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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 2

Srain

By Srain,
in Central/Western States

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

Some action West of Waco:

TORNADO WARNING TXC099-193-281-212130- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0079.110521T2052Z-110521T2130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 352 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN CORYELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTH CENTRAL LAMPASAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 430 PM CDT * AT 352 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A DEVELOPING TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF EVANT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM! SEEK SHELTER NOW! * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... EVANT AROUND 405 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO AN INTERIOR BATHROOM...CLOSET...OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR BUILDING. COVER YOURSELF WITH BLANKETS...PILLOWS...OR A MATTRESS FOR PROTECTION. IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. && LAT...LON 3162 9831 3165 9780 3136 9779 3135 9809 3137 9829 3140 9830 3141 9827 3145 9830 TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 265DEG 14KT 3149 9822 $$

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

Still churning East with some damage reported:

TORNADO WARNING TXC099-193-212230- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0080.110521T2127Z-110521T2230Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 427 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN CORYELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 530 PM CDT * AT 426 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS AND DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A TORNADO 20 MILES WEST OF GATESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM! SEEK SHELTER NOW! THIS STORM HAS ALREADY DAMAGED SOME STRUCTURES. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... GATESVILLE AND SOUTH MOUNTAIN AROUND 530 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. && LAT...LON 3161 9813 3169 9778 3167 9776 3171 9769 3137 9746 3141 9812 TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 264DEG 14KT 3150 9806 $ DUNN

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

A stormy afternoon down that way:

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 715 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 TXC053-220030- /O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110522T0030Z/ BURNET TX- 715 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL BURNET COUNTY... AT 710 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF SHADY GROVE...OR NEAR BURNET...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL MOVE OVER FM 963 NORTH OF BURNET AND CONTINUE SOUTHEAST TOWARD FM 1174. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. && LAT...LON 3080 9825 3089 9817 3086 9803 3074 9812 TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 292DEG 15KT 3082 9817 $$

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Srain

Srain

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:yikes:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

916 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0836 PM HAIL BURNET 30.76N 98.23W

05/21/2011 M4.00 INCH BURNET TX PUBLIC

GRAPEFRUIT SIZE HAIL FALLING IN NORTH CENTRAL BURNET.

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

:yikes:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

916 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0836 PM HAIL BURNET 30.76N 98.23W

05/21/2011 M4.00 INCH BURNET TX PUBLIC

GRAPEFRUIT SIZE HAIL FALLING IN NORTH CENTRAL BURNET.

It was a crazy afternoon down there between Brownwood and Waco. There had to have been some outlandish rainfall totals as well.

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Srain

Srain

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^

The good news is the water sheds for the Austin area lakes benefited from those rains. Another active week ahead for parts of the Lone Star State while we in SE TX are dry as a bone.:(

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

Just W of Decatur:

TORNADO WARNING TXC237-497-222330- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0082.110522T2242Z-110522T2330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 542 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL JACK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... WESTERN WISE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 630 PM CDT * AT 542 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A DEVELOPING TORNADO 6 MILES NORTH OF JACKSBORO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... CHICO...LAKE BRIDGEPORT AND RUNAWAY BAY AROUND 630 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO AN INTERIOR BATHROOM...CLOSET...OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR BUILDING. COVER YOURSELF WITH BLANKETS...PILLOWS...OR A MATTRESS FOR PROTECTION. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. && LAT...LON 3339 9769 3310 9772 3323 9823 3344 9816 TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 278DEG 12KT 3330 9811 $ DUNN

Edit: Ugh can't get the formatting right in this new Fire Fox

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Ed Lizard

Ed Lizard

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Posted

By Day 10, Euro has 500 mb low in Gulf close enough 850 mb flow is from Northeast- we'd be on subsident side of said feature at that time, so rain not mondo likely, but at least the SETX death cap would be going away, and if we could see a Day 11 or 12, we might be under a 500 mb low with deep Easterly flow.

Caveat- Euro has been lame, at best, this Spring, and its 10 days out, then even more extrapolation...

msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2011052400!!chart.gif

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Ed Lizard

Ed Lizard

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Posted

It could be a wild afternoon and evening for those of us who live N of the metroplex:

image1.gif

15Z RUC, 9 hour forecast, a cell near DFW, LCL a little high, not insurmountable, and an energy helicity index a rather juicy "7".

Of course, the OKC EHI of "14" is just unreal...

post-138-0-66057700-1306256766.gif

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Srain

Srain

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Central and parts of SE TX may see storms today with some dry line activity. Temps look to soar and break the cap across northern areas of SE TX. CLL and IAH may see record temps ahead of the boundary. Next week looks to offer a pattern change with a bonafide easterly flow and a chance of summertime seabreeze induced storms for Coastal TX...hopefully...:thumbsup:

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Ed Lizard

Ed Lizard

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Central and parts of SE TX may see storms today with some dry line activity. Temps look to soar and break the cap across northern areas of SE TX. CLL and IAH may see record temps ahead of the boundary. Next week looks to offer a pattern change with a bonafide easterly flow and a chance of summertime seabreeze induced storms for Coastal TX...hopefully...:thumbsup:

Houston area not going to reach convective temperatures suggested by the CRP sounding (below). The showers around Brenham suggest some hope.

IAH 14 gusting to 21 suggests sea breeze won't be a factor, and any boundaries from last night will probably get washed out in the face of those kind of winds.

Dryline currently out in the Hill Country. HOU area will need something from above to weaken the cap, probably. Glass half full, maybe I see something subtle on water vapor crossing the Sierra Madre now. NAM doesn't see that, but has a lobe of the upper low West of Kansas City swing down close enough for some isolated action in SE Texas by 4 pm.

CRP.gif

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