JamieOber Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 here is a cool pic that was in our local paper today http://theprogressnews.com/ That's great! I love those kind of photos. Noted on that site, along with your earlier posts, that apparently Clearfield County is not having a banner snow removal year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 GFS starting to bend to the Euro, JMA and CMC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I sense an overwhelming desire for springtime and warmer temperatures by the lack of discussion on our event for next week!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I sense an overwhelming desire for springtime and warmer temperatures by the lack of discussion on our event for next week!! Does it look like Pittsburgh could get snow from this? It seems to me that we always tend to switch over to rain when storms move that close to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 Does it look like Pittsburgh could get snow from this? It seems to me that we always tend to switch over to rain when storms move that close to us. The potential is there for a wintry mix in sw pa, but even there it looks rather cold on the Euro, JMA and CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 The potential is there for a wintry mix in sw pa, but even there it looks rather cold on the Euro, JMA and CMC. I was thinking the same thing... but it feels really good to hear it from a met. Looks like definitely something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 16, 2011 Share Posted February 16, 2011 I was thinking the same thing... but it feels really good to hear it from a met. Looks like definitely something to track. Certainly. And the GFS is trending that direction as well. The only thing that bothers me now is how far south/dry the euro was at 12z. Most other modeling has qpf's on the order of .3-.6 for the event, with the JMA at almost 1" (likely overdone) The 18z MREFs have a wide spread as well... some juicy and some rather dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 I sense an overwhelming desire for springtime and warmer temperatures by the lack of discussion on our event for next week!! I'll probably start caring this weekend, after I've enjoyed my 55° and sun tomorrow and a brush with 60° on Friday. Still 45° here at the moment. Snowpack holding strong in the woods and neighborhood north of PSU's campus...on campus it's fading fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I'll probably start caring this weekend, after I've enjoyed my 55° and sun tomorrow and a brush with 60° on Friday. Still 45° here at the moment. Snowpack holding strong in the woods and neighborhood north of PSU's campus...on campus it's fading fast. We lost a good bit of snow yesterday and today in the wide-open areas. My yard, which receives very little afternoon sun, still has about 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 18z gfs has 1.55 qpf with 7.8" of snow for DUJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 18z gfs has 1.55 qpf with 7.8" of snow for DUJ The trend is evident now. Let's see how the 0z Euro responds to the 12z. I'd like to see it a bit juicier and further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 We lost a good bit of snow yesterday and today in the wide-open areas. My yard, which receives very little afternoon sun, still has about 8" We are re-freezing. Right now it's 28.8 here, and when I was walking the dog I saw a guy turn onto a side street here in town and hit an ice patch and skid. And lol, 42 at UNV. My next door neighbor and I were talking about gardening tonight, and he said we are definitely in a different USDA zone (5) than State College (6). Some wild radiational cooling. As I was typing this, a PennDOT truck went past. Probably hitting a few icy patches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Lots of green now showing up on campus, especially around the dorms. 41.7*F and clouding up, looks like the melt will continue overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I sense an overwhelming desire for springtime and warmer temperatures by the lack of discussion on our event for next week!! Haha i'm not gonna lie.. i enjoyed the warm day today and will thoroughly enjoy the next two warmer days, then i'll be ready to see the last few weeks of winter. Plus I was in a bit of a wait and see how the models evolve with this event. Since things have come around a good bit today to what the euro has been advertising the chances appear to be increasing that we could be back to business at the beginning of the week. The key is going to be that cold air press. We lost a good bit of snow yesterday and today in the wide-open areas. My yard, which receives very little afternoon sun, still has about 8" Altoona pretty much has no snow left, you get up around here and its patchy in the fields and such. Our house is situated on a north facing hill, so the woods behind still has several inches of snow and the yard itself is still about 75% covered i'd say. At least the driveways thawed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 We are re-freezing. Right now it's 28.8 here, and when I was walking the dog I saw a guy turn onto a side street here in town and hit an ice patch and skid. And lol, 42 at UNV. My next door neighbor and I were talking about gardening tonight, and he said we are definitely in a different USDA zone (5) than State College (6). Some wild radiational cooling. As I was typing this, a PennDOT truck went past. Probably hitting a few icy patches. Wow... talk about a meso-climate. Interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Haha i'm not gonna lie.. i enjoyed the warm day today and will thoroughly enjoy the next two warmer days, then i'll be ready to see the last few weeks of winter. Plus I was in a bit of a wait and see how the models evolve with this event. Since things have come around a good bit today to what the euro has been advertising the chances appear to be increasing that we could be back to business at the beginning of the week. The key is going to be that cold air press. I hope the 0z euro juices back up again. The 12z was strangely dry, while the CMC and JMA have almost 1" of qpf with subfreezing 850s. I suppose it depends on how strong that high gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I hope the 0z euro juices back up again. The 12z was strangely dry, while the CMC and JMA have almost 1" of qpf with subfreezing 850s. I suppose it depends on how strong that high gets. I think at this point of the game I don't mind the euro setting the southern boundary with a solution that's so cold and supressed that it doesn't even give us precip. Since models have been trending toward the Euro the reality will likely end up being between the 12z GFS lakes cutter and 12z Euro and the issue will be what part's of the region (if any) end up under the gun for a possible mix or rain. I'd still be more worried about something that ultimately gets modeled back up into the lower lakes than getting squashed south. Although, that would be some brutal irony if we come out of a few days of 60 degree weather and have a storm get stomped all the way to the south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I think at this point of the game I don't mind the euro setting the southern boundary with a solution that's so cold and supressed that it doesn't even give us precip. Since models have been trending toward the Euro the reality will likely end up being between the 12z GFS lakes cutter and 12z Euro and the issue will be what part's of the region (if any) end up under the gun for a possible mix or rain. I'd still be more worried about something that ultimately gets modeled back up into the lower lakes than getting squashed south. Although, that would be some brutal irony if we come out of a few days of 60 degree weather and have a storm get stomped all the way to the south of us. You're right. It's not good to be in the bullseye 5 days out! Let's wait until Friday evening or Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Wow... talk about a meso-climate. Interesting! Neighbor said to me last night without looking that State College was at least 40. We have more snowcover, valley etc. He also noted that as a vfd, he has seen a fair amount of wrecks due to surprise black ice. Also last night there was a strong smell of rain. We were 28.8 when we left so not much additional drop. How about that wacky euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 lol 06 GFS with 14.1 inches of snow for UNV: http://www.meteor.ia...=gfsm&site=kunv And two morns of subzero lows. That's an interesting switch. Euro went wetter than previous run but much faster and warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 47.8*F this morning. We got to 49 apparently at one point. Forecast high is 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Neighbor said to me last night without looking that State College was at least 40. We have more snowcover, valley etc. He also noted that as a vfd, he has seen a fair amount of wrecks due to surprise black ice. Also last night there was a strong smell of rain. We were 28.8 when we left so not much additional drop. How about that wacky euro? Bizarre. Looks like some of the ensembles are further south. Perhaps this was a hiccup run, because there seems to be growing support amongst all ensembles for a southward track. The majority of the 6z MREF members show a decent event for almost the entire state. Steady as she goes at this point. The pattern seems to favor a storm track to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 lol 06 GFS with 14.1 inches of snow for UNV: http://www.meteor.ia...=gfsm&site=kunv And two morns of subzero lows. That's an interesting switch. Euro went wetter than previous run but much faster and warmer. I would love to see this: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=kjst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I would love to see this: http://www.meteor.ia...=gfsm&site=kjst Holy crap. Good thing there would be two feet on the ground, because it would soften the landing of people jumping out of windows who are so distressed over it getting that extreme after such a warm two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I just saw 6Z GFS and wow. That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I just saw 6Z GFS and wow. That would be nice. holy crap. that shows mdt at like 11" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Winds still look to be a howling Sat. Sustained 25+ Gust to 55+. NAM has 25KTS+ at surface and 60-70KTS at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I would love to see this: http://www.meteor.ia...=gfsm&site=kjst that would be impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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