MD Snow Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Northern stream seems like it wants to keep this from becoming a big storm for us. We still could get a couple inches.There's still time for the northern stream to be weaker...we shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Is this thread necessary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Is this thread necessary? they are two seperate threats.. and some people clearly missed the previous talk about this one that started yesterday so i guess so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 Is this thread necessary? Given the fact that the weekend threat has like 40 pages and it's gonna drizzle i guess it is. There's a chance we can get a couple inches based on the 12z gfs. If the northern stream comes in weaker we can maybe get a little more going along the coast. Outside chance at a little surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Given the fact that the weekend threat has like 40 pages and it's gonna drizzle i guess it is. There's a chance we can get a couple inches based on the 12z gfs. If the northern stream comes in weaker we can maybe get a little more along the coast. Don't worry about it. Ji's just mad that he didn't think of it first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 ggem has some good potential if not perfect -- i do like this threat tho for some snow at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 nws is calling for rain. it'll be warm monday but looks like it would be snow if it held Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 ggem has some good potential if not perfect -- i do like this threat tho for some snow at least Problem is that it's all rain. Same on the GFS. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_090s.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Is this thread necessary? Are your posts necessary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Are your posts necessary? Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Problem is that it's all rain. Same on the GFS. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html http://www.nco.ncep....fs_ten_090s.gif i would not bet on it with that vort passage but it's not cold beforehand so it's possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Sorry I thought this thread was about the late week big storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 What's the euro showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 the euro is not as good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 hard to tell but it does not look nearly as robus with the vort.. tho it does clobber boston precip hole over ji's house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 18Z NAM hmmm' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 18Z NAM hmmm' Boy is that amped... what do you think it means? hmm.....???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 nws is calling for rain. it'll be warm monday but looks like it would be snow if it held Typically expecting the opposite of what the NWS calls for at day 4 is the way to go this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 gfs a little more juicy.. the vort is pretty hot one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 00Z NAM has a potent vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yea the 0z Nam has a nice vort... but not much surface reflection though hour 66. Be interesting to see what happens when it gets to the coast. ;X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Probably by the end of the weekend, we shall see the 3cs of Nina vort tracking factor in... -consolidate -close off -come north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yea the 0z Nam has a nice vort... but not much surface reflection though hour 66. Be interesting to see what happens when it gets to the coast. ;X Dampens out at 78...kind of odd looking as it goes from pumped up to deflated in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Ends up totally washed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 5, 2011 Author Share Posted February 5, 2011 It's the NAM at 84 hrs but we really want this storm to go to town once north of us. It was 996 on the 18z and now 1004 on 0z. That will play a large role in the storm for thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 It's the NAM at 84 hrs but we really want this storm to go to town once north of us. It was 996 on the 18z and now 1004 on 0z. That will play a large role in the storm for thursday. the nam is crap at this range who cares what it shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I've tried to be very positive all winter. And, yes, I know it could have been worse. All I have to do is remember 08-09 to realize that. But I can't help but feel frustrated, and it has nothing to do with the storm we just missed, or even the Christmas storm. I realize that there are certain weather patterns more likely during a Nina, and that's fine. If no snow is the way it is supposed to play out, then fine, so be it. If it is not destined to snow, OK. But the frustrating part for me is the constant, and its been going on since the early December clipper that went south of us, model solutions that will show us something that looks great, gets our hopes up, then immediately drops it, and we watch helplessly as it passes us up. If the model never showed a chance, I could live with that. But the amazing "coincidence" of this winter is that every event at some point looks good for us. None of them ever look like a lost cause at some point. Somewhere along the line, they all look good. Remember the early Dec. clipper. The runs on Wed afternoon showed a good hit for us, the NAM especially. Then, on the very next run, it was modeled south and never wavered. The Jan 11 storm? The storm this past week? Tomorrow? It's like somebody is doing this on purpose. It's crazy. And it's been happening all winter. Are these models programmed to show snow in the Mid Atlantic at least once for every event? I hope that this week's threat(s) either pan out, or I hope no model shows any chance of a snow event for the rest of this winter. I know, all I have to do is not look at the models. But who among us can do that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 yeah!! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_500_078m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 yeah!! http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_078m.gif Great. Here we go again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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