packbacker Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Unbelievable, MA crew already have a dusting and with the radar, could be more to come. Central NC is going to get skunked. Always trends north for our friends from the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 But will temps be an issue? BL issues at first for sure especially down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Ok guys. Started as snow here at 8:50pm. Temp is still 38F. I will update in the obs thread as needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 I call your attention to the radar in S. GA Not the stuff in BMX headed towards MBY, but the stuff down near Albany / Tifton. Don't know what that means down stream but I am impressed with the radar given the GFS solution from days gone by. That shows up nicely on water vapor as well. Hope it gives some luv to our Carolina peeps without transferring Georgia's lift to the coast to soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderhead Hawkins Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 We ended with about an inch here here in Northwest Alabama. Snowing ever so lightly still but will be ending soon. This puts us up to about 14 inches for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Just raised my forecast to 1-2" for the ATL metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 If the NAM happens, I'm going to blow a gasket. Hours of virga and failure persist over the majority of North Carolina with trace amounts in Raleigh and absolutely nothing in WNC. That said, at this point it's best to use radar and the models like the RUC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Man the RUC keeps inching those heavy returns on the reflectivity closer and closer to the CLT area...not that it can be trusted to much but would be nice to have a nice little heavy band come through right about when I would be waking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 If the NAM happens, I'm going to blow a gasket. Hours of virga and failure persist over the majority of North Carolina with trace amounts in Raleigh and absolutely nothing in WNC. That said, at this point it's best to use radar and the models like the RUC. Yeah, not looking good for us, oh well, it was fun following, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Just raised my forecast to 1-2" for the ATL metro I'll see your 1-2 and raise ya 4. J/K Seriously, based on radar do you think some localized 4" amounts are a decent shot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Good luck to the Ga. boys! Like burger said earlier, I'd be getting excited if I saw the radar looking like it does one state over. I definitely think y'all can squeeze a couple of inches out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 If the NAM happens, I'm going to blow a gasket. Hours of virga and failure persist over the majority of North Carolina with trace amounts in Raleigh and absolutely nothing in WNC. That said, at this point it's best to use radar and the models like the RUC. The NAM was out to lunch frame one...I wouldn't even trust it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 I'll see your 1-2 and raise ya 4. J/K Seriously, based on radar do you think some localized 4" amounts are a decent shot? Would not forecast it officially but would not fall over dead either.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Honestly I would be happy with an inch in this Failbruary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 00Z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Latest RUC really just focuses a band of relatively heavy precip. over Atlanta over a 2-3 hour period. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Hmm, is that a 2-3 inch area of snow for much of Metro Atlanta ? That sounds like Warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Latest RUC really just focuses a band of relatively heavy precip. over Atlanta over a 2-3 hour period. Love it. Indeed, just seen that as well. Just what would be expected based on radar alone disregarding previous guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Latest RUC really just focuses a band of relatively heavy precip. over Atlanta over a 2-3 hour period. Love it. What's interesting about the ruc is it's been intensifying the precip as it moves into ga for several runs now. That is counter to what most of the thinking was..which was a dying area of snow as it moved into ga and we get mostly the left overs. I did think earlier though there could be an enhanced band over the i-20 corridor as the precip was moving out. But latest runs have been shifting this band a bit north and intensifying it earlier. That said, I'm a bit surprised at how long it's taken the precip to change over to snow in eastern alabama right now. That's a lot of wasted precip if it's all rain. But looking at mesonet, the stations in eastern alabama look fishy. There hasn't been any sign of precip actually falling there. For example, latest reports have Shoak creek is 39 over 19. Mt longleaf is 38 over 18. Not sure what the deal is there. Given the low wetbulb temps, I'd be surprised if it takes long given how heavy that precip is but it's a bit puzzling why it's not changed over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Does it look to you guys like the northern edge of the precip shield is getting sheared out at the TN/NC border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 What's interesting about the ruc is it's been intensifying the precip as it moves into ga for several runs now. That is counter to what most of the thinking was..which was a dying area of snow as it moved into ga and we get mostly the left overs. I did think earlier though there could be an enhanced band over the i-20 corridor as the precip was moving out. But latest runs have been shifting this band a bit north and intensifying it earlier. i have been watching that too - and thankgoodness we are just about at 'that time' to see if it holds together. so far so good, knock on wood lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 What's interesting about the ruc is it's been intensifying the precip as it moves into ga for several runs now. That is counter to what most of the thinking was..which was a dying area of snow as it moved into ga and we get mostly the left overs. I did think earlier though there could be an enhanced band over the i-20 corridor as the precip was moving out. But latest runs have been shifting this band a bit north and intensifying it earlier. That said, I'm a bit surprised at how long it's taken the precip to change over to snow in eastern alabama right now. That's a lot of wasted precip if it's all rain. But looking at mesonet, the stations in eastern alabama look fishy. There hasn't been any sign of precip actually falling there. For example, latest reports have Shoak creek is 39 over 19. Mt longleaf is 38 over 18. Not sure what the deal is there. Given the low wetbulb temps, I'd be surprised if it takes long given how heavy that precip is but it's a bit puzzling why it's not changed over there. East AL still seems to be having boundary issues and the band isn't as intense as it will be once it situates itself over West GA and the Atlanta area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 That HRRR is classic: the snow triangle in full effect and a donut hole right over RDU Airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 42.3 degrees and snowing here. I wonder how it can be snowing at such a warm temp ? It didnt even start as rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 42.3 degrees and snowing here. I wonder how it can be snowing at such a warm temp ? It didnt even start as rain here. what part of georgia sir? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 what part of georgia sir? Western part of GA. Temp is falling fairly quickly. It was 42.3 a few min ago, now 41.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Temp dropping by 1/2 degree every 2 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 What's interesting about the ruc is it's been intensifying the precip as it moves into ga for several runs now. That is counter to what most of the thinking was..which was a dying area of snow as it moved into ga and we get mostly the left overs. I did think earlier though there could be an enhanced band over the i-20 corridor as the precip was moving out. But latest runs have been shifting this band a bit north and intensifying it earlier. That said, I'm a bit surprised at how long it's taken the precip to change over to snow in eastern alabama right now. That's a lot of wasted precip if it's all rain. But looking at mesonet, the stations in eastern alabama look fishy. There hasn't been any sign of precip actually falling there. For example, latest reports have Shoak creek is 39 over 19. Mt longleaf is 38 over 18. Not sure what the deal is there. Given the low wetbulb temps, I'd be surprised if it takes long given how heavy that precip is but it's a bit puzzling why it's not changed over there. Looks to me back in Bama the changeover had to wait on the arctic front to slide through. Hopefully, our neck of the woods will change over quicker since we're not having to chill 50 degree afternoon surface temps. We'll know soon enough. That heavy band is headed right for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 That HRRR is classic: the snow triangle in full effect and a donut hole right over RDU Airport. I'm in a much larger donut hole in Winston-Salem. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Looks to me back in Bama the changeover had to wait on the arctic front to slide through. Hopefully, our neck of the woods will change over quicker since we're not having to chill 50 degree afternoon surface temps. We'll know soon enough. That heavy band is headed right for mby Temp is dropping really quick in Georgia right now. I've dropped 2 degrees in 10 min with heavier precip to my west. Hopefully we get a surprise out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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