Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Since the current weather threads are for "storm threats", which are pretty much irrelevant at this point, I figured I'd start a thread where we can have general current weather talk along with OBS and such. And maybe talk about current snowpack...things of that nature. Basically all weather that isn't directly related to a particular storm threat. I'll start with linking John's (earthlight's) blog. John and I just updated the forecast packages. http://www.nymetrowx.blogspot.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 35.3/34...light mix coming to an end. Still interested in the banding back in PA. About 10" of snowpack in my yards with well over a foot left in the wooded hillsides. South facing exposed areas have almost no snow cover, however, so it's quite a contrast around here with the February sun doing its dirty work. Arctic cold should stop the meltdown for a while, and then a gradient pattern looks to develop with northern stream disturbances expected over the weekend, and possibly again next week (as per 0z GFS and ECM). We'll probably deal with a few days of mild conditions later on but the 0z ECM shows an impressive -EPO/-NAO developing at Day 10..blocking really beginning to buckle the flow and squeeze the PV towards Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Squall line headed towards NYC metro...let's see if it's rain or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Squall line headed towards NYC metro...let's see if it's rain or snow. looks to be a mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Anybody awake in Nassau County? That squall line seems to be intensifying. I'll have an ob momentarily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Squall line is wet, not white. ( with a couple of pingers and wet flakes mixed in) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Squall line is wet, not white. Yep, the temp has been the same all night (38-39) and winds are still S...... getting moderate rain. Im pretty sure there will be 0 snow with this system in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm wondering if snow mixed in over eastern Suffolk County around 5-6AM. A few stations there saw the temp drop to about 33F when the heavy precip. moved in around dawn. http://classic.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KNYMANOR3 http://classic.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KNYRIVER5 Yep, the temp has been the same all night (38-39) and winds are still S...... getting moderate rain. Im pretty sure there will be 0 snow with this system in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm wondering if snow mixed in over eastern Suffolk County around 5-6AM. A few stations there saw the temp drop to about 33F when the heavy precip. moved in around dawn. http://classic.wunde...sp?ID=KNYMANOR3 http://classic.wunde...sp?ID=KNYRIVER5 Ah, so the cold air caught up with the heavy precip out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 The sun actually came out for a bit and its still 38-39 the same temp its been all night lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Currently 30 after a high of 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 currently at 32F... we were at 39F 3 hours ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Strongest winds of the day here so far with JFK gusting to 46 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 By the way another very impressive storm in the midsection of the country. Parts of Kansas have heavy snow with temps around 0 and wind chills of -35 and expecting up to a foot. Pretty rare for them to get those types of amounts. Wonder what kind of ratios they must be getting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 By the way another very impressive storm in the midsection of the country. Parts of Kansas have heavy snow with temps around 0 and wind chills of -35 and expecting up to a foot. Pretty rare for them to get those types of amounts. Wonder what kind of ratios they must be getting? I was just going to comment on this. Several obs of -1F in heavy snow with winds gusting to 40 in western Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Snow squall in NE NJ..awaiting it's arrival Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 awesome...coming down pretty well right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 It's moving fast enough so that it's snowing moderately and the skies are clear..clouds are already past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Yeah,I am getting a snow shower here now also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I was just going to comment on this. Several obs of -1F in heavy snow with winds gusting to 40 in western Kansas. Pretty good storm going on down there....998mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 That snow squall that came through Warren and Morris Counties earlier was rather impressive, dropping a quick inch of snow. The squall was well modeled by the GFS on the 18z run but did not show at all on the NAM. The NAM was horrible with yesterday's storm with the precipitation placement, but did well with the temperatures. The NAM did not show this late effect band at all. The NAM gets a huge thumbs down from me for precipitation placement the last two days but a thumbs up for temperatures. What is up with the horrible precipitation depictions yesterday and today in comparison to the nearly perfect job by the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 22.5 wind chill is butt cold. Still have at least 6" of slab slate like frozen substance everyware, looks like snow until you walk on it. Amazing that there's still dec 26 blizzard snow in there still. Wonder if it can hold out to 50 days continous snow cover. It took a big hit the last 4 days, had 15" on Friday so, we' ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 By the way another very impressive storm in the midsection of the country. Parts of Kansas have heavy snow with temps around 0 and wind chills of -35 and expecting up to a foot. Pretty rare for them to get those types of amounts. Wonder what kind of ratios they must be getting? I believe ratios are between 15:1 and 20:1 with the Kansas storm, as per the Western threads. Parts of NW Kansas had 850s of -21C today with moderate snow falling, so there's definitely some powder going on out there. Oklahoma is also getting hammered pretty hard with this wave....Tulsa is expecting 2-4" of snow tonight and 3-5" tomorrow; if this storm works out, the city should have over 30" on the season, quite remarkable considering its latitude is only 36N combined with the dry climate in the Southern Plains. That snow squall that came through Warren and Morris Counties earlier was rather impressive, dropping a quick inch of snow. The squall was well modeled by the GFS on the 18z run but did not show at all on the NAM. The NAM was horrible with yesterday's storm with the precipitation placement, but did well with the temperatures. The NAM did not show this late effect band at all. The NAM gets a huge thumbs down from me for precipitation placement the last two days but a thumbs up for temperatures. What is up with the horrible precipitation depictions yesterday and today in comparison to the nearly perfect job by the GFS? The NAM just had the whole system modeled a bit too far offshore, and it's generally inaccurate in complex synoptic situations. Overall, I'd feel much more comfortable using the NAM for temperatures than QPF. Anyway, I'm down to 17.3/5 here...the low dewpoints and crisp NW winds feel great after a few days of very mild weather. We should be staying pretty cold until at least next Tuesday. I'm hoping to get down near 10F tonight and then stay in the upper 20s tomorrow to prevent any further loss of snowpack. About 10" remains on my front lawn with 12-16" in the wooded nature preserve behind my house, which lies at around 400' elevation in its higher interior spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 9, 2011 Author Share Posted February 9, 2011 I had some sun flurries at around 3pm today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 WHAT, NO POSTS ON P006? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 WHAT, NO POSTS ON P006? LOL.....Thats reaching a bit, but hey I'd take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 WHAT, NO POSTS ON P006? Although the euro is rain because surface is torching, the H5 depiction argues for the system to dig more and come more south. Need to see if future runs start bringing the low south to give our area a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 12z GFS came south for the clipper on Monday. Surface is a touch warm, but not much. A bit more south and we can squeeze out a little here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Just back from a warmer place and its amazing the turn of events from when I left this past weekend to now. There were storms to track and load of potential for this weekl, now we go trackless for a while. Like an addict needing their fix, bring ont he next storm potential and bring it on quickly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Just back from a warmer place and its amazing the turn of events from when I left this past weekend to now. There were storms to track and load of potential for this weekl, now we go trackless for a while. Like an addict needing their fix, bring ont he next storm potential and bring it on quickly.. Honestly I'm happy we're getting a bit of a break right now. I like the fact that it is sunny, cold and there is snow on the ground. It was getting ridiculous tracking all these threats for what seemed like every day for 6 weeks. I'd love for more snow this winter, and I definitely think we have a couple storms on our plate before the winter is over, but a break is kind of necessary since there are other important things going on in my life that need attention too lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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