LiQuiDBuD Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Guys the observations really have their own thread, and they're really watering down this thread for model and forecast discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Is that big blog of moisture going to make it's way into the NC way? Anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Guys the observations really have their own thread, and they're really watering down this thread for model and forecast discussion. Isn't it too late to look at models ? The precip is here. Now its time to look out the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchic Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Western part of GA. Temp is falling fairly quickly. It was 42.3 a few min ago, now 41.6 Where west? Northwest? West of Atlanta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Yep. And that is why we have an obs thread that is pinned... Isn't it too late to look at models ? The precip is here. Now its time to look out the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Where west? Northwest? West of Atlanta? I live in Rome, but in Carrollton, GA on business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 It will fizzle considerably before reaching the Piedmont of NC. Don't let the radar fool you. A dusting-1" is about right. Think lower, but hope for the higher! You really need to look @ the RUC model sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 East AL still seems to be having boundary issues and the band isn't as intense as it will be once it situates itself over West GA and the Atlanta area. I saw that there is a small bit of warmer air at the border right off the surface but it looked minuscule..plus they have very low wetbulb zero heights too per the models so either the models are missing something there or those reports are screwing up the radar depictions. 42.3 degrees and snowing here. I wonder how it can be snowing at such a warm temp ? It didnt even start as rain here. Very dry air at the surface and right off the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 This is interesting from FFC. Cedartown to Atlanta to Athens line ? Never heard of that. EXPECTED SNOW EVENT APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK AS ADVERTISED. SNOW AMOUNTS OF GENERALLY 1.0 TO 1.5 INCH NORTH OF CEDARTOWN-ATLANTA-GAINESVILLE LINE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Guys the observations really have their own thread, and they're really watering down this thread for model and forecast discussion. I guess it's too complicated for some to understand. Last time folks, observations go into the thread at the top of the forum. Anymore in this thread will be deleted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Apparently that HRRR model is way off, FFC saying 0.5 of snow in the area that it is showing 2-3 inches. Does anyone think the 1/2 inch FFC is predicting for the I-20 corridor could be on the low side ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 This is interesting from FFC. Cedartown to Atlanta to Athens line ? Never heard of that. EXPECTED SNOW EVENT APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK AS ADVERTISED. SNOW AMOUNTS OF GENERALLY 1.0 TO 1.5 INCH NORTH OF CEDARTOWN-ATLANTA-GAINESVILLE LINE Me either and I love how they just ignore the eastern portions of the state even though by all indications whatever happens there is going to happen here. Typical ffc bullsh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 You really need to look @ the RUC model sir. Hi I am new to Americanwx hey ya'll, just wanted to add I think your wrong Shawn. First that was kind of rude. Second look at the radar, not that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Hi I am new to Americanwx hey ya'll, just wanted to add I think your wrong Shawn. First that was kind of rude. Second look at the radar, not that model. Go back and look @ some of Phil's amazing posts about the jetstreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornsnow Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Honestly since I'm located in the dreaded snow triangle in NC I will be happy to squeeze an inch or so out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Apparently that HRRR model is way off, FFC saying 0.5 of snow in the area that it is showing 2-3 inches. Does anyone think the 1/2 inch FFC is predicting for the I-20 corridor could be on the low side ? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 i love how Glenn Burns shows rain over West Georgia when its snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Honestly since I'm located in the dreaded snow triangle in NC I will be happy to squeeze an inch or so out of this. Same here and I am in the real NC triangle lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Wow, give it to Ken Cook he is honking the horn for ATL! He admitted that the moisture on the radar was missing from the models and he thinks it could be more than first thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornsnow Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Off topic but does anyone know why I have my location listed in my profile but it doesn't show up when I post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Wow, give it to Ken Cook he is honking the horn for ATL! He admitted that the moisture on the radar was missing from the models and he thinks it could be more than first thought. Ken Cook saying 1-2 inches maybe more, Glenn BUrns saying MAYBE up to 1 inch. Isnt Cook usually the conservative one ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psalm 148:8 Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Wow, give it to Ken Cook he is honking the horn for ATL! You have got to be kidding me! Mr.Super Conservative? Incidentally...rain just started...at least my moisture is not being used up moistening the column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Well, I leave the state back to Cincy and yall get another Snowstorm! haha Well hearing reports from Dalton already a good coating and moderate snow falling. Also I will have to watch streaming video from just west of Atlanta for my snow fix it seems...Enjoy guys! Live streaming Snow video from West Atlanta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 It looks like that big blob of moisture wants to make it's way on up here..anyone want to agree or disagree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 You know it's not good for NC when this thread is nothing but Georgia folks posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Meanwhile from the good folks at gsp. God I wish I was one county over so I could be in their cwa instead of having to get frustrated with ffc. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1003 PM EST WED FEB 9 2011 .SYNOPSIS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION LATE THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... RADAR SHOWS SNOW RAPIDLY INCREASING ACROSS THE WRN CWFA AS BAROCLINIC LEAF MOVES IN. THIS IS DRIVEN BY A SHORT WAVE AND UPPER JET THAT ARE MOVING IN AS WELL. EXPECT SNOW COVERAGE TO INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SOME SLEET AS THE AIR COLUMN COOLS. GUIDANCE SHOWS QG FORCING TO REACH ITS MAX OVER THE AREA BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z. THERE IS NO REAL ISENTROPIC LIFT OVERNIGHT. BEST H FRONTOGENESIS MOVES TO OUR SOUTH...BUT THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF H85 TO H5 LAYER FRONTOGENESIS. THE 18Z GUIDANCE HAD SHIFTED BEST PRECIP CHANCES TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. HOWEVER...THE 21Z SREF HAS RETURNED TO SHOWING MEAN SNOW AMOUNTS AROUND AN INCH OVER THE AREA. GIVEN ALL THIS...STILL EXPECT 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW OVER THE MTNS WITH 0.5 TO 2 INCHES ELSEWHERE. EXPECT THE LOWEST AMOUNTS OVER THE I-40 CORRIDOR WHERE QPF WILL BE LEAST AND THE MOST OVER THE SRN CWFA BORDER WHERE THE BETTER QPF AND LOW LEVEL FORCING EXISTS. HAVE INCREASED POP ACROSS THE BOARD EARLY ON GIVEN THE CURRENT CONDITIONS. TEMPS SHOULD STILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL. PCPN WILL END QUICKLY ON THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AS A COLDER AIRMASS ENTERS THE REGION AND AS THE SHALLOW SNOW COVER SHOULD HOLD DOWN MAXES A FEW DEGREES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 PCPN WILL END QUICKLY ON THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AS A COLDER AIRMASS ENTERS THE REGION AND AS THE SHALLOW SNOW COVER SHOULD HOLD DOWN MAXES A FEW DEGREES. That's like saying I gained a dollar after I gave it to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Heavier returns look to now be able to push from north GA into WNC. Half an hour ago it looked like everything was dissipating at the state line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 It looks like that big blob of moisture wants to make it's way on up here..anyone want to agree or disagree? I would agree but not that big of a punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Don't look now, but a deformation band has made its way out of the mountains, and is heading eastward! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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