Ian Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Dave rallying the FB weenies [/b] 2nd? is the april 2 fantasy storm #1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 2nd? is the april 2 fantasy storm #1? Apparently the March 23-25 is the first one in NYC/New England and we get rain from it... the next one is snow for us... so he says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 euro crushes us....all snow .85 for DC. Congrats Boston It's good that I'm not following things closely. How many euro storms have actually happened this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 It's good that I'm not following things closely. How many euro storms have actually happened this year? at this range, none have Wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 25, 2011 Author Share Posted March 25, 2011 at this range, none have Wes What does the EURO look like for the possible storm at the end of the next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 What does the EURO look like for the possible storm at the end of the next week? OTS for now I dont think there's much hope in that one. If it's closer it will be rain until into the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 looks like ensembles are moving more strongly toward a +nao after ~april 1. so finally hopefully we can put this winter to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Euro looks interesting for NVA and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Glanced through other threads and other regions but didn't see much of a break down on the 00Z Euro. Anybody have the better maps to give us an idea what the Euro is showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 27, 2011 Author Share Posted March 27, 2011 What is the Euro showing for the weekend? The GFS doesn't look like much, but that Euro shot above doesn't look terrible, but I can't see precip or ground temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 00z ECM shows some rain Wednesday night (850s below zero, but SFC temps are above freezing for most except the highest elevations), with rain changing on Friday (similar situation with < 0 850s but warmer SFC temps in the 30s). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 00z ECM shows some rain Wednesday night (850s below zero, but SFC temps are above freezing for most except the highest elevations), with rain changing on Friday (similar situation with < 0 850s but warmer SFC temps in the 30s). Saw mention of 2" plus precip. Might have to consider going to the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Saw mention of 2" plus precip. Might have to consider going to the Poconos. There are some pretty impressive totals just to the north, but it is just ONE run of ONE model, and an outlier at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 27, 2011 Author Share Posted March 27, 2011 The 6z GFS ensembles have some interesting solutions on the table for the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 There are some pretty impressive totals just to the north, but it is just ONE run of ONE model, and an outlier at that. At day 6 and 7 at that. But a person can dream, can't they. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 looks like ensembles are moving more strongly toward a +nao after ~april 1. so finally hopefully we can put this winter to bed. That would be fantastic, if true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 try reading weatherrbell and jb /jd take on next week. very interesting, to say the least!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 It is not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 It is not going to happen. does it really matter what the models say this far out??Hard to ignore D'aleo's opinion though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Very impressive coastal storm on 4/1 depicted on the 18zGFS. We need some cold air though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 does it really matter what the models say this far out??Hard to ignore D'aleo's opinion though He said it could be one of many things including a not much scenario for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 GFS Op. has aboves in the 11-15 day period 2 runs in a row... lock it in! GFS Ens. running normal to slightly below, with ECM Ens. near normal to slightly above. Models are in pretty good agreement for near normal to slightly below in the 6-10 day, but verifications could be warmer if the ridge comes in stronger than forecast in the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Euro looked mild next week save the offshore coastal it tried to whip up. Sort of a weak cut off type thing, looked like it was helping keep us in marine air. Hard not to see the pattern flood with warmth in about 10 days though maybe I'm wishcasting a bit at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 Euro looked mild next week save the offshore coastal it tried to whip up. Sort of a weak cut off type thing, looked like it was helping keep us in marine air. Hard not to see the pattern flood with warmth in about 10 days though maybe I'm wishcasting a bit at this point. And hijacking the names of another's thread. The depths that you have sunk to. Who woulda thunk it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Euro looked mild next week save the offshore coastal it tried to whip up. Sort of a weak cut off type thing, looked like it was helping keep us in marine air. Hard not to see the pattern flood with warmth in about 10 days though maybe I'm wishcasting a bit at this point. Given what the average highs are supposed to be this time of year, I would say you are safely relying on simply getting this crap weather back to near average and it feeling like a huge warm-up. Which I guess it would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Latest GFS Ops from 00z and 06z went back to slightly below in the extended range... we'll see how long that lasts. The GFS is also trying to flatten the storm that's bringing the warmth for early next week, which could hurt our chance for 70s if we can't break the cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Given what the average highs are supposed to be this time of year, I would say you are safely relying on simply getting this crap weather back to near average and it feeling like a huge warm-up. Which I guess it would be. Egggsactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Let's just get that pesky 850 0C line back into Canada where it belongs so we can stop all these snow-teases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Latest GFS Ops from 00z and 06z went back to slightly below in the extended range... we'll see how long that lasts. The GFS is also trying to flatten the storm that's bringing the warmth for early next week, which could hurt our chance for 70s if we can't break the cloud cover. At this point, simply being +5 with some sun would feel downright balmy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Let's just get that pesky 850 0C line back into Canada where it belongs so we can stop all these snow-teases. I prefer to call them bamboo up the fingernails rather than teases, which imply something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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