Kmlwx Posted April 2, 2011 Author Share Posted April 2, 2011 Not to mention half the memorableness from my point of view was the tracking of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 Well it knocked out my power for two days. But all in all there wasn't much damage right in my neighborhood. You have to look at more than just Bethesda dude. Something that is memorable for a very localized area may not rank highly in the overall records for our area. June 4, 2008 was huge in terms of area covered, repeat lines, etc. Jul 25 of last year was memorable more for a smaller covered area but with intense microburst winds. You are too Bethesda-centric! I am very Bethesda Centric But believe me, I know what 6/4/08 did outside Bethesda. I spent about 1 week in Reston VA cutting down 100ft oak trees on my Grandmothers Farm, they were snapped like toothpicks. My area was spared big time. Tracking the thing was fun too, the bow echo was so sexy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 6/4/08? "She" must have got you good, since its always brought up.....a huge letdown for my area locally, if I hadn't known it was coming, I wouldn't have noticed it. When it concerns severe weather, sometimes you're Jebman, and other times you're Ji. Today you are Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 http://www.easternus...ather-outbreak/ Ahh, I remember that day. The day my sister graduated high school, drove home in a tornado warned cell to get to her graduation on time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Ahh, I remember that day. The day my sister graduated high school, drove home in a tornado warned cell to get to her graduation on time. Scarrry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Fuuuuuun FYP Get them boomers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Scarrry No way. It was awesome. What was scary was having my mother call me saying she was getting the dogs and retreating to the basement bathroom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 When it concerns severe weather, sometimes you're Jebman, and other times you're Ji. Today you are Ji. hey i think i was very level headed today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 I have been neglecting this thread lately. If I can free up some more time in the coming days/weeks I'd like to keep taking a look at some of the research I had been doing early on in the life of this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Chance of some severe storms in W. WV tomorrow evening...SPC has my corner of WV in the slight area and CRW talking it up a little bit in their AFD ...THE PROSPECTS FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ALONG THE FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY IN THE WEST...AS THE FRONT REACHES THE OHIO RIVER BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING. SPC ACTUALLY PULLS THE SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BACK TO THE SOUTH AND WEST....COVERING ONLY THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF OUR AREA. THIS IS DUE TO THE SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPMENT SHUNTING THE BEST INSTABILITY SOUTHWARD. NEVERTHELESS...WILL MENTION AT LEAST GUSTY WINDS IN THUNDER AS WE FOLLOW THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA...EXITING THE MOUNTAINS AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. OUTSIDE OF THUNDER...GUSTY WINDS ARE FORECAST IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT MONDAY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 It appears SPC is siding with the euro in their day 2 outlook with a later arrival of the front. This is why DC isn't in the thunderstorm risk area, hopefully. Overall, the timing won't be that great. Places east of the Chesapeake might do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 The timing does look pretty piss poor for good severe. But we have tended to do relatively well with morning storms around DC locally already this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 LWX in their early morning disco seemed to like our severe chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 LWX in their early morning disco seemed to like our severe chances Eh maybe...but they just kind of said it bears watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Eh maybe...but they just kind of said it bears watching. morning severe only happens when its unexpected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 morning severe only happens when its unexpected Which is why I'm not expecting it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Ian or Kenny, could you guys help me understand this part of the AFD from LWX "BUT GIVEN THE FACTS THAT THERE`LL BE CONSIDERABLE LO LVL HTG AND TURNING OF THE WINDS THE THREAT FOR SVR TSTMS BEARS WATCHING...ESPECIALLY MON EVE." I thought turning of the winds dealt more with tornadoes than thunderstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 it usually does, but maybe they just didnt specify. the low level jet is often most powerful at night and can help with storms/rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 it usually does, but maybe they just didnt specify. the low level jet is often most powerful at night and can help with storms/rotation. I hope we can at least get something. I have been very bored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Slight Risk extended ever so slightly to the N+E with the afternoon update... potential to go further N+E. Instability looking better on the 12z suite for potential chasing (SW PA). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Slight Risk extended ever so slightly to the N+E with the afternoon update... potential to go further N+E. Instability looking better on the 12z suite for potential chasing (SW PA). Why up in SW PA? Too late in the day for for the LWX area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Why up in SW PA? Too late in the day for for the LWX area? Pretty much... also better dynamics as the UL jet intensifies and puts SW PA in the right-entrance region. Aside from the time of the day I'm not sure why the Slight keeps getting snubbed. Also, it's not WV, which gives it +10000000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Pretty much... also better dynamics as the UL jet intensifies and puts SW PA in the right-entrance region. Aside from the time of the day I'm not sure why the Slight keeps getting snubbed. Okies. Also, is the LLJ going to be around for us here tomorrow evening into the overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Okies. Also, is the LLJ going to be around for us here tomorrow evening into the overnight? Looking at the NAM on TwisterData... 70+ kts max out of the SW at 850mb Boogity boogity boogity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 If the instability and views are there I'd probably try to work further N into west-central PA for better timing and helicity. There's some pretty awesome motion going on if we can get the instability to go with it to the NW... I'm expecting some decent storms in our area overnight but I'm not terribly impressed RE: severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Looking at the NAM on TwisterData... 70+ kts max out of the SW at 850mb Boogity boogity boogity! Could you explain what you mean by that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Could you explain what you mean by that? There's a fast low-level flow out of the SW just ahead of the cold front... looking at the soundings and low-level maps there is a 70 kt maximum wind speed in the region, which is pretty effin quick (a good LL speed is 50 kts, so 70+ is quite awesome). This would cause the main threat for severe weather in our region as any convection with downdrafts could mix these speeds down to the surface, which would probably give us 50-65 kt gusts is the convection was good enough and stayed surface-based. I should get a full write-up out later today... watching Martinsville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 Afternoon discussion from LWX sounds meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 The accuwx forums are providing better discussion and updates than americanwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 The accuwx forums are providing better discussion and updates than americanwx. I actually went and checked that forum for the first time ever, and that "discussion" you mention is simply just a bunch of copypasta of model images and verbatim descriptions with virtually no interpretation and analysis beyond "it's different from the other run." That's what the snow weenies do, and this region's severe group is good enough to not need a thread filled with these virtually useless posts. My discussion is coming shortly... fell asleep again and missed the end of the race Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.