mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Lol I was talking bout calling her a lesbo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2011 Author Share Posted February 13, 2011 Look at the large differences between yesterday's and today's GFS ensemble, valid Fri night. The upper low off Labrador is shifted SW about 500 miles, and the blocking over Greenland is about 10 dm stronger. Meanwhile, more ridging builds near the Rockies. All this has the effect of forcing the next system over the upper Midwest to dig more, and brings a stronger and faster push of cold air to New England by Sat. Nice comparison! Yes yes and I was also noting my self that really... the OPERATIONAL GFS has warmth for literally only 1 day, Friday. In fact, cold fropa happens around 10pm Friday evening and it is sharply colder Saturday. At 108 hours on this run the we are still in a kind of COL in the low levels, and that is 00z Friday.... It depends probably what guidance one chooses to use ...but this version is a 52/38 type transient air mass - not much of a "torch", but how is that even defined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Wednesday could be a sneaky low elevation torch. 850 temps sky rocket through the day, with decent mixing perhaps. Even the higher spots will warm in the aftn. No such thing as sneaky torches...only sneaky cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2011 Author Share Posted February 13, 2011 Lol I was talking bout calling her a lesbo OH - Sorry... Forgot about that little missive. Eh, I don't know - I don't think she is a lesbian on the record. And, that was supposed to be mean spirited humor - kinda like the Family Guy type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Broke freezing, @ 32.2\24....no suprise...when in doubt, go warm int eh swamp. Hardly any damage, today though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Wednesday could be a sneaky low elevation torch. 850 temps sky rocket through the day, with decent mixing perhaps. Even the higher spots will warm in the aftn. Everything is sneaky with you lol Scooter and the sneaky fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I figure by about mid week I may have to start glancing at guidance, again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 was nice to see a half hour of light snow here...yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Everything is sneaky with you lol Scooter and the sneaky fetish. I mean people may overlook Wednesday. I could see something where people look at KBOS or KASH and say.."wow I didn't think it would get that mild." Maybe a late day high near 50 for spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Thursday and Friday may not live to the torch potential esp in Mass with any of this mid level crap. Even a chance, KBOS and ne mass are stuck with cold east winds for a bit. If low pressure is more elongated east to west over Canada, then it will create more westerly flow and higher temps, but I wouldn't be shocked if Ray stands out in front of his house, naked and waiting the arrival of mid level clouds. Of course it may not happen..but just something to watch for those desperate for snow pack preservation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Thursday and Friday may not live to the torch potential esp in Mass with any of this mid level crap. Even a chance, KBOS and ne mass are stuck with cold east winds for a bit. If low pressure is more elongated east to west over Canada, then it will create more westerly flow and higher temps, but I wouldn't be shocked if Ray stands out in front of his house, naked and waiting the arrival of mid level clouds. Of course it may not happen..but just something to watch for those desperate for snow pack preservation. I'll bet that their arrival would be of the sneaky variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 One of these days, we are going to get an airmass that s just going to blatantly burst onto the scene.....beating folks over the head and there will be nothing sneaky about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I'll bet that their arrival would be of the sneaky variety. I see BOX put a chance for sneaky clouds on Friday. Pretty bad when people are hoping for clouds..lol. I'll lose a lot of mine, but I welcome next week with open arms. At this point 51 or 59 doesn't mean much to me, for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 One of these days, we are going to get an airmass that s just going to blatantly burst onto the scene.....beating folks over the head and there will be nothing sneaky about it. Except for the gentlemen you sneak into your house after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I see BOX put a chance for sneaky clouds on Friday. Pretty bad when people are hoping for clouds..lol. I'll lose a lot of mine, but I welcome next week with open arms. At this point 51 or 59 doesn't mean much to me, for Friday. The diff in temp isn't a big deal, but the mere absence of the sun would be, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Except for the gentlemen I sneak into bed with Allison and I. Careful not to wake her....you'd have some splanen' to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 The diff in temp isn't a big deal, but the mere absence of the sun would be, imo. Well right, but for my hood..I think only the protected areas will have snow. Amazing how a little tree coverage helps the burbs. That, and cooling off at night. Hopefully, it's not as bad as I think it may be. The snow is black as night right now, on the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 It's going to be weird, with the north side of the street showing ground potentially, and the south side (shaded side) having good snow..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 It's going to be weird, with the north side of the street showing ground potentially, and the south side (shaded side) having good snow..lol. Classic March.....the huge seasons are always insane in March.....s facing slopes barren and shaded BYs with 2' lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 It's going to be weird, with the north side of the street showing ground potentially, and the south side (shaded side) having good snow..lol. I remember walking up Beacon St in the Back Bay during March of 1993. Feet of snow on the shady S side north facing front yards with only patchy on the other side. I don't think it gets down to that this time...it is really deep and water laden this time but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Classic March.....the huge seasons are always insane in March.....s facing slopes barren and shaded BYs with 2' lol Yeah, I'm used to having some decent woods around. It's fairly open here, with the houses kind of close together. Lots of reflecting light and warmth that emits from the houses does a number. However, I go three blocks away to a more ...well, suburban look, and they must have like 6-8" more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I remember walking up Beacon St in the Back Bay during March of 1993. Feet of snow on the shady S side north facing front yards with only patchy on the other side. I don't think it gets down to that this time...it is really deep and water laden this time but we'll see. I think we'll have snow for sure, in shaded spots, especially near you. It will be interesting to see how places like the Arboretum hold snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Not sure I see sneaky warmth on Wednesday. Ridge cresting overhead keeps mixing really shallow with a strong subsidence inversion. GFS MOS at BDL is 42F and that sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Anyone think we'll see a couple of stray 50F obs tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Anyone think we'll see a couple of stray 50F obs tomorrow? Interior SE MA if they can have enough sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 High of 32 here today. Now back to 30. I guess upper 30s are likely for tomorrow, but Tuesday looks like mid 20's. Interior SE MA if they can have enough sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 High of 32 here today. Now back to 30. I guess upper 30s are likely for tomorrow, but Tuesday looks like mid 20's. Hit 34, here......I keep forgetting that we have a couple of more hrs to warm this time of the year because I was spiking the ball in the subfreezing end zone at like 2pm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Hit 34. here......I keep forgetting that we have a couple of more hrs to warm this time of the year because I was spiking the ball in the subfreezing end zone at like 2pm lol also pretty strong WAA going on from here on out so it'll be tough to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 also pretty strong WAA going on from here on out so it'll be tough to fall. Good point. Back down to 32.6\25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chim chiminey Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 might be sneaky warm tonight.. temps may not drop much or even rise slightly so the sun/wind will be able to go to work on the snowpack without wasting phase change energy.. tomorrow could be the biggest snoweater of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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