Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 2

[Ed Lizard]

Since Steve had to go to Baltimore for the conference, I guess it is up to me that the 12Z Euro brings the Central Atlantic lemon to Texas as barely detectable tropical wave.

[msp]

nice t-storms over harris county. maybe half an inch for a few lucky folks?

and dfw cracked 100 again today... at least 101F for the metroplex.

[Quixotic1]

You know it's bad when you get your hopes up because a front is showing up in OK on the 300 hr GFS.

And the beat goes on......

[My Weather Today]

You know it's bad when you get your hopes up because a front is showing up in OK on the 300 hr GFS.

And the beat goes on......

Yea I know, absolutely brutal.

[bubba hotep]

You know it's bad when you get your hopes up because a front is showing up in OK on the 300 hr GFS.

And the beat goes on......

Nothing wrong with starting to fine tune your long range skills for this winter! I am kind of feeling a repeat of last winter for N. Texas but my analog skills are not great and I don't put a ton of confidence in analog forecasting...

[msp]

and back to the heat we go. CLL forecast highs of 101 or 102 for the next six days.

still only 0.10" of rain for the month

[Ed Lizard]

Since Steve is tying one on in Maryland, it becomes my job to point out far off in the future best case scenarios for drought reduction. Strong tropical wave or maybe even a depression per the Euro.

[Ed Lizard]

20ºF cooler at IAH than BWI right now...

[msp]

flood advisory and a flash flood warning out in big bend country. parts of NM getting drenched too.

only decent rain in seTX right over the bayou now.

[msp]

102F at 6pm in CLL. had a couple hours at 102F... maybe got to 103 or 104 intrahour. i'm pretty sure 104F is still the high for 2011.

[wxmx]

Talking about long range... next winter looks like a repeat of this past winter...maybe a tad drier.

[Quixotic1]

Nothing wrong with starting to fine tune your long range skills for this winter! I am kind of feeling a repeat of last winter for N. Texas but my analog skills are not great and I don't put a ton of confidence in analog forecasting...

Talking about long range... next winter looks like a repeat of this past winter...maybe a tad drier.

Agreed. Curious as to how a -QBO will affect a setup that looks a lot like last year.

[Ed Lizard]

Talking about long range... next winter looks like a repeat of this past winter...maybe a tad drier.

We can get even drier?

Time to tear out the lawn and plant prickly pear and acacia?

The city of Austin actually subsidizes (or did when I lived there) homeowners replacing their lawns with xeriscaping.

[wxmx]

We can get even drier?

Time to tear out the lawn and plant prickly pear and acacia?

The city of Austin actually subsidizes (or did when I lived there) homeowners replacing their lawns with xeriscaping.

If there's not a big TC before Oct, things could get very, very bad for many.

[Ed Lizard]

Euro drops almost half an inch of rain ith the rotting corpse of ex-90L late week/weekend.

[Msalgado]

Sorry to see those of you in Texas still burning up but the Monsoon has finally kicked into effect in earnest here in NM. The past few days have seen Tstorms in the ABQ and Santa Fe area so I'm extremely grateful for the respite from the heat.

That being said, I'm coming into SA for 5 days this coming weekend and it looks I'm picking the hottest heat wave of the season. That simply sucks.

[msp]

soaking rains north and east of greater houston. nothing to b/cs yet, but coming close. even got a flood advisory out for the golden triangle:

* AT 501 PM CDT A BAND OF STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE

PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR. AROUND 1 INCH

OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN WITHIN THE LAST 30 MINUTES IN A FEW SPOTS

WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA.

[am19psu]

Steve (Srain) texted me and said he is without power and has extremely heavy marble sized hail.

[msp]

if radar estimates are decent, maybe an inch to an inch and a half across the northwest metro, and maybe some totals approaching two inches near beaumont.

[Srain]

Well that was 'special'. I still have no power and we have roof hail damage in the neighborhood and an Ike leak resurfaced. The hail splashing in the pool looked like W TX...

[msp]

Well that was 'special'. I still have no power and we have roof hail damage in the neighborhood and an Ike leak resurfaced. The hail splashing in the pool looked like W TX...

i was gone for a while. was it warned?

[wall_cloud]

wake me up when summer is over. I'm way beyond sick of this garbage.

[My Weather Today]

wake me up when summer is over. I'm way beyond sick of this garbage.

Now that particular opinion of yours is probably reflective of the opinions of the local Austin/San Antoinio National Weather Service WFO as well.

[msp]

wake me up when summer is over. I'm way beyond sick of this garbage.

60 days and counting of 100+ isn't your cup of tea?

i can't say i'm in quite the hurry to move back down there in three and half weeks either.

[Quixotic1]

60 days and counting of 100+ isn't your cup of tea?

i can't say i'm in quite the hurry to move back down there in three and half weeks either.

They shut down 45 about 6 weeks ago due to grass fires. If texas doesn't get some rain soon, fall is going to be a mess when the winds pick up.

[msp]

They shut down 45 about 6 weeks ago due to grass fires. If texas doesn't get some rain soon, fall is going to be a mess when the winds pick up.

i guess my biggest fear, selfishly speaking, is water rationing. if it came down to mandatory reductions in usage, that's going to be a PITA.

CLL hit 103F today... 103F forecasted for tomorrow. if we get really lucky, we may hit the record of 105F.

[Quixotic1]

i guess my biggest fear, selfishly speaking, is water rationing. if it came down to mandatory reductions in usage, that's going to be a PITA.

CLL hit 103F today... 103F forecasted for tomorrow. if we get really lucky, we may hit the record of 105F.

Not sure but I think CLL is over the Ogallala Aquifer. You should be ok.

[Ed Lizard]

Well that was 'special'. I still have no power and we have roof hail damage in the neighborhood and an Ike leak resurfaced. The hail splashing in the pool looked like W TX...

You're so lucky. Over an hour of loud thunder, and just a sprinkling of rain.

[Quixotic1]

Dare I say it? The streak may be over for DFW? Sprinkling right now outside. I was beginning to think virga was our official form of precip.

[Ed Lizard]

If 90L tracked closer to the Northern end of the LEK unofficial cone of silence we'd have a good shot at some decent rain. South of CRP, I'm not so hopeful.