sauss06 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 It will start it about 2-3hrs. looks and feels like it wants to start now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 How do you think the radar looks? Of course, I guess radar trends can blow up in one's face, lol. Radars looking nice and expansive. At this point I'm def not concerned about at least reaching the numbers that CTP has forecasted. They have a pretty decent forecast out I think. But I would not be surprised if there were 1-3 more inches than forecasted for the corridor between route 22 and I-80, which would hopefully render my initial fears of an I-80 screwzone ribbon moot. Although when I mentioned about that, I was defining screw zone as like 1-3 inches total for the whole 2 pronged event, and that corridor generally scored that with the first wave. At any rate the radar looks fine right now. What looks even better for the likes of the Altoona/State College to Harrisburg folks is the 18z HRRR Hour 8 Hour 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 WRF looks ugly for MDT metro Explain a bit more, please? On phone SP can't see it well. Thanks in adva nce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Explain a bit more, please? On phone SP can't see it well. Thanks in adva nce. It basically showed the cutoff of precip right thru MDT. SW got alot, while MDT and points NE got basically nothing. BTW, new NAM is a little further north.I think MDT should do well with this storm.IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Radar is just SW PA is getting 40DBZ. That will be like 1-2"+ when it gets here. 33 now. Down 4 degrees in 2hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Radars looking nice and expansive. At this point I'm def not concerned about at least reaching the numbers that CTP has forecasted. They have a pretty decent forecast out I think. But I would not be surprised if there were 1-3 more inches than forecasted for the corridor between route 22 and I-80, which would hopefully render my initial fears of an I-80 screwzone ribbon moot. Although when I mentioned about that, I was defining screw zone as like 1-3 inches total for the whole 2 pronged event, and that corridor generally scored that with the first wave. At any rate the radar looks fine right now. What looks even better for the likes of the Altoona/State College to Harrisburg folks is the 18z HRRR Hour 8 Hour 9 that looks great to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Radar is just SW PA is getting 40DBZ. That will be like 1-2"+ when it gets here. 33 now. Down 4 degrees in 2hrs. i think thats sleet - no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 temp at 33 down from a high of 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 i think thats sleet - no? http://www.americanw...200#entry493076 Either way it will mean business when it gets here later. RUC has 4-6hrs of 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 27/10 here at IPT. That low dp is one reason why we will fight to get any precip up here. High to the north is flexing its muscles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 i think thats sleet - no? http://www.americanw...200#entry493076 Those echos are definitely sleet, but the area is going over to snow now overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Down to 30F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 27/10 here at IPT. That low dp is one reason why we will fight to get any precip up here. High to the north is flexing its muscles. Holy crap. Well at least you got last night's surprise. I wonder if we will go below zero Wed am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 lol ya idts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Holy crap. Well at least you got last night's surprise. I wonder if we will go below zero Wed am. I believe the GFS has a low of 1 on Wed for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Western Cambria county on Chickaree summit: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLover Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 If that is the trend, then Lanc. Co. should be upgraded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 i like that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 18z NAM came in meaningfully north with the heavier precip for the central regions. Now UNV is over 0.5" instead of around 0.25" on the 12z. 12z: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ETAPA_12z/etaloop.html 18z: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ETAPA_18z/etaloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 If that is the trend, then Lanc. Co. should be upgraded. Yea radar trends will need to be watched as this gets underway in PA. I think the printout from that particular model is ok till about about the 4 or 5 inch line. The corridor of 4-5+ is likely about 50 miles or so too far northeast, and it maybe pretty robust on totals once it gets to that part of PA.. but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Light sleet. 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 18z NAM came in meaningfully north with the heavier precip for the central regions. Now UNV is over 0.5" instead of around 0.25" on the 12z. 12z: http://www.meteo.psu...2z/etaloop.html 18z: http://www.meteo.psu...8z/etaloop.html good sign for those North and maybe can add to what they got last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Yea radar trends will need to be watched as this gets underway in PA. I think the printout from that particular model is ok till about about the 4 or 5 inch line. The corridor of 4-5+ is likely about 50 miles or so too far northeast, and it maybe pretty robust on totals once it gets to that part of PA.. but we shall see. This is getting interesting. Noted snow has now reached Altoona as per 511PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Is it me, or is the precip going to have to take an ESE heading soon.....or it won't miss a lot of northern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLover Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Yea radar trends will need to be watched as this gets underway in PA. I think the printout from that particular model is ok till about about the 4 or 5 inch line. The corridor of 4-5+ is likely about 50 miles or so too far northeast, and it maybe pretty robust on totals once it gets to that part of PA.. but we shall see. I hear ya, very sharp gradient setup,not fun to forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Is it me, or is the precip going to have to take an ESE heading soon.....or it won't miss a lot of northern areas. earlier when i looked at the radar, i thought it looked like it was moving more west to east then ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 This is gonna be a major overperformer for somebody, methinks. Good luck to all - I'm off today so I will report midtown Harrisburg reports (though Jon and I have identical weather). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Flurries 32. It's about to get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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