LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 nws is going for 63 here next friday, thats going to feel like a heat wave. Hopefully i can have a bit of tropospheric ducting with this warmup. I do like the temps forecasted, the only issue we might face is a damn backdoor cold front or a hardcore seabreeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 nws going for 59 around the philly immediate area on thursday. Thats going to feel great. and usually at this time of year during these warmups they hedge conservative so we could be well up into the 60s at the end of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duality Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 and usually at this time of year during these warmups they hedge conservative so we could be well up into the 60s at the end of next week shhhh.. you'll be shunned on here for liking warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 We have an issue to face also is water main breaks, pot-holes, and the scary part of more gas line issues, if we get warm so quickly. I hope i am wrong on alot of this stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 and usually at this time of year during these warmups they hedge conservative so we could be well up into the 60s at the end of next week Nah, they are pretty much following the models. I think they tend to go higher than it is more easily in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Hazleton... Monday: A chance of flurries and freezing drizzle before 1pm, then a chance of drizzle and flurries. Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a high near 40. Monday Night: Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a low around 14. Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 31. Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 43. Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Nah, they are pretty much following the models. I think they tend to go higher than it is more easily in the winter. If by "models" you mean the MEX MOS guidance then that may be the case. However, the MEX tends to be conservative... i.e. if it shows 59 on day 6 then if the actual model output holds, chances are high that it'll be into the 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Yep, you can wear layers in the cold weather. So I'm personally not bothered as much. A summer with no breaks like we had last year has me at my most miserable. The thing is, too many layers and it starts to become movement restricted. On these coldest of mornings, I wore a t-shirt followed by a long sleeve thermal, then a heavier sweatshirt followed with a hoodie, and then my medium thickness jacket. Not to mention thermal pants and then denims. I can't see where doing all that is better then just throwing on a pair of shorts and a t-shirt in the summer. For me, the only positive part of winter is the potential for MECS/HECS snowstorms. Other than that, I have no use for cold weather, short days, and leafless trees. I'll take the green, bright, warm to hot days of summer anytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 The last day at TTN that was 60 degrees without rain was November 22, 2010. There were a couple of days in December topping 60, but it was rainy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 I agree 10000000%... I can't wait to track heat waves and/or humidity. Also, sun staying out to close to 9p. Feels great to be outside in the summer. The thing is, too many layers and it starts to become movement restricted. On these coldest of mornings, I wore a t-shirt followed by a long sleeve thermal, then a heavier sweatshirt followed with a hoodie, and then my medium thickness jacket. Not to mention thermal pants and then denims. I can't see where doing all that is better then just throwing on a pair of shorts and a t-shirt in the summer. For me, the only positive part of winter is the potential for MECS/HECS snowstorms. Other than that, I have no use for cold weather, short days, and leafless trees. I'll take the green, bright, warm to hot days of summer anytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 The thing is, too many layers and it starts to become movement restricted. On these coldest of mornings, I wore a t-shirt followed by a long sleeve thermal, then a heavier sweatshirt followed with a hoodie, and then my medium thickness jacket. Not to mention thermal pants and then denims. I can't see where doing all that is better then just throwing on a pair of shorts and a t-shirt in the summer. For me, the only positive part of winter is the potential for MECS/HECS snowstorms. Other than that, I have no use for cold weather, short days, and leafless trees. I'll take the green, bright, warm to hot days of summer anytime. i agree with this. If it isn't going to snow, then just give me warmth, and the 4 B's baseball, bikinis, beach and bbq's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 i agree with this. If it isn't going to snow, then just give me warmth, and the 4 B's baseball, bikinis, beach and bbq's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 i agree with this. If it isn't going to snow, then just give me warmth, and the 4 B's baseball, bikinis, beach and bbq's In the summer, the humidity bothers me no matter how many layers I have. I don't mind bundling up in the winter. There's no right or wrong here - just a huge diffrerence in how the weather affects me and Voyager. Late winter cold and snow FTW after this warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Friday is really looking warm. Can we get close to 70? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 In the summer, the humidity bothers me no matter how many layers I have. I don't mind bundling up in the winter. There's no right or wrong here - just a huge diffrerence in how the weather affects me and Voyager. Late winter cold and snow FTW after this warm up. I agree with this 100%. My brother used to get damn near violent when it was hot and humid. His ideal weather was 50 and damp which is why he lives in Seattle now. We are all affected differently. For me, anything under 40 is too cold, and my ideal temp range is anything above 80, which includes the 100+ weather in Phoenix which didn't bother me at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 I agree with this 100%. My brother used to get damn near violent when it was hot and humid. His ideal weather was 50 and damp which is why he lives in Seattle now. We are all affected differently. For me, anything under 40 is too cold, and my ideal temp range is anything above 80, which includes the 100+ weather in Phoenix which didn't bother me at all. you also have to consider line of work to. You work outside, so it being brutally cold wouldn't be fun. I wonder if matt would feel differently if he had to work outside in sub 20 degree temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 shhhh.. you'll be shunned on here for liking warmth hahaha....after this winter I had to endure. I am going to post ALOT about wanting heatwaves and enjoying the heat, only fair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Its 61 out here and I'm hating every second of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Its 61 out here and I'm hating every second of it by this time next week it will be a distant memory as u will be cold and snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I'm going with for us: Friday - 32 32.7 Saturday - 38 37.9 Sunday - 45 Monday - 50 Tuesday - 46 Wednesday - 50 Thursday - 55 Friday - 59 Still about 12 inches of hard snowpack in the yard. Don't think I'll see the grass for a while yet. Verification so far in bold. Snowpack at 11 in yard. South facing hill near house patchy snow cover. 32.2 at present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 by this time next week it will be a distant memory as u will be cold and snowy Not cold and snowy enough after the second least snowy middle of winter ever... what an awful stretch out here! 7 weeks from the end of December to almost the middle of February with only 0.4" of snow to show for it... just plain awful. Mind you we average 12.5" of snow in that time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Not cold and snowy enough after the second least snowy middle of winter ever... what an awful stretch out here! 7 weeks from the end of December to almost the middle of February with only 0.4" of snow to show for it... just plain awful. Mind you we average 12.5" of snow in that time... Don't worry, NWS says snow likely Thursday out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Don't worry, NWS says snow likely Thursday out there. Haha... wouldn't be surprised if we can't even manage 3" from that thing. Cold frontal passages are not our friend more times than not... rarely do we get as much QPF as modeled. Also not liking that the following system cuts so far south it misses us. Grrrrrrr.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Haha... wouldn't be surprised if we can't even manage 3" from that thing. Cold frontal passages are not our friend more times than not... rarely do we get as much QPF as modeled. Also not liking that the following system cuts so far south it misses us. Grrrrrrr.... let the northwest trend begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 let the northwest trend begin If it werent being Ray, and lets say somewhere else, i'd be not very happy with the Northwest trend. But yeah let the Northwest trend commence at once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Only thing I'm hoping is to see more sun...kind of can't really enjoy this warmup if it's just cloudy. Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Haha... wouldn't be surprised if we can't even manage 3" from that thing. Cold frontal passages are not our friend more times than not... rarely do we get as much QPF as modeled. Also not liking that the following system cuts so far south it misses us. Grrrrrrr.... Wednesday: A slight chance of rain and snow. Snow level 5500 feet. Cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night: Snow. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Thursday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Thursday Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. Friday: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Friday Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Saturday: A slight chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 New GFS has about a quarter inch of QPF Wednesday night. If everything worked out perfectly that might be 5 inches of snow... however, adding in the normal model bias with cold fronts (too wet) and the fact that it starts out warm (hurting ratios), I still wouldn't be at all surprised if we couldn't manage 3" of snow in town. DUMP! Wednesday: A slight chance of rain and snow. Snow level 5500 feet. Cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night: Snow. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Thursday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Thursday Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. Friday: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Friday Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Saturday: A slight chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 I'm going with for us: Friday - 32 33.4 Saturday - 38 37.9 Sunday - 45 41.9 busted Monday - 50 Tuesday - 46 Wednesday - 50 Thursday - 55 Friday - 59 Verification above. 10.5" of snow left in yard. 35.6 current temp here in NW Chester County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOW22 Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Friday, Feb 18th, 2011 at 1800GMT - Both GFS and ECMWF indicate 8C at 850mb with southwesterly flow across Appalachians. Cold front to follow on Saturday. Unstable low levels, with partial snow cover and mixing without clouds . . . add 13-15C to the 8C at 850mb. If cloudy, add 7-9C to the 850mb temperature. So lowest high temp around 60F, warmest high temp near 73F. 700mb RH and flow indicates cloud cover (plus increasing heights at 700mb and 500mb likely to bring some subsidence) in and out so . . . I'd go for 66-70F for Philly area on Friday. By Saturday mid day, temperatures at 850mb drop to -4C . . . so much for Spring. Mt Holly now going for 65F on Friday and 56F on Saturday for downtown Philadelphia. Close, maybe a little low on Friday and a little high on Saturday. NAO and AO staying neutral to positive so progressive flow stemming from west coast trough will keep systems moving across the Rockies into the Great Lakes occasionally warming us up for a day or two followed by a 3-5 day cold spell. Doesn't appear to be a snow scenario without a block . . . and storm track to our west and north (warm maybe some rain then cold). Great Lakes and New England - snow more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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