Wx 24/7 Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I am okay with the GFS's nice 2" snowfall. How well does it tend to do with overrunning precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I like the Nam Don't like the GFS So, I'm going with somewhere in the middle of 5"-16''...so half of that would 10''...right what I wanted!! LOL We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 As the snowflake falls.....we now return you to will the real model please stand up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 QPF from Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I'll get the Euro totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 12z Euro: JLN - .29 FAY - .47 TUL - .60 OKC - .55 OUN - .54 ICT - .50 FSM - .46 SGF - .24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 Thanks for QPF Looks like 3-6" in Joplin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Crazy with the number of southern storms this year. It will be 60 by the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 WSWarning for OKC CWA. 4-8, locally 10" with drifts 2-3 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 WSWarning for OKC CWA. 4-8, locally 10" with drifts 2-3 ft. tulsa should follow then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Thanks for QPF Looks like 3-6" in Joplin. NP. Looking like a high end advisory event for SW MO, at least parts of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 NP. Looking like a high end advisory event for SW MO, at least parts of the area. Will probly be a solid 3-5" event for us all in missouri mostly by what i see on those snowfall maps. Nam is really bullish spitting out 8". Again let someone else have it I have seen my share of snow for the season lol. My back is still trying recover from the last 20". Im up to 29-30" for the season now since november. Not to shabby and way more then I expected. All these dreary gloomy days start to take an effect on the mind after awhile lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Will probly be a solid 3-5" event for us all in missouri mostly by what i see on those snowfall maps. Nam is really bullish spitting out 8". Again let someone else have it I have seen my share of snow for the season lol. My back is still trying recover from the last 20". Im up to 29-30" for the season now since november. Not to shabby and way more then I expected. All these dreary gloomy days start to take an effect on the mind after awhile lol... Then give it to me lol... I'm always up for some more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Looks like SGF is gonna go with 1-5 across their forecast region - with the highest being over the far SW portion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 HPC going with a NAM/Euro blend: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdhmd.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Someone please tell me what the airport is for OUN!! It is bothering me so much...I figured out everyone of then except that one:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 18Z NAM running... so far it's wetter and a bit south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 LOL Ponca City!!! I got it:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 When you say a bit south, what does that mean? Can you post the picture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 When you say a bit south, what does that mean? Can you post the picture? Nevermind. The later hours show it at the same location as the last couple runs, and the QPF is actually a bit less... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Someone please tell me what the airport is for OUN!! It is bothering me so much...I figured out everyone of then except that one:) Norman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 LOL..I should know that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wierdo Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Nevermind. The later hours show it at the same location as the last couple runs, and the QPF is actually a bit less... Still ~6h slower than the (12z) GFS with the system clearing the area, though. I'm hoping for something closer to the NAM not because I care about QPF, but because I need to go to OKC tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 This system is now only a day and still we don't know anything..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 yall rejoice with me i got my car home by myself!!! the city came and plowed so i went down first time i failed then i got out got mad and kicked some snow then remembered i had kitty litter in my trunk opened that up spread it out kicked more snow got back in put her in 2nd and spun the tires and got some traction so she sin the garage...its miller time!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 From Little Rock AFD ATTENTION TURNS TO THE NEXT SYSTEM...WHICH POTENTIALLY COULD BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT WINTER EVENT OF THIS ACTIVE WINTER SEASON. A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY LATE TUESDAY...IN RESPONSE TO UPPER ENERGY APPROACHING FROM THE ROCKIES. THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK EASTWARD...AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. SUBSTANTIAL ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS DIMINISHING QUICKLY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE LATEST ARCTIC INTRUSION WILL PROMOTE TEMPERATURE PROFILES THAT WOULD PROMOTE PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOWFALL ACROSS ALL AREAS. EXPECT MESOSCALE...SUBSTANTIALLY HEAVIER BAND/S/ OF PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP...ENHANCED BY FRONTOGENETIC ENHANCED UPLIFT...TO ADD TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. ALSO FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT SNOW RATIOS WILL BE MUCH HIGHER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES...AGAIN SUPPORTING HIGH SNOW TOTALS. ANALOG GUIDANCE FROM SLU-CIPS WEB PAGE SUPPORTS AN INCREASED FORECAST CONFIDENCE CONCERNING THIS WINTER EVENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 TSA upgrading to a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 So what's that mean? Little Rock is in the bullseye? If it's planning on tracking just to the south of Little Rock, that should me big snows for NE OK/NW AR...what does everything think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 NAM and GFS worlds apart for my area... Since we know the NAM is trash. then the GFS must be right.. oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 TSA HWO is saying heaviest south of 412. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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