Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yep but like I said even now, its almost got us out of decent range. a shift 25 miles its down to 0 over this way. But I'm not sweating it yet. Im sticking with my call from 2 days ago still. EDIT: BTW Harry, my site is no longer a forum you guys, accuweather and american pretty much have that market.. LOL.. I changed it to a forecast site. dilly nice video...good looking site... gfs through 12 looks about like nam...maybe slower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 02z RUC (24hr total preciptiation and 24hr total snowfall). Still going past 2z/6 here. Some of the RUC reflectivity images are lolarific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Seriously, what is Indianapolis smoking tonight? Here is their latest AFD?!?!? PRECIP HAS BEEN SLOW TO ENTER CENTRAL INDIANA THIS EVENING...SO BACKED OFF ON POP CHANCES AND ANY ACCUMULATIONS UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO RULE OUT THE INCONSISTENT GFS AND GO WITH OTHER MODEL CONSENSUS...WHICH ARE SHOWING AROUND 2 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA...AN INCH IN THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA...AND LESSER AMOUNTS FURTHER NORTHEAST. SO...WILL CONTINUE HIGHER POPS THROUGH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. IN ADDITION...WILL HOLD ON TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE EAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON. MODELS ALL DRYING THINGS OUT SATURDAY NIGHT AS A SURFACE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS. STILL...MODEL TIME SECTIONS AND LOW LEVEL RH PROGS SUGGEST CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND. TEMPS...LATEST OBS ARE SHOWING OVERNIGHT LOWS TO BE ON TRACK. DO NOT EXPECT NORTHERN PORTIONS OF AREA TO DROP DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. SO...LEFT CURRENT LOWS AS IS. UPDATED GRIDS HAVE BEEN SENT. Whatever it is they can pass it on over because it must be some really good $hit. And now the GFS is onboard and even brings a little here. This is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Can't wait for the 11pm broadcast. Hopefully he'll run the latest run of super microcast. Microcast is on a roll this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 dilly nice video...good looking site... gfs through 12 looks about like nam...maybe slower? gfs looks a lot better for steve, vespian and myself lol.. EDIT: it looks better looking at the maps this way, but the mos data says otherwise .19 Steve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Angela just said 1-2 with pockets of 3. Angela gonna bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 gfs is on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Angela gonna bust low. She won't be as bad as IND with their " AROUND 2 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA...AN INCH IN THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA...AND LESSER AMOUNTS FURTHER NORTHEAST." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 CMH .20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
naptown Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Angela gonna bust low. perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This is a horrible addiction because i'll probably be following this now as well even though the chances look slim here. It's a cruel hobby at times.. A cruel cruel hobby. But we keep coming back for more. I for some reason looked at the 12z NAM before I headed out to work this morning, noticed it was farther north/more "juiced", made a somewhat innocent post in the February thread about it...and now here we are. Madness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 madness indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 perfect I was gonna bold "bust", but I thought it to be in poor taste. She's still hot though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
npcougar Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Angela gonna bust low. I thought she was perky...oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 It's a cruel hobby at times.. A cruel cruel hobby. But we keep coming back for more. I for some reason looked at the 12z NAM before I headed out to work this morning, noticed it was farther north/more "juiced", made a somewhat innocent post in the February thread about it...and now here we are. Madness. I have actually been skipping over this time period looking more closely at event 2 and the JB bomb and would have thought nothing of it had i not seen the posts a page or two back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 GFS shows 0.20"-0.25" for me. I'll take it!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 GFS shows 0.20"-0.25" for me. I'll take it!!! Its funny how much models influence us wrt expectations. There was some disappointment to only get 10" when hopes were there for up to 15" a few days ago. Now, if we get 3" tomorrow itll be orgasmic, as not a flake was forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Monday/Tuesday isn't looking too impressive on the gfs for the buckeye crowd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Its funny how much models influence us wrt expectations. There was some disappointment to only get 10" when hopes were there for up to 15" a few days ago. Now, if we get 3" tomorrow itll be orgasmic, as not a flake was forecast. so true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Angela gonna bust low. I was gonna bold "bust", but I thought it to be in poor taste. She's still hot though. I thought she was perky...oh well. Quoted for awesomness. We should really start an Indy weatherwoman(person) thread someday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Its funny how much models influence us wrt expectations. There was some disappointment to only get 10" when hopes were there for up to 15" a few days ago. Now, if we get 3" tomorrow itll be orgasmic, as not a flake was forecast. Truly excellent point. It's all relative to expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Monday/Tuesday isn't looking too impressive on the gfs for the buckeye crowd Showing another 3-5 inch event for much of Eastern Indiana and Western Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 Truly excellent point. It's all relative to expectations. Yes. For example, none of us expected anything form this. To surprisingly go from nothing to at least 2" is indeed bordering orgasmic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snowstormcanuk, Don paul going with 4-8 for the metro and 6-12 for the southerntier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snowstormcanuk, Don paul going with 4-8 for the metro and 6-12 for the southerntier. Yeah, I saw it. Unfortunately, microcast fringes me. Oh well, it's the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 CMH .20 looks like rain though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 03z RUC (which is a more officialish run) has a sub-1000mb low over Erie, PA. PERFECT heavy snow positioning for us. The omega values (in fact, a -10 or lower bullseye overhead for one frame) and DPVA are both impressive too. Combined with the cold air pooling aloft this may be a fun little storm, even if the amounts aren't insane. But oh how I would love for this storm to overachieve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 looks like rain though actually it is .13 LOL and the 850's look cold enough for it to stay snow. Surface temps get barely above MON 06Z 07-FEB -0.4 -3.3 1012 98 97 0.02 544 535 MON 12Z 07-FEB 0.3 -2.6 1010 99 83 0.06 540 532 MON 18Z 07-FEB 1.7 -5.1 1008 95 90 0.01 538 532 TUE 00Z 08-FEB -2.6 -7.7 1010 97 98 0.04 534 527 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 03z RUC (which is a more officialish run) has a sub-1000mb low over Erie, PA. PERFECT heavy snow positioning for us. The omega values (in fact, a -10 or lower bullseye overhead for one frame) and DPVA are both impressive too. Combined with the cold air pooling aloft this may be a fun little storm, even if the amounts aren't insane. But oh how I would love for this storm to overachieve... sounds a bit like the rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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