Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

February 5-6 Storm Threat II


Baroclinic Zone

Recommended Posts

I'm not sure I buy that. Almost all the mesonet temps I see in Northern CT are AOA 32 degrees. The exception is around Tolland and in neighboring parts of western Windham Co.

Check the wet bulb temps and dews - could be kinda ugly since the temps are only 33/34. MBY is way too warm and heading warmer.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I don't know what to think..You would have thought everyone would be in the mid 30's by now. I'm not sure what is causing the colder scenario except the snowpack?? Maybe that is weenieish..I don't know?

It's weird seeing everyone's temps fall back to 31-32

Well we're seeing evaporational cooling right now. Winds are still really light. Once the winds pick up out of the S and E ahead of the low we'll see temps rise quickly.

That said most areas in CT... probably >90% of the state is already above freezing so for most it's not a big issue.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In general, models are ticking a bit closer to the coast with it, could be a light to moderate event around here if they verified verbatim. Boundary layers a bit sketchy in the coastal plain and lower elevartions. 15Z SREFs looking a bit more aggressive and a number of the members try to get a nice deformation feature going around here early Tuesday morning.

29 degrees and moderate freezing rain here.

Mitch, Thanks. So many threads. lol The deformation feature has pulled me back in. It'll be nice to get more snow. The pl/zr events do nothing for me.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well we're seeing evaporational cooling right now. Winds are still really light. Once the winds pick up out of the S and E ahead of the low we'll see temps rise quickly.

That said most areas in CT... probably >90% of the state is already above freezing so for most it's not a big issue.

Yeah but even temps on LI and the cape are still only in the 30's. I don't know if the warm idea some had for this storm are going to work..Sure it'll get above 32..but then we'll drop back below towards morning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah but even temps on LI and the cape are still only in the 30's. I don't know if the warm idea some had for this storm are going to work..Sure it'll get above 32..but then we'll drop back below towards morning.

Oh yeah it's not going to get that warm. Maybe 33 or 34 for you lol.

Tomorrow midday we'll see some gusty winds and maybe some snow-eating temperatures.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah but even temps on LI and the cape are still only in the 30's. I don't know if the warm idea some had for this storm are going to work..Sure it'll get above 32..but then we'll drop back below towards morning.

Time to watch is this evening before midnight. That's when the sfc warm front could make some progress into CT/RI/SE MA.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How warm in SE Ct you think?

I could see 40or low 40's tomorrow for the coastal plain..but hills stay in the 30's

Monday night/ Tuesday starting to look fun

GON probably touches 40 at least.

Even tomorrow you'll lose some snowpack... hopefully Tuesday AM trends snowier so you make it back up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I may lose a bit..but remember we had 1/4 of ice on Wednesday and more ice on top today..not easy to melt that. I still remember how long that ice/sleet took to melt in 2007

Was walking around the yard this AM to clear more roof. It is stunning how dense the snowpack is right now IMBY. So tough to move through. I don't see this going anywhere for a long time. So deep mans dense that kids don't want to go out and play because they get stuck!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

GYX says "torch!"

THE TRACK OF THE LOW BRINGS WARM AIR N INTO MUCH OF THE FCST AREA

...EXCEPT FOR THE N/MT ZONES OF NRN NH AND WRN ME. THE WARM AIR

INTRUDES ALOFT CAUSING SN TO CHANGE TO PL OR ZR DEPENDING ON THE

DEPTH OF THE CD AIR UNDER THE WRM INTRUSION ALOFT. GENERALLY USED

THICKNESS AND VERTICAL TEMP SOUNDING FCSTS TO PRODUCE PRCP TYPE

FCSTS. ALONG THE COAST TEMPS ALREADY ABOVE FREEZING WITH DEW

POINTS ALSO RISING ALONG THE MID COAST WITH AN ONSHORE WIND. THIS

WILL LIKELY PROVIDE A CHC FOR RN ALONG THE COAST ALONG WITH THE

THREAT OF SOME SN OR ICE AS WELL.

WILL CONT ALL HEADLINES...BUT BACK OFF ON SN ACCUMULATION S OF THE

FOOTHILLS DUE TO MORE ICE THAN SN OVERNIGHT. WILL DOWNPLAY THE

IMPACT ALONG THE COAST...ESPECIALLY THE MID COAST WHERE MORE RN

THAN SN AND ICE EXPECTED. FOR PSM ZONE IN SE NH...MOSTLY RN SO NO

HEADLINE CONTINUES THERE.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Was walking around the yard this AM to clear more roof. It is stunning how dense the snowpack is right now IMBY. So tough to move through. I don't see this going anywhere for a long time. So deep mans dense that kids don't want to go out and play because they get stuck!

I know, I had to walk through it yesterday, was quite a workout.

My walk and driveway are skating rinks today, if it softens tomorrow I should chip it and get the surface prepared for possible snow this week.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...