Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snow getting steadier here now...some bigger flakes starting to mix in with the smaller ones. Getting closer to rip time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snow depth is a very packed 11" now (water content 1.5"), so by this evening should be seeing best snow depth since January 1999 if we get the lastest amounts the models spit out! Could be approaching 15-18" by this evening! I couldnt tell you what kind of snow-icepack we have here, I cant get a damn ruler down through the ice. Atleast a 3-5 inch shield of solid ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snow depth is a very packed 11" now (water content 1.5"), so by this evening should be seeing best snow depth since January 1999 if we get the lastest amounts the models spit out! Could be approaching 15-18" by this evening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I couldnt tell you what kind of snow-icepack we have here, I cant get a damn ruler down through the ice. Atleast a 3-5 inch shield of solid ice. that sucks ;p; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Champaign. SPECI KCMI 051351Z 26005KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV008 M05/M07 A2969 RMK AO2 SNB27 P0000 $ METAR KCMI 051353Z 26006KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV007 M05/M07 A2969 RMK AO2 SNB27 SLP064 P0000 T10501072 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snowing very hard here right now. 1/4 mile and huge dendrites. Hardly any wind and huge flakes is my favorite kind of snow. I'm not working today and wondering why our office hasn't pulled the trigger on an advisory for 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I couldnt tell you what kind of snow-icepack we have here, I cant get a damn ruler down through the ice. Atleast a 3-5 inch shield of solid ice. QFT. Heavy glacier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snowing very hard here right now. 1/4 mile and huge dendrites. Hardly any wind and huge flakes is my favorite kind of snow. I'm not working today and wondering why our office hasn't pulled the trigger on an advisory for 3-5". Call it in. Mod-heavy here right now. Very nice dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 :snowman: seems like HRRR splits this storm into two bands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yeah DTX had a WWA last weekend for 2-4" quick hitter, why not now? This event looks to outperform that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 DTX is banking on the dry air north of 94. We will see. This thing is a slow mover so once banding sets up who knows. This just puts into perspective how useless it is to look at the models for next weeks potential storm. Not saying that storm will have drastic changes like this one but ya never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Snowing very hard here right now. 1/4 mile and huge dendrites. Hardly any wind and huge flakes is my favorite kind of snow. I'm not working today and wondering why our office hasn't pulled the trigger on an advisory for 3-5". You and me both, I am very surprised IWX and DTX didn't pull the trigger, especially with the snow amounts they have been getting upstream and the satellite/radar/model depictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 The only place that's officially reporting snow in Oiho right now is Defiance, and while it's only light they have visibilities around 3/4 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 12z NAM stepped off the gas from the 6z run, but it really doesn't matter. Nowcasting time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Macintosh Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 DTX stated that dendritic growth was good. So Im thinking we may REALLY see some bust high amounts. They went a conservative 2-4" but if its true about dendritic growth, then say you get 15-1 ratios, then 0.40" qpf yields 6" of snow! The ratio is definately 15-1 or more. It is the most light and fluffy snow I've seen in a long time. And it's falling vertically with no wind so it just piles up in neat heaps. The NWS is way behind the curve on this for our area. Even the short term forecast issued at 7am is saying trace/1-inch amounts. For anyone who is curious I'm actually in Perry County, Missouri not Cape Girardeau proper. I'm 30 miles to the north of Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 DTX is banking on the dry air north of 94. We will see. This thing is a slow mover so once banding sets up who knows. Lake Orion will LOSE today! I agree with michsnowfreak...6" in some spots is not out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Lake Orion will LOSE today! First time for everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 My national weather agency (Environment Canada) is only calling for an inch today and another inch tonight. I smell a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 My national weather agency (Environment Canada) is only calling for an inch today and another inch tonight. I smell a bust EC is always too conservative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 5" here for Me and Stebo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 My national weather agency (Environment Canada) is only calling for an inch today and another inch tonight. I smell a bust Based on what radar looks like, I think so. I'll check a few obs in N IN to make sure it's not a lot of virga but I think we're good for 2-4 maybe a touch more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 STL is having a decent snowstorm right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 EC is always too conservative I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 5" here for Me and Stebo Thats NOT FAIR! Lake Orion never gets it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Based on what radar looks like, I think so. I'll check a few obs in N IN to make sure it's not a lot of virga but I think we're good for 2-4 maybe a touch more. Perhaps the 11 AM update will raise amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 Could me, stebo and kab291 finally end up in the sweet spot? Stay tuned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 How long until dtx issues advisories for the eastern counties? I'll go with when there is already 1-2 on the ground. BTW humidities are already in to 80 percentile so dry air may not be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 HRRR looks good here 3-5 inches Edit: More like 5-7 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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