weathafella Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 lol....NAM kind of agrees with RUC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 IF Phil and I can leave our fridge doors open and cool it off enough we'd get into advisory snows if not better tonight. Face value it never gets cold enough for him or I, but just to my NW it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 lol....NAM kind of agrees with RUC. The RUC is never really "that" wrong at 3-5 hours this season. It's overdone...but at 700 it has the focus correct it seems. WTF is wrong with all models that they cannot forecast anything right at 500mb at 6-12 hours. It HAS to be garbage in garbage out, crap data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 It's snowing How much u expecting overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 The RUC is never really "that" wrong at 3-5 hours this season. It's overdone...but at 700 it has the focus correct it seems. WTF is wrong with all models that they cannot forecast anything right at 500mb at 6-12 hours. It HAS to be garbage in garbage out, crap data. This has got to be the worst year for short term models I can remember in a long time..crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 lol....NAM kind of agrees with RUC. Meh. It gives pretty much all of CT .1-.25" QPF. More for areas east and west of CT, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Will..you snowing yet? No, nothing yet...unless they are extreme weenie flakes that I can't see from here under the street light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Steady light snow here, things may be looking pretty decent for this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 nam radar at 6 hours looks immpressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 NAM more robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 No, nothing yet...unless they are extreme weenie flakes that I can't see from here under the street light. It'll start as real tiny weenie flakes..like the size of Ray's weenie..then they'll pick up just a bit in size and intensity after 15 mins or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Nam gives me maybe 2". Even if the RUC verifies I cant see getting more then 4", so I think 1-3" is a good forecast for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 This has got to be the worst year for short term models I can remember in a long time..crazy. If this busts tonight and the RUC got it right again....I just have an impossible time believing we don't have a data issue/handling issue etc...or maybe it's the Canucks who knows...but it says something that the rapid update models are leading the way and all models including the great ones like the Euro keep struggling. Consider this Weathafella...the NAM gave ZERO qpf where the br radar shows it's coming down pretty hard. How in the fu** does that keep happening 3 hours out? http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=DIX&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2011 Author Share Posted February 8, 2011 No, nothing yet...unless they are extreme weenie flakes that I can't see from here under the street light. Flakes here in Hubbardston again... hope to get 3" Expecting 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Ok Will Phil Scott Weatha...what do you guys make of NAM temps down here? I think it looks too warm for the canal area east.....no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 If this busts tonight and the RUC got it right again....I just have an impossible time believing we don't have a data issue/handling issue etc...or maybe it's the Canucks who knows...but it says something that the rapid update models are leading the way and all models including the great ones like the Euro keep struggling. Consider this Weathafella...the NAM gave ZERO qpf where the br radar shows it's coming down pretty hard. How in the fu** does that keep happening 3 hours out? http://radar.weather...id=DIX&loop=yes What hours are you comparing the NAM to the RUC when you talk about a huge bust with shortwaves?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 LOL wcvb futurecast snowfall brings ORH from .8" at 1:30 to 2.4" at 2:00 :o That would be one insane squall, 6"/hour rates FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 If this busts tonight and the RUC got it right again....I just have an impossible time believing we don't have a data issue/handling issue etc...or maybe it's the Canucks who knows...but it says something that the rapid update models are leading the way and all models including the great ones like the Euro keep struggling. Consider this Weathafella...the NAM gave ZERO qpf where the br radar shows it's coming down pretty hard. How in the fu** does that keep happening 3 hours out? http://radar.weather...id=DIX&loop=yes Could be bad data like you said that was entered. But, maybe even the high grid models can't keep up with the progressive flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Still light drizzle and 34 degrees we have dropped a degree in the last hour or so in Ansonia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 NYC radar looking good ....like someone is turning up the dbz volume 20 dbz + now common in Sny W LI and SW ct. http://www.intellicast.com/National/Nexrad/BaseReflectivity.aspx?location=USNY1475 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Some really tiny flakes here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 29/28, -sn, cars are whitened. decent flakeage. Should be a nice little event.Good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Ok Will Phil Scott Weatha...what do you guys make of NAM temps down here? I think it looks too warm for the canal area east.....no? It looks mild in the lower 2500ft or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 What hours are you comparing the NAM to the RUC when you talk about a huge bust with shortwaves?? Yeah...we should probably be comparing the 18z RUC to the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 light rain 35/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Its interesting how slowly the backedge is moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 36F now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 patches of heavy snow showing up NNW of philly.... or should i say 30-40dbz returns . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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