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February 5-6 Storm Threat II


Baroclinic Zone

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Although front is forecast to be through there soon...I suppose flakes could be mixing in now. JST went over to snow recently.

Maybe, but the AWOS present wx sensors can do these lousy things at times. It's flipping around from -DZ to -SN to RA to UP.

METAR KUNV 051940Z AUTO 35003KT 1SM -DZ SCT002 OVC009 M01/M01 A2947 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE P0001 T10061010

METAR KUNV 052000Z AUTO 00000KT 4SM BR OVC008 00/00 A2947 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE T00001002

METAR KUNV 052020Z AUTO 15005KT 1 3/4SM -SN OVC006 00/00 A2945 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE P0001 T00030000

METAR KUNV 052040Z AUTO 19005KT 2 1/2SM -SN SCT007 OVC012 01/00 A2945 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE P0001 T00050000

METAR KUNV 052100Z AUTO 26003KT 1SM RA OVC003 00/M01 A2943 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N T10011006

METAR KUNV 052120Z AUTO 24007KT 1 3/4SM -SN OVC003 00/00 A2942 RMK AO2 P0003 T00010000

METAR KUNV 052140Z AUTO 22006KT 4SM UP SCT003 SCT008 OVC012 00/00 A2942 RMK AO2 P0003 T00001001

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All snow. quite heavy for a bit...started with a nice fluffy snow which mixed with sleet, went over to sleet and then a half hour ago huge parachute snow...just beautiful and fast accumulating. Flakes are a little smaller now but still moderate snow it appears. Hey Wye, no worries it may go to sleet, but then back to some heavy snow.

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Looking at the radar, I'm somewhat concerned that the ice may come in a little heavier than forecast here in the hinterlands. With the exception of about 15 minutes, we've had a zr situatoin. Upstream looks to continue to build with the NE trajectory into west county. Unless the temp should climb, I might be thankful to have bouught a generator. Suspect that won'te be the case, but I think we may get more ice than our advisory advises. I suppose we could end up sleeting or snowing, but I'm not sure what the mid-levels portend at this point.

Thoughts on the above from any of the mets?

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All snow. quite heavy for a bit...started with a nice fluffy snow which mixed with sleet, went over to sleet and then a half hour ago huge parachute snow...just beautiful and fast accumulating. Flakes are a little smaller now but still moderate snow it appears. Hey Wye, no worries it may go to sleet, but then back to some heavy snow.

and back to light whatever. looks like a dry slot is near though...or at least very light precip

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Snow moved in like a wall... love these type of quick-hitting storms. Montpelier (MPV) went quickly from --SN to +SN and it looks like we are doing the same here.

NAM and GFS both show over a half inch of QPF (NAM has over .75" QPF) falling between 7pm and 1am. Going to be fun to watch this play out this evening.

Heavy, heavy snow baby.

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