sauss06 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 12z nam seems to be teaming up with the gfs.... I just saw the GFS wants to give me a little snow on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 woops, i just saw your map is for the 25th, not the 27th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I just saw the GFS wants to give me a little snow on Sunday Sunday could have some light snow too.... but this Friday event is getting interesting. What looked like a classic la nina track west of the apps is getting suppressed like Sunday's storm, but even further south. This is likely due to our slightly -nao and some arctic air residing in se Canada. Many gem ensemble members track the low near the MD line, and the model is typically biased too far north/strong Canadian Ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Sunday could have some light snow too.... but this Friday event is getting interesting. What looked like a classic la nina track west of the apps is getting suppressed like Sunday's storm, but even further south. This is likely due to our slightly -nao and some arctic air residing in se Canada. Many gem ensemble members track the low near the MD line, and the model is typically biased too far north/strong Canadian Ensembles looks like the nam and the gfs wants to start warming up in that time frame.(Thursday afternoon and Friday am) Up To that point it looks chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 mmmm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 GFS even further south....maybe too far... but an interesting trend so far today. We'll see what the GEM and Euro have over the next 100 minutes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I was posting a little bit about this event while we were discussing these previous events. Could be another 3-6"/4-8" event. Also looks to continue our trend of nocturnal snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Finished with 6" here. If the GFS came true i'd probably pass out. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 looking like rain to snow on the new GGEM. Def came further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Finished with 6" here. If the GFS came true i'd probably pass out. lol but isn't that rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 but isn't that rain? Nope, like 4-8" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 i didnt get a chance to clear the board but i have 4.5 inches total from both storms. so i guess i only got 1 inch from the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Nope, like 4-8" of snow. Looks familiar doesn't it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Looks familiar doesn't it. GFS did very well with this last storm. I would give it some credit so I think this could happen but, doesn't seem likely yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 GFS did very well with this last storm. I would give it some credit so I think this could happen but, doesn't seem likely yet. i haven't checked since this am, but the nam and GFS warmed us up in that time frame. Before that is chilly If i'm reading it right, looks like mid 30's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Any snowfall reports from around York? I haven't gone out and measured yet, but by the looks of it, I'd say there is about 6 inches on the ground here. 7.5 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro and UKMET are all rain scenarios for the area. EURO just based off what Tombo said in the Philly thread, UKMET you can look at: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro/UK/GEM/JMA warm and west.... GFS/NAM cold and south I have a feeling our American weather prognosticators are outliers.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBRE Wx Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Yes it doesn't look good for the GFS this afternoon... and in Henry Margusity's first day as Joe Bastardi (at least playing his part on blogs and videos) he is siding with the GFS track. Might not be off to a good start... but too early to call of course..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 hmm could we see potential flooding, if the west based tracks are right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Any snowfall reports from around York? I haven't gone out and measured yet, but by the looks of it, I'd say there is about 6 inches on the ground here. 7.5 here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Flu kept me from enjoying our snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Flu kept me from enjoying our snow. Arrgh.....I HATE that. It sucks when it's snowing and you're sick. Hope you feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Boy the NWS is really riding the GFS train with respect to this Friday storm. I would have expected them to mention more of a mix/rain after today's model runs. State College: Thursday Night: Snow likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday: Snow. High near 39. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New AFD (pretty weak if you ask me ) .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --A COMPLEX FCST IN STORE FOR CENTRAL PA. AIRMASS AT LOW LVLS WILL NOT BE THAT WARM. A LOT OF SPREAD IN THE MODELS...BUT SLIGHT TREND TOWARD A COLDER SOLUTION FOR FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT RAIN AND SNOW TO GO OVER TO MAINLY SNOW LATER FRIDAY... FROM NW TO SE. DID EDGE SNOW AMTS UP A LITTLE. NOT A LOT OF CHANGE TO THE REST OF THE PACKAGE. SAT LOOKS DRY. SOME CHC OF SOME REAL LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AS A WEAK SYSTEM TRACKS JUST NW OF PA. COLDER AIR AGAIN FOR TUE INTO WED.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Boy the NWS is really riding the GFS train with respect to this Friday storm. I would have expected them to mention more of a mix/rain after today's model runs. State College: Thursday Night: Snow likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday: Snow. High near 39. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New AFD (pretty weak if you ask me ) .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --A COMPLEX FCST IN STORE FOR CENTRAL PA. AIRMASS AT LOW LVLS WILL NOT BE THAT WARM. A LOT OF SPREAD IN THE MODELS...BUT SLIGHT TREND TOWARD A COLDER SOLUTION FOR FRIDAY. THUS EXPECT RAIN AND SNOW TO GO OVER TO MAINLY SNOW LATER FRIDAY... FROM NW TO SE. DID EDGE SNOW AMTS UP A LITTLE. NOT A LOT OF CHANGE TO THE REST OF THE PACKAGE. SAT LOOKS DRY. SOME CHC OF SOME REAL LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AS A WEAK SYSTEM TRACKS JUST NW OF PA. COLDER AIR AGAIN FOR TUE INTO WED.-- End Changed Discussion -- I couldn't disagree more with the entire extended discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 18z GFS continues on its own course 66 hours out Quite a snow lover's track, but I can't see it going that far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Two big differences in the nam and gfs leading to our precip type (low track) issue 18z nam: Notice the position of the energy in SE Canada and the ridge position se of FL Now the 18z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Ended with about 8 inches in Pittsburgh. KPIT reported at least 5 hours with 1-2 inch ratios. Rather intense storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.