Ji Posted February 8, 2011 Author Share Posted February 8, 2011 deformation band? at 30:1 ratios 9 inches of liquid..270 inches of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 uhhh A few more miles North and that precip is close to South America...Ji and geography Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 If you look at this map...you see some crazy things...like 9 inches of QPF(All snow i imagine in FAR Northern Eastern Canada) WTF? pretty sure you mean Greenland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 A few more miles North and that precip is close to South America...Ji and geography leesburg!~!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 leesburg!~!!! I've been sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I've been sick sorry.. you didnt miss much at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Congrats Greenland!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltimoreguy Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Congrats Greenland!! Somewhere, some Inuit on the Greenland Weather Forums' mid-central sub-forum is complaining about the giant snow hole just a few dozen miles west of the 9" of qpf that the coast is going to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Somewhere, some Inuit on the Greenland Weather Forums' mid-central sub-forum is complaining about the giant snow hole just a few dozen miles west of the 9" of qpf that the coast is going to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 So when will LWX be issuing the Winter Storm Watches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 So when will LWX be issuing the Winter Storm Watches? Next December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 If you look at this map...you see some crazy things...like 9 inches of QPF(All snow i imagine in FAR Northern Eastern Canada) WTF? Topography induced is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Okay, well given that this storm has gone from a bomb to nothing...i'm actually enjoying watching it's development...I'm not expecting more than 1 flurry so anything more than that is a bonus...i'm really enjoying the nowcasting and meteorology. I know there really hasn't been any massive shifts or anything but for instance the RUC has been showing this thing at 500 digging more than most models in the short range and it's interesting to see the slight improvements at 500 each run of the NAM and GFS today. Again not expecting much but will be interested to see if there is any further shift north with the flurries tonight. Yeah it's the 18 hr ruc (horrible) but if this actually verified it would be interesting... http://ruc.noaa.gov/rucnew/from_jet/ruc7t/full/2011020820/cref_sfc_f24.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 It would be refreshing to have a shift inside 48 hours that actually helped us rather than screwing us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2011 Author Share Posted February 8, 2011 It would be refreshing to have a shift inside 48 hours that actually helped us rather than screwing us. Jan 25 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Pressure down to 998 near the mexico/texas border. Both the NAM/GFS didn't have it going below 1004mb...it should get squished soon though http://www.spc.noaa....f?1297204220935 Also current 500 mb chart http://www.spc.noaa....f?1297204037991 ah...and quite the temp differential at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 Pressure down to 998 near the mexico/texas border http://www.spc.noaa....f?1297204220935 a well known breeding ground for snow storms in the Mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 current wv loop http://climate.cod.edu/loops/US-WV24.loop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
varicweather Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Interesting and cautionary disco from Wakefield: MODELS HAVE GNLY TRENDED MORE AMPLIFIED/FARTHER NORTH WITH THE MSTR FOR THE NEXT POTENTIAL STORM. ALWAYS A CONCERN WHEN SUCH ANOMALOUSLY COLD AIR PLUNGES SOUTH INTO THE SCNTRL US AND GULF OF MEXICO REGION. AT THIS TIME...MID LVL/500 MB PATTERN STILL DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE AMPLIFIED ENOUGH FOR COMPLETE PHASING OF THE NRN AND SOUTHERN STREAM. THIS WILL INHIBIT THE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF SFC LOW PRESSURE AS IT TRACKS NE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...INSTEAD LEADING TO A FAST MOVING WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT DOES NOT DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY UNTIL IT REACHES WELL OFF THE NC COAST AFTER 12Z THU. STILL...THE TRENDS ARE TROUBLING AND HAVE RAISED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MOST OF NE NC. GFS/NAM BOTH SHOW A PERIOD OF FAIRLY STRONG MID-UPR LVL Q-VECTOR FORCING COINCIDING WITH LOW- MID LVL FRONTOGENESIS/LIFT UP THROUGH THE -15 TO -20C LAYER BETWEEN ABOUT 06-13Z THU. EXPECT THIS TO BE THE TIME OF MOST CONCERN. AS THIS SYSTEM IS A FAST MOVER...AND WITH INITIALLY VERY DRY COLD AIR WED EVENING...SOME OF THE INITIAL QPF WILL TEND TO BE WASTED INTO COLUMN MOISTENING. THUS...THERE WILL TEND TO BE SHARP CUTOFF IN THE ACCUMULATING SNOW ON THE NW/DRIER SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. SNOW AMTS SHOULD GNLY RANGE FROM A TRACE TO A DUSTING FROM N AND W OF RICHMOND...TO A SLIVER OF 1-2 INCHES INTO HAMPTON ROADS AND 2-3"/UP TO 4" DOWN ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. DID NOT INCLUDE HAMPTON ROADS IN THE WATCH DUE TO A FAIRLY SMALL CHC FOR WRNG CRITERIA SNOW. HOWEVER...EXPECT THAT LATER SHIFTS WILL LIKELY NEED TO ISSUE AN ADSY FOR SOME OF FAR SE VA/HAMPTON ROADS...ESPECIALLY AS THE TIMING COINCIDES WITH THE THU AM RUSH HOUR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Maybe this could turn out to be one of those surprise storms that keeps trending back to its original potential of a week ago and for some inexplicable reason hugs the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Maybe this could turn out to be one of those surprise storms that keeps trending back to its original potential of a week ago and for some inexplicable reason hugs the coast. Nope, it is way too sheared out for that to happen. You may get lucky though with some flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 sref is not too promising if you are looking for a surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 current wv loop http://climate.cod.e...-WV24.loop.html It's never too early to break out the WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 sref is not too promising if you are looking for a surprise Neither is the 00Z NAM. not a flake in site for DCA or my house or EZF for that matter. It's literally gone south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 This is worse than March 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 This is worse than March 2001. ? Trolling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 ? Trolling? pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Neither is the 00Z NAM. not a flake in site for DCA or my house or EZF for that matter. It's literally gone south. yeah it is pretty ugly. tho probably about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 yeah it is pretty ugly. tho probably about right. It will be interesting to see if the GFS goes back south now that the most bullish model has made a shift. We could still see flurries but I wouldn't bet on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 yeah it is pretty ugly. tho probably about right. It's significantly drier for pretty much everywhere. Oklahoma? Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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