snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 And I'm going to bookmark this thread as undeniable proof that all models quite frankly suck, even the EURO. A major shift (talking hundreds of miles) like this within 24 hours of a storm and for no model to even pick up on it until it's virtually happening should be unprecedented. Nah, it's happened before. I can't remember anything specifically but I have vague recollections of sudden shifts for the best and worst happening within 24 hours. Nothing recently though (like within the last 5 years). Christmas 2002 is sort of an analog, although that was more in the 48-60 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 is nam teasing us or what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 recon couldn't get by border ICE agents - critical data was omitted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I'll be interested to see the BUF and DTX evening AFD updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 CELEBRATE GOOD TIMES COME ON NW trend on nearly every run of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This thing is gonna be into northern IL by morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 is nam teasing us or what Time will tell. Let's see what the SREF members and the RGEM have to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 is nam teasing us or what way to f with me on that mouse arrow ...i just beat the hell out of my wireless mouse, i thought i was going nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 If the NAM is right then some areas in central Indiana will flirt with warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This thing is gonna be into northern IL by morning FML Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Looks like 0.26" for LAF. If we can realize 15:1 ratios as Hoosier had posted about earlier, 4" looks possible. Boy oh boy, the winter weary people of LAF are gonna flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This thing is gonna be into northern IL by morning Sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This thing is gonna be into northern IL by morning Cocky a** FIBs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 The Euro is the one that should be ashamed of itself. Considering all that high tech equipment it is processed with, you think it would have snuffed this out 2-3 days ago. Instead, I looked on the radar and Dallas was having a snowstorm............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 really nice VV's signal off the RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Sure. haha I was joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 way to f with me on that mouse arrow ...i just beat the hell out of my wireless mouse, i thought i was going nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 does look rather unorganized right now on radar but it looks like a teaser for michigan. It's crazy how one system can throw off the timing of the next in line. Domino affect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 haha I was joking I'm well aware of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 IND evening update and no advisories. Craziness really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Nam looks good for most everyone except un in central/eastern OH now. The trend on the nam is gonna make me possibly bust with my 2-4" call across central OH. Just makes me feel better about late next week, although the next one is supposed to be stronger than this one, and now ive gotta wonder if it is being underdone, and if it is it could have huge ramifications wrt next Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 IND evening update and no advisories. Craziness really. Yeah it looks basically the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 IND evening update and no advisories. Craziness really. Can't really blame them. I'd wait to see some of the other hi res models + GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Just taking a peek at the 00z NAM BUFKIT snow techniques suggests about 15:1 ratios for LAF...so around 4" on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Can't really blame them. I'd wait to see some of the other hi res models + GFS. The writing is on the wall for at least border line advisory criteria if not more, with 3 of their surrounding offices already issuing advisories. I'm typically a pretty big IND fan, but by the time they get their advisory out, the snow will be approaching Central Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Can't really blame them. I'd wait to see some of the other hi res models + GFS. The problem with this is that it won't get out in time for the evening news cycle. Don't want to be overly critical but I think the trends are pretty clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Can't really blame them. I'd wait to see some of the other hi res models + GFS. This. At the rate this is trending ( if true ) i would wanna see what the rest of the models show first. Pretty amazing to see this happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 SREFS not as impressive with the NW extent. In fact, except for the ETA members, they look like they've taken a bit of a step back from the 15z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 The problem with this is that it won't get out in time for the evening news cycle. Don't want to be overly critical but I think the trends are pretty clear. What/ You mean the public is not watching The American Weather Forums? My channel of first choice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Can't really blame them. I'd wait to see some of the other hi res models + GFS. Eh, it's not like this is still 24 hours out from starting. Trust me I'm not a NWS basher, but I think there is enough evidence to start bumping accumulations. The Marion County (Indy) zone has 1" total that was just updated at 10PM...the NAM and other short range guidance have 4"+. Even the 12z Euro had 0.10"+ for Indy. I guess we'll see how it plays out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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