Ian Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 I guess maybe that was the front. Pretty exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 I guess maybe that was the front. Pretty exciting! I missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 NEED I SAY "NEXT"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 I missed it at least we're not in PA.. they got a watch for nothing basically. spc is awesome but they are worst in the northeast imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 would've liked to hear some thunder at least, but just got a quick blast of ok winds and uber dryness. Allergies x10 right now for me, my nose is dying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 would've liked to hear some thunder at least, but just got a quick blast of ok winds and uber dryness. Allergies x10 right now for me, my nose is dying. its the eyes, its the eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 at least we're not in PA.. they got a watch for nothing basically. spc is awesome but they are worst in the northeast imo. Watch=Fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Baaayyuummmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 ^^^^^^^ ugh, please say it aint so. Moving in the rain sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Looks like an interesting day a bit further south into southern VA and NC with the 27th-28th system... decent TOR risk. More of a wind risk with a line of storms up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Its still on, 18z - 00z 28th-29th. I like the look, despite the specifics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Looks like an interesting day a bit further south into southern VA and NC with the 27th-28th system... decent TOR risk. More of a wind risk with a line of storms up here. I forgot to ask, did you guys catch your first Tornado last weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 I forgot to ask, did you guys catch your first Tornado last weekend? We caught a funnel cloud, and the circulation MAY have reached the surface, but there was a tree line in the way so we couldn't tell if it ever got to the ground or not. Sticking with funnel cloud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 We caught a funnel cloud, and the circulation MAY have reached the surface, but there was a tree line in the way so we couldn't tell if it ever got to the ground or not. Sticking with funnel cloud. Any pictures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Any pictures? Y'all need to maybe check out the Southeast forum, where, you know, all that stuff happened... It's all up on my web site as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Not our area, but there is a signal for an epic rain and then severe storm outbreak across middle of country (Missouri and surroundings) from today through Tuesday. A few of the models spitting up widespread 4-6 inch rain totals, with locally more, and the severe weather types on the board all alerting for severe outbreak for Monday/Tuesday over there. The central forum an interesting read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Not our area, but there is a signal for an epic rain and then severe storm outbreak across middle of country (Missouri and surroundings) from today through Tuesday. A few of the models spitting up widespread 4-6 inch rain totals, with locally more, and the severe weather types on the board all alerting for severe outbreak for Monday/Tuesday over there. The central forum an interesting read. the rain threat looks legit for sure.. im sure the svr too, but people are getting a little hyperactive with severe after the last few episodes. it's possible we already say the big multi-day tornado outbreak of the year. next week doesnt look as big to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 as is the timing is probably a little early on the gfs but this looks pretty solid http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_150m.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_850_150m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Looks like it comes in between 11AM & 1PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Yeah, wasn't highlighting that forum as preview of coming attractions for our region, rather mentioning it for the severe weather fans. I think portions of central US have good shot at tornadic outbreaks monday into tuesday. I don't presume to guess at that moving eastward with a multi-day outbreak like last week. But for active weather? Missouri through ohio valley is in great spot for next four to six days. Flooding is going to be a huge story out there shortly I think. Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Yeah, wasn't highlighting that forum as preview of coming attractions for our region, rather mentioning it for the severe weather fans. I think portions of central US have good shot at tornadic outbreaks monday into tuesday. I don't presume to guess at that moving eastward with a multi-day outbreak like last week. But for active weather? Missouri through ohio valley is in great spot for next four to six days. Flooding is going to be a huge story out there shortly I think. Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk I wasnt talking here specifically either.. we're headed into the heart of svr storm season, of course there will be svr storms. The normal names are being irresponsible again by proclaiming 300 tornadoes are coming next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Next week beginning to look like a big one. The Warm GOM and expansive NH Snowcover have been giving us the works thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 it looks like one of the better threats we've had this season so far but it's still a bit too early to get all that excited about it locally. euro is a good big nw of the gfs and also has iffy timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Yea the ecmwf is North, I was more referring to the US in general, wherever it may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 I wasnt talking here specifically either.. we're headed into the heart of svr storm season, of course there will be svr storms. The normal names are being irresponsible again by proclaiming 300 tornadoes are coming next week. Yes, the number lust of the big names throwing around those kinds of numbers is silly. My take on the Monday/Tuesday (more likely Tuesday/Wednesday) threat is that conditions look pretty damn favorable for super cell storms and long track tornados. I don't need a historic number to get excited about it, that's for sure, and not sure why the need to predict, always, the MOST BIGGEST ever. Well, I do know, click whoredom, but still. At any rate, there should be some stuff for chasers to chase out that way, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 As for the potential "event" next week.... 18z bring it in near the same time here as 12z, maybe a bit faster? Later on would be better, as seen in the later panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 Bayum Secondary Developing? Aweful Timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 Bayum Secondary Developing? Aweful Timing The secondary might decrease our instability, but it'll add some of the vital dynamics that this region needs to have a good TOR risk, even if it's embedded along a QLCS near the cold front. ----- In other news, let's not forget that we're in the See Text for the whole weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 The secondary might decrease our instability, but it'll add some of the vital dynamics that this region needs to have a good TOR risk, even if it's embedded along a QLCS near the cold front. ----- In other news, let's not forget that we're in the See Text for the whole weekend yeah I getcha, I just have a good feeling about next week and the pattern beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 Slight risk today west of blue ridge with 15 hail and 15 wind and 2 tor. No real disco for us in the 0600 spc day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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