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2011 - Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm Thread


Kmlwx

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I'm leaning that way, too. It's still borderline at this point... much better confidence for low-end Moderate if things stayed this way or got slightly better by tomorrow.

i cant remember how many mod risks i've seen here in a d2 outlook.. cant be more than 1 or 2. most are upgrades the morning of.

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I was surprised. My memory was foggy but for such a big derecho event I thought we'd have been in it or at least 30% the day before. That makes SPC more bullish in these parts on this event. Interesting.

08 was not that much of a classic setup.. this is moreso. tho the low passes a litle closer to us than we might want (it seems for whatever reason our better severe comes with a low almost into canada.

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08 was not that much of a classic setup.. this is moreso. tho the low passes a litle closer to us than we might want (it seems for whatever reason our better severe comes with a low almost into canada.

That makes sense. 08 I guess was driven more by smaller scale and mesoscale features that just worked out just right.

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That makes sense. 08 I guess was driven more by smaller scale and mesoscale features that just worked out just right.

there were very strong winds west to east at most levels so i think there was an indication someone would get clocked but with a derecho type event i think you sort of have to wait till it's forming to know who is in line. these probably have less certainty of getting hit in any given spot but it fits well into the climo sweet spot for severe around here.. except it's feb. ;)

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there were very strong winds west to east at most levels so i think there was an indication someone would get clocked but with a derecho type event i think you sort of have to wait till it's forming to know who is in line. these probably have less certainty of getting hit in any given spot but it fits well into the climo sweet spot for severe around here.. except it's feb. ;)

Lets go for the anomaly!

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the euro is tricky with the weekend.. maybe a shot sunday as the first low goes northwest. then it forms another low south of us and tries to change western sections to some snow as the low moves up the coast.

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