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Feb 5-7th MW/Lakes/OV Snow Event


Chicago Storm

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We'll get at least a bit of snow from this. It looks like the brunt could pass to the east but considering what we've gone through lately with slower/more amplified waves, I wouldn't let my guard down.

Hoosier, you nailed it, this just in from IND AFD:

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

MAIN CHALLENGE TO THE SHORT TERM WILL BE POPS AND SNOW AMOUNTS AS A

TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS DIGS SOUTHWARD. MODELS DIFFER ON PLACEMENT

ON QPF WITH THE 12Z GEM...00Z ECMWF AND 12Z NAM FURTHER SOUTHEAST

THAN THE SOUTHWARD TRENDING 12Z OPERATIONAL GFS. MODELS ALL AGREE ON

THE BEST FORCING THERE WITH BEST ALBEIT MODEST QVECTOR CONVERGENCE

FROM 850-500 MILLIBARS AND BEST 1000-850 MILLIBAR FRONTOGENESIS AS

WELL. SO...WILL USE A BLEND OF THE SOUTHEAST MODELS AND GO WITH THE

HIGHEST STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL WITH 3-4

INCHES THERE DECREASING TO AN INCH AND A HALF NORTHWEST. THE

ACCUMULATION SNOW SHOULD START LATE SUNDAY MORNING OR AFTERNOON

ACROSS THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES AND SPREAD SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND

MONDAY WHEN THE HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE. THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES

HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO EVEN GET MORE SNOW...BUT LOOKS LIKE IT COULD

BE MIXED WITH RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE THE SOUNDINGS

STAY BELOW FREEZING. ARCTIC AIR WILL THEN SPREAD SOUTHEAST ACROSS

CENTRAL INDIANA STARTING MONDAY NIGHT AS THE THROUGH SLIDES EAST OF

CENTRAL INDIANA.

WITH SNOW PACK IN PLACE...WENT WITH THE COOLER NAM MOS FOR SUNDAY.

WITH CLOUDS INCREASING SUNDAY NIGHT...LEANED TOWARD THE SLIGHTLY

COOLER GFS. TEMEPATURES A LITTLE MORE UP IN THE AIR MONDAY NIGHT

WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE ARCTIC AIR...FOR NOW WILL JUST USE A BLEND

OF THE COLDER GFS AND NOT AS COLD NAM. A LOT WILL DEPEND ON SNOW

COVER AND IF BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ARE REALIZED.

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I might be in the jackpot..3-4 inches! Love snow...but running a snow business when an inch is forecasted and you get 3-4 inhces..:devilsmiley:...been a loooooooooooooonngg week!

we could very well be close to 3, i tend to low ball my amounts. Nice little event indeed and congrats on the banner stretch. Was nice to have a snow that actually stuck to branches and covered up the huge patch of bare grass, yes bare grass outside my apartment that was blown to Madison during the blizzard.

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we could very well be close to 3, i tend to low ball my amounts. Nice little event indeed and congrats on the banner stretch. Was nice to have a snow that actually stuck to branches and covered up the huge patch of bare grass, yes bare grass outside my apartment that was blown to Madison during the blizzard.

was just going to add solid 3 up here ,boy are the models bad.

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