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February 5-6 Storm Threat II


Baroclinic Zone

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Here is the forecast for New London

Saturday: A chance of snow before 9am, then snow and freezing rain likely between 9am and noon, then rain and snow after noon. High near 35. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Saturday Night: Rain and snow before midnight, then a slight chance of snow between midnight and 3am. Low around 26. North wind between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

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Who cares what they say..With a track over the outer cape they won't get anywhere near 50..If they hit 50..guess what you hit 40

If it tracks near E LI and then ENE to the Cape, then SE CT will get a period of SE winds which will torch them. Not sure if it hits 50, but def 40s.

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who cares down here for saturday. this thread is all about north of here....fair enough.............i will wait for one more big swan song to a great winter..........just let it be before martch 15th so i can start playing golf again...........new london country club here i come...........

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They have a pretty good shot of getting close to 50. It's one of those things where GON might be 48 and IJD 37 or something like that.

What do you think for Sunday's highs? I have a feeling it could get relatively warm if we get a few hours of sun...like 45F+ type stuff for the coastal areas and U30s to near 40F for the higher terrain.
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who cares down here for saturday. this thread is all about north of here....fair enough.............i will wait for one more big swan song to a great winter..........just let it be before martch 15th so i can start playing golf again...........new london country club here i come...........

Amen

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What do you think for Sunday's highs? I have a feeling it could get relatively warm if we get a few hours of sun...like 45F+ type stuff for the coastal areas and U30s to near 40F for the higher terrain.

Yeah I could see 40-45 perhaps in the early aftn, if there is a lot of sun. 850 temps aren't all that cool during that time. Probably dependent on morning sunshine like you mentioned.

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scott or will any more indications on wether the Pre ULL moisture could see more FZR in the area just w of 95 or 128 or so.

also will overnite radiational cooling performance and the a thick cloud cover by dawn play a role in this potential. i heard phil mention this earlier.

22F now. cool baby cool.

I think odds would be better, if this came in after dawn. Perhaps some areas near 495..Littleton etc could see a little ice at the start.

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They have a pretty good shot of getting close to 50. It's one of those things where GON might be 48 and IJD 37 or something like that.

If there is any wind off the water they probably won't, usually they will torch to 45 or less if wind off the water is involved this time of the year, that and deep snow cover will probably keep them well below 50 JMHO

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What are you putting out for our area? Trace-2"? Nothing?

I had 1-3" with 2-4" further north, but I may have to go a trace to an inch after tonight's runs. :lol:

Its been pretty fascinating to watch from a meteorological standpoint just how catastrophic the models have been at handling this system. The snow bust down in Texas in the Dallas area was ridiculous....wasn't even suppose to be anything.

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I had 1-3" with 2-4" further north, but I may have to go a trace to an inch after tonight's runs. :lol:

Its been pretty fascinating to watch from a meteorological standpoint just how catastrophic the models have been at handling this system. The snow bust down in Texas in the Dallas area was ridiculous....wasn't even suppose to be anything.

That was a real bad bust.

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