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2011 - Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm Thread


Kmlwx

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Not our area, but there is a signal for an epic rain and then severe storm outbreak across middle of country (Missouri and surroundings) from today through Tuesday. A few of the models spitting up widespread 4-6 inch rain totals, with locally more, and the severe weather types on the board all alerting for severe outbreak for Monday/Tuesday over there. The central forum an interesting read.

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Not our area, but there is a signal for an epic rain and then severe storm outbreak across middle of country (Missouri and surroundings) from today through Tuesday. A few of the models spitting up widespread 4-6 inch rain totals, with locally more, and the severe weather types on the board all alerting for severe outbreak for Monday/Tuesday over there. The central forum an interesting read.

the rain threat looks legit for sure.. im sure the svr too, but people are getting a little hyperactive with severe after the last few episodes. it's possible we already say the big multi-day tornado outbreak of the year. next week doesnt look as big to me.

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Yeah, wasn't highlighting that forum as preview of coming attractions for our region, rather mentioning it for the severe weather fans. I think portions of central US have good shot at tornadic outbreaks monday into tuesday. I don't presume to guess at that moving eastward with a multi-day outbreak like last week. But for active weather? Missouri through ohio valley is in great spot for next four to six days. Flooding is going to be a huge story out there shortly I think.

Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk

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Yeah, wasn't highlighting that forum as preview of coming attractions for our region, rather mentioning it for the severe weather fans. I think portions of central US have good shot at tornadic outbreaks monday into tuesday. I don't presume to guess at that moving eastward with a multi-day outbreak like last week. But for active weather? Missouri through ohio valley is in great spot for next four to six days. Flooding is going to be a huge story out there shortly I think.

Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk

I wasnt talking here specifically either.. we're headed into the heart of svr storm season, of course there will be svr storms. The normal names are being irresponsible again by proclaiming 300 tornadoes are coming next week.

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it looks like one of the better threats we've had this season so far but it's still a bit too early to get all that excited about it locally. euro is a good big nw of the gfs and also has iffy timing.

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I wasnt talking here specifically either.. we're headed into the heart of svr storm season, of course there will be svr storms. The normal names are being irresponsible again by proclaiming 300 tornadoes are coming next week.

Yes, the number lust of the big names throwing around those kinds of numbers is silly. My take on the Monday/Tuesday (more likely Tuesday/Wednesday) threat is that conditions look pretty damn favorable for super cell storms and long track tornados. I don't need a historic number to get excited about it, that's for sure, and not sure why the need to predict, always, the MOST BIGGEST ever. Well, I do know, click whoredom, but still.

At any rate, there should be some stuff for chasers to chase out that way, I think.

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Bayum

Secondary Developing? Aweful Timing

The secondary might decrease our instability, but it'll add some of the vital dynamics that this region needs to have a good TOR risk, even if it's embedded along a QLCS near the cold front.

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In other news, let's not forget that we're in the See Text for the whole weekend :)

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The secondary might decrease our instability, but it'll add some of the vital dynamics that this region needs to have a good TOR risk, even if it's embedded along a QLCS near the cold front.

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In other news, let's not forget that we're in the See Text for the whole weekend :)

yeah I getcha, I just have a good feeling about next week and the pattern beyond.

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