JoMo Posted October 22, 2011 Author Share Posted October 22, 2011 yeah but you know the GFS is going to be too low on temps by the time we get there if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Whoa! BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 627 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... OKFUSKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 626 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A VERY DANGEROUS TORNADO LOCATED 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF BOLEY... MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED...TAKE COVER NOW! * SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... CASTLE...OKEMAH...PHAROAH...CLEARVIEW AND WELEETKA. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 215 AND 231. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW! IF NO UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 22, 2011 Author Share Posted October 22, 2011 Whoa! The couplet doesn't even look that impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 705 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0655 PM HAIL 2 NNE BEARDEN 35.37N 96.37W 10/22/2011 E2.00 INCH OKFUSKEE OK TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 23, 2011 Author Share Posted October 23, 2011 No storm report on that "Very Dangerous Tornado". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 23, 2011 Author Share Posted October 23, 2011 Decent Panhandle hooker on tonights GFS starting sometime after Nov 6th. I'm starting to get into the winter weather spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Extreme Makeover Home Edition house reveal tomorrow, hope it doesn't rain. First one can be seen on Good Morning America tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 40/29 TV out of Fayetteville put out an in-depth winter forecast. Seems pretty much along the same lines as most La Nina influenced long range forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 30, 2011 Author Share Posted October 30, 2011 That's a really big area of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 I'm surprised to see them talk about a strong La Nina in the write-up. Everything I've read so far is prediciting either weak to moderate La Nina conditions. Has something changed over the last couple of weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 It appears they looked at little else other than the CFS for their ENSO prediction, which is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 31, 2011 Author Share Posted October 31, 2011 NAM would have a few flakes of snow in the KS/MO area for the midweek system, however... it is the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted November 2, 2011 Share Posted November 2, 2011 NAM would have a few flakes of snow in the KS/MO area for the midweek system, however... it is the NAM. I see springfield has a mention of some wet snow flakes mixing in the western parts now. Of course i dont really buy much of what they say lol. I'll believe it when I see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted November 2, 2011 Share Posted November 2, 2011 The GFS has been showing a decent setup next week in the lower Midwest and part of the Plains for a major rain event. Its something to keep an eye on...lots going for it right now to be a big deal, unless it becomes more progressive, which is still possible. Looks like several rounds over the stalled boundary somewhere in this region, before possibly closing off and moving east as another upper low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 3, 2011 Author Share Posted November 3, 2011 We could really use the rain FoothillsNC. NwWhiteOut, yeah if you are awake early in the AM, you may see some snowflakes mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 3, 2011 Author Share Posted November 3, 2011 Rolla, MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted November 3, 2011 Share Posted November 3, 2011 Ahhhh the smell of our first snowflakes lol. Thanks for that JoMo! I got up around 5am and it was mixed bag here, sleet and rain. Didnt see any flakes at all so maybe I missed it or it didnt happen. Big difference in the temps though today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted November 3, 2011 Share Posted November 3, 2011 We could really use the rain FoothillsNC. NwWhiteOut, yeah if you are awake early in the AM, you may see some snowflakes mixed in. Well it looks like just north and west of where I had the heart of it drawn. The GFS and ECMWF agree pretty well for the beginning of it on Monday with broad sw flow, then the strong 5h system comes out and lifts the boundary west toward nw MO and KS, Iowa and MN, meanwhile the splitting jet could be a severe maker in southern MO and se KS, Ok. As it wraps up, snow on the nw side for Mn, Ia and probably northern MO gets flakes, and a potential big wind maker. Atleast though some rains though. The ECMWF puts down 1.75" and more in a huge swath from Ok and north and east toward Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 5, 2011 Author Share Posted November 5, 2011 Anybody feel the earthquake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted November 5, 2011 Share Posted November 5, 2011 Anybody feel the earthquake? Felt nothing here, you? Only thing I felt was a cold dog nose waking me up for a morning walk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 6, 2011 Author Share Posted November 6, 2011 Felt nothing here, you? Only thing I felt was a cold dog nose waking me up for a morning walk lol Nah I fell asleep before it happened. I guess some people did report feeling it in the area though. Looks like we are going to get a lot of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted November 7, 2011 Share Posted November 7, 2011 Nah I fell asleep before it happened. I guess some people did report feeling it in the area though. Looks like we are going to get a lot of rain. Yea looks like allready a couple inches almost has fallen here in my neck of the woods! Its much needed though. Its off and on type stuff but when it comes down it really comes down. I wonder if anyone else on the boards here is having problems posting? Everytime I go to post it doesnt go through and the first few times I had to retype crap lol....now Im copying and pasting what I write in the reply section just in case lol. Seems like if I preview first sometimes it will go through. I been watching dougs blog writeups waiting for his winter report to come in! Looks like it will be a few weeks still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted November 8, 2011 Share Posted November 8, 2011 Well we've had a nice 2-day rain event so far in the region. Up to 3.70 here now since Sunday nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 8, 2011 Author Share Posted November 8, 2011 yeah the rain was really nice, could have done without the strong winds last night to the north of here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 11, 2011 Author Share Posted November 11, 2011 http://www.semissourian.com/story/1783354.html Climate scientist: Missouri in for another harsh winter JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. -- Those still shuddering from bitter memories of an unusually frigid winter last year better prepare for some more bad news.This week, an atmospheric scientist from the University of Missouri predicted another extremely cold and snowy winter for Missouri as multiple factors are likely to cause cold weather fronts to stall over the Midwest this season. More info at the link ^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Thats an interesting writeup you found there jomo....of course I dont believe anything until I see it happen with my own 2 eyes but it does sound to make sense, even to a weather noob like me lol. Hell I been on these forums with you guys for what 5 years now and I still cant comprehend didly squat in my short term memory lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 12, 2011 Author Share Posted November 12, 2011 Thats an interesting writeup you found there jomo....of course I dont believe anything until I see it happen with my own 2 eyes but it does sound to make sense, even to a weather noob like me lol. Hell I been on these forums with you guys for what 5 years now and I still cant comprehend didly squat in my short term memory lol. Tonights long range GFS would be interesting just NW of our area. It's not going to happen, but if that type of pattern holds, it would be an ice stormy type of pattern later on in the year. Numerous waves ejecting out of the southwest causing precip to overrun a stalled out front somewhere over the area. If you're a believer in cycles, it would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Tonights long range GFS would be interesting just NW of our area. It's not going to happen, but if that type of pattern holds, it would be an ice stormy type of pattern later on in the year. Numerous waves ejecting out of the southwest causing precip to overrun a stalled out front somewhere over the area. If you're a believer in cycles, it would be good. I dont know man, as I said earlier my gut tells me we are in for ice storms this year we will see. This kinda reminds me of 2006-07 so far, hot summer and a ice stormy winter on those years. Though I think it was alot colder in november in those years i cant remember lol. I need to start writing crap down! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 News from this Kansas City Met is not as harsh, compared to the Mizzou scientist, if you are tired of cold. He fades the blocking somewhat but does go above normal precip in KC with an active jet stream. I like his forecast over here in the Southeast: Cold mid-South; mild Deep South; Tennessee Valley split personality. His cold Upper Midwest looks good. Risk is prolly colder in the central Plains but I'd also put my chips on normal temps in KC. http://weatherblog.nbcactionnews.com/ Link is time sensitive. Please find the Winter Forecast posted on November 14. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 News from this Kansas City Met is not as harsh, compared to the Mizzou scientist, if you are tired of cold. He fades the blocking somewhat but does go above normal precip in KC with an active jet stream. I like his forecast over here in the Southeast: Cold mid-South; mild Deep South; Tennessee Valley split personality. His cold Upper Midwest looks good. Risk is prolly colder in the central Plains but I'd also put my chips on normal temps in KC. http://weatherblog.nbcactionnews.com/ Link is time sensitive. Please find the Winter Forecast posted on November 14. Enjoy! Interesting read, thanks for posting. This is Gary Lezak, of LRC fame. Doug Heady (who also believes in cycles) will have his winter forecast tonight on KOAM at 6 & 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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