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Feb 7/8 Mostly "Meh" snow obs/disco


HoarfrostHubb

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i wasn't here for 4/97 so it's hard for me to comment. i know folks tell me it was a pretty good event down here...8 to 12 with lots of tree damage.

that event is definitely a love it or hate it kind of thing with respect to the "give up 6 weeks of winter" in exchange for the "big one" idea. i'm guessing kevin (don't know how much he had...14"?) would not give up the next 6 weeks. i knew will and scott would in heartbeat...and i'm almost certain Ray will say yes to that.

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euro is a bit interesting 14th/15th. little miller b action there with some sneaky HP in southern canada.

also bumped north some on thursday...probably virga now. LOL.

No storms next ten days, car washing, Yankees.......... LOL Still at Epic depths up here. Lots of folks singing a swan song......

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i wasn't here for 4/97 so it's hard for me to comment. i know folks tell me it was a pretty good event down here...8 to 12 with lots of tree damage.

that event is definitely a love it or hate it kind of thing with respect to the "give up 6 weeks of winter" in exchange for the "big one" idea. i'm guessing kevin (don't know how much he had...14"?) would not give up the next 6 weeks. i knew will and scott would in heartbeat...and i'm almost certain Ray will say yes to that.

I couldn't do it, one until it happened Kev and Ray would be incorrigible, 2, mud season sucks, give me a another solid month ending in a KU end of March and I will be looking forward to baseball.

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Does the warm-up ever arrive or do we get a couple of sneaky cold/snow threats next week?

Also, where does this Miller B form and track to?

Well we have one low that tracks near Montreal on Sunday, but it's not one of those classic lows that pulls up a ton of warm air. One of those low thickness over the border lows, as I like to call it. That low then sends a cold front south, as a new low forms over the Lakes and moves right across sne. The H5 trough sharpens and the low develops in the Gulf of Maine and almost has an inv like feature pointed at the Mass coastline. Looks like some -sn would rotate down across eastern areas.

After that second low passes by, another shot of cold air comes for a brief visit, then the building warmth comes east by the end of next week. This is what the 12z euro op shows.

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i wasn't here for 4/97 so it's hard for me to comment. i know folks tell me it was a pretty good event down here...8 to 12 with lots of tree damage.

that event is definitely a love it or hate it kind of thing with respect to the "give up 6 weeks of winter" in exchange for the "big one" idea. i'm guessing kevin (don't know how much he had...14"?) would not give up the next 6 weeks. i knew will and scott would in heartbeat...and i'm almost certain Ray will say yes to that.

36" IMBY (actually on the deck of the little apartment in Gardner we rented at the time)

Gone in 5 days...

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so you are with pickles on this one.

No doubt especially since I have been having having some much fun outside in the snow except for the roof shoveling ice dam stuff. Every day when I wake up I just sit and stare with my coffee in hand, still can not believe it. When I took my second weenie ride today man there are some spots around here that are just unreal. I know we have peaked but a gradual letdown would be nice. There is always the outside chance we pull off yet another KU anyways.

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euro does a nice job delaying the torch but once it breaks...it's a CTBlizz Suicide Watch event end of next week on this run.

but plenty of bitter cold lurking north of the border.

in fact, if you extrapolated the day 10 euro :arrowhead: it looks like it would be a short-lived heat wave with a return to some serious cold pretty quickly.

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euro does a nice job delaying the torch but once it breaks...it's a CTBlizz Suicide Watch event end of next week on this run.

but plenty of bitter cold lurking north of the border.

The longer it keeps it at day 8-10 the better I feel it will be short lived. Donnie baseball in PM thinks March 01 looking better.

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in fact, if you extrapolated the day 10 euro :arrowhead: it looks like it would be a short-lived heat wave with a return to some serious cold pretty quickly.

Yeah it looks like the torch is very short lived on this run....but I don't really believe it. :lol:

The miller B threat is looking a lot more promising though for early next week.

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Yeah it looks like the torch is very short lived on this run....but I don't really believe it. :lol:

The miller B threat is looking a lot more promising though for early next week.

yep...never rush a pattern change one way or the other. we'll see how it shakes out.

i can already feel my focus starting to shift a bit away from smaller events (though all snow is good snow and i welcome any) and more toward bigger events. that's what's fun about february and march imo. i know they can be a downer to some of the snowpack fetish folks but they can deliver some serious storms.

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yep...never rush a pattern change one way or the other. we'll see how it shakes out.

i can already feel my focus starting to shift a bit away from smaller events (though all snow is good snow and i welcome any) and more toward bigger events. that's what's fun about february and march imo. i know they can be a downer to some of the snowpack fetish folks but they can deliver some serious storms.

The smaller events become more useless as we go along with the increasing sun angle. Today was a good example...in that pic I took of the snow burst you can see how the snow had already fallen off the trees...3.5" probably was down to 2" of slush.

Early March can really deliver though...hopefully we get one. Late February has seemed to have a lack of monster storms for some reason...maybe its just a fluke. Maybe this is the year to change it since we've been getting big storms on snow-starved dates (Jan 12, Jan 26-27)

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The Miller B Feb 15 has gotten some attention since today's Euro... if it comes to fruition, let's not forget GFS has been showing this for a while, since 18Z 2/6/11...

18Z 2/6/11 GFS run showed a strong Miller B shooting off NJ coast and hitting eastern SNE hard.

Since then, it's trended north and tracks it over or north of SNE, similar to today's Euro.

We'll see. It's our best shot at wintry precipitation the next week. At the very least, it delays the torch a bit.

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The smaller events become more useless as we go along with the increasing sun angle. Today was a good example...in that pic I took of the snow burst you can see how the snow had already fallen off the trees...3.5" probably was down to 2" of slush.

Early March can really deliver though...hopefully we get one. Late February has seemed to have a lack of monster storms for some reason...maybe its just a fluke. Maybe this is the year to change it since we've been getting big storms on snow-starved dates (Jan 12, Jan 26-27)

I had a nice little burst move through during last period about 1:10-1:45 today. I don't know what to put for my total...everythings melted pretty much, theres just a coating left on the driveway and deck. There was 2.1" when I left this morning so Im guessing not much more, maybe 2.5"?

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