of it. http://www.ecmwf.int/samples/d/inspect/catalog/samplers/banner/mean_sea_level_pressure_and_24h_cumulated_precipitations!0!North%20America!msl!pop!od!oper!w_mslrain!2010112912!!/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 If a large east coast storm gets hung up like the Euro is showing Northern Indiana could see a period of LE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 If a large east coast storm gets hung up like the Euro is showing Northern Indiana could see a period of LE. Hoosier had no reply for you Euro actually throws light accumulating precip all the way back this way.. Just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Hey Bow, at least we might have the JMA on our side lol http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_120HR.gif Shows about .5 QPF or so across iowa, S. WI and N. ILL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Precip charts free on the Euro today. If you can make heads or tails out of it. http://www.ecmwf.int...n!2010112912!!/ Sweet, just misses to the north of here on the 4-5th. No where to go but north now...congrats MSN, MKE, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 personally I think the clipper may be a nice swath for many north of the OH river. As far as storm 2...hmmmm....with that massive block in place, and if the clipper bombs out off the maritimes, it's gonna be tough to imagine how whatever follows does not pass under most of us. still, a lot of stuff on the table right now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 For those in southern Ontario/Toronto, Environment Canada is calling for periods of snow on Wednesday, likely from the secondary low development across PA/NY state. The 12z RGEM is strongly hinting at this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I am almost half tempted to stop looking at the GFS, at this point it has 0 run to run consistency. Whatever they did to that model they should undo, at least before we knew it had specific biases, now it has 0 clue. I haven't looked at it since the GGEM/ECMWF both showed a stronger clipper. Looks like maybe an inch or two.. Clippers always seemed starved here until they get east.. Nice hit for southern MI, NE Illanoy, N 1/3 of Indiana or lil south, and Ohio does well.. looks to be like .50-.75" Yeah. Looks real nice although I haven't got the text files for the ECMWF updated yet. Looks really, really nice for I-80 in IN/OH though. The solution basically has the same location as the 0z run cashing out but I'm reluctant to say it will stay this way. Always worth a look though. Edit: I finally got text to update. KTOL gets .63" and KFDY gets .84" with a max temp of 32.17* Those are the only two I've checked so far, if you want any others I'd be glad to tell you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 12z GFS ensembles are all over the friggin map re: the clipper-ish storm and what follows. Given climo I'll ride all northern solutions, at least at this range. yep...surprising how many of the gfs ensembles are wayyy west with the dec 7th storm. Some bring it right over OH and or IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 personally I think the clipper may be a nice swath for many north of the OH river. As far as storm 2...hmmmm....with that massive block in place, and if the clipper bombs out off the maritimes, it's gonna be tough to imagine how whatever follows does not pass under most of us. still, a lot of stuff on the table right now.... I'm liking our chances Saturday in Columbus, but we can't take ANY shift north. Thicknesses go to 539 as it is so if anything a bit more south would be good. Beyond that, I agree suppression may happen but seeing things south of us at this range isn't usually bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I'm liking our chances Saturday in Columbus, but we can't take ANY shift north. Thicknesses go to 539 as it is so if anything a bit more south would be good. Beyond that, I agree suppression may happen but seeing things south of us at this range isn't usually bad It's kinda a catch22. I think the further south the clipper digs, the stronger it eventually bombs and potentially creates a suppressive pattern for #2. We might have to sacrifice a more northerly, fast moving clipper to give us a better chance for something more substantial out of #2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Sweet, just misses to the north of here on the 4-5th. No where to go but north now...congrats MSN, MKE, etc. Swing and a miss... Strike 1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Swing and a miss... Strike 1.. I'm going to start shopping for a winter cabin up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 4-6" for streamwoodie? Sounds about right. Seriously though, a dusting at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Swing and a miss... Strike 1.. Dude, enjoy your dusting. It is all you we are getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 It's kinda a catch22. I think the further south the clipper digs, the stronger it eventually bombs and potentially creates a suppressive pattern for #2. We might have to sacrifice a more northerly, fast moving clipper to give us a better chance for something more substantial out of #2. Good point, but at this stage in the game I'd rather play it safe with a better snow Saturday since even if it goes more north we have no clue if the next storm will even exist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Central Indiana crew with blinding optimism FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Sounds about right. Seriously though, a dusting at best. When did you get to be such a debbie downer? Piggybacking my 1/3" call. You can pretty much broad brush a slight chance of 1-2 over a large area and add a quick qualification that a razor thin stripe sees slightly more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Good point, but at this stage in the game I'd rather play it safe with a better snow Saturday since even if it goes more north we have no clue if the next storm will even exist touche'....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 You guys will get 2 feet of snow with 60 mph winds, while Wisconsin will be 80 degrees and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 You guys will get 2 feet of snow with 60 mph winds, while Wisconsin will be 80 degrees and sunny. Aright, cromartie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 You guys will get 2 feet of snow with 60 mph winds, while Wisconsin will be 80 degrees and sunny. Time for you to start a separate thread for this upcoming "clipper". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 When did you get to be such a debbie downer? Piggybacking my 1/3" call. You can pretty much broad brush a slight chance of 1-2 over a large area and add a quick qualification that a razor thin stripe sees slightly more. Eh, it will probably end up drying up as we move closer to the event. I would take 1/3" though. We'll see...i'll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.