MD Snow Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro? It's probably not good if nobody is discussing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Per the Philly thread, Euro takes low well northwest, snow line back in Ohio. From the same thread, the experimental FIM model is a hit, so I'm gonna go ahead and chuck the Euro and lock up the FIM. Win with FIM, I always say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 It's probably not good if nobody is discussing it. not unless you like rain then a cold front -- it has inched a bit east but it has a long way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haudidoody Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Forsythia are starting to bloom and daffodils are popping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 18Z NAM is more like Euro, probably will get heavy rain and tstorms verbatim..I dont buy a wintry solution at all for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I however would buy stock in companies that make sandbags. Because if that were to verify, heaven help the Ohio Valley and then after that in particular Connecticut and Massachusetts. That much rain up there on their snowpack? No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 18z is still very close to being a hit. We need the wave to be suppressed just slightly further south. Something to watch come 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 18z GFS showing 2-4" between now and Monday night... ...of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 We're gonna need a bigger boat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 18z GFS showing 2-4" between now and Monday night... ...of rain Where is that long range master--Phineas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 18z is still very close to being a hit. We need the wave to be suppressed just slightly further south. Something to watch come 0z. forget it its gonna trend NW and come in line with all the other models on to DEC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterson Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I don't think this trends west at al(yes I'm a weenie) but some thing tells me to go with the gfs. 7 day ago I believe the gfs had this being a boarderline decent event for us in northern md. The gfs allways goes back to something close to it's long range when it come to storms that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I don't think this trends west at al(yes I'm a weenie) but some thing tells me to go with the gfs. 7 day ago I believe the gfs had this being a boarderline decent event for us in northern md. The gfs allways goes back to something close to it's long range when it come to storms that is If I were a betting man I would put my money against the GFS. Obviously, as we approach March there is only a limited window left for snow. Anything that shows the chance of snow will always get my attention. The way the models have been this year, maybe we can get into a reverse screw job pattern. Dr. No has said yes most of the season on major events just to pull the capret out from under us immediately before. . Maybe we get lucky and it rolls out the welcoming mat after slamming the door in our face at least one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterson Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Fair enough but I'm a weenie and I don't give up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Fair enough but I'm a weenie and I don't give up Of course you dont....Even if this doesnt trend northwest, its still rain for MD...time to move past this one unless you want to discuss potential downpours and rumbles of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Let's look way ahead - Where is ENSO heading? Contribute to the discussion here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Didn't go back and review the NAM and GFS at 0z, but the 6z GFS that I just looked at is a parade of cutters as far as the eye can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 00z euro has a massive noreaster at day 8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 00z euro has a massive noreaster at day 8-10 And by day 8-10 you mean day 10 (verbatim). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Anyone have any idea why LWX keeps putting rain or snow in forecast Monday Night? For Sterling VA at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Rain rain and more rain. Could have been a really nice snowstorm. 6GFS looks more like the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 And by day 8-10 you mean day 10 (verbatim). Well, that's at least something different to the parade of cutters on the other models. It's like a Clint Eastwood/orangatang movie otherwise: each system is "left turn, Clyde". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 12z NAM shows big snows!!! For Indianapolis, Cleveland, NW PA and Western NY. Lots o' rain for us on Friday. 1"+ for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Anyone have any idea why LWX keeps putting rain or snow in forecast Monday Night? For Sterling VA at least. Maybe covering all the options for the precip onset and at the very end when it's getting colder again. But nothing really significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 the only looking ahead that makes any sense at this point is is discussed here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 the only looking ahead that makes any sense at this point is is discussed here http://www.americanw...ntinue-to-drop/ Negative. We still have at least 3 weeks where significant winter weather is possible. In three weeks we can start worrying about next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS looks pretty seasonable temp wise for the next 15 days...warm ahead of fronts and then cold behind, but otherwise near normal (~mid 40s-low 50s for highs). Pretty wet pattern though...total precip >1.5" for much of us through next Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 the only looking ahead that makes any sense at this point is is discussed here http://www.americanw...ntinue-to-drop/ If this long-term persistent -NAO/-AO trend is legit (seems to have held for the past 2 winters), then I like our chances next year with just about anything warmer than a strong Nina. We had a historic winter last year with a strong Nino and most everyone else east of the MS River has had a notable to historic winter this year with a strong Nina. Give me a neutral ENSO or weak Nina/Nino and we could be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Negative. We still have at least 3 weeks where significant winter weather is possible. In three weeks we can start worrying about next year. No, significant winter events are over for our area...SE ridge is going to rear its head providing cutting storms...lets discuss downpurs of rain and severe weather..La Nina=More severe weather, probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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