Grothar Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 yea i made a remark about it like 3-4 days ago and did some maps.. Granted its way out in time, but whats being shown on the gfs is mainly rain for phl and burbs with a little snow. The surface temps are to warm. theoretically it could be snow, but it would be a non accumulating snow. Up in abe to rdg region they do a little better Yes, thats are queu to take another 4-6 inches of snow in Macungie - just what the doc ordered after this upcoming heat blasted week. But our luck is that all 4-6 would fall during the day and melt leaving us with just an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 13, 2011 Author Share Posted February 13, 2011 some overunning snows next sunday per euro, with gradient pattern...nothing of big proportions maybe an inch or two, best shot is pa turnpike south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 13, 2011 Author Share Posted February 13, 2011 this is then followed by a swfe which drops maybe and inch or two of snow then over to rain and warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Would love to see an other 4 to 8" this winter. That would put many of us over 60" for the season. I don't think Philly, greater Delaware basin has ever seen two 60+" winters back to back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 some overunning snows next sunday per euro, with gradient pattern...nothing of big proportions maybe an inch or two, best shot is pa turnpike south Geez Tom its like you're teasing the weenies... there's like no QPF at all north of the PA Turnpike and barely any south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Would love to see an other 4 to 8" this winter. That would put many of us over 60" for the season. I don't think Philly, greater Delaware basin has ever seen two 60+" winters back to back? Philly hadn't ever seen 60" at all on record until 95-96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 this is then followed by a swfe which drops maybe and inch or two of snow then over to rain and warmth. could be ice...thickness is pretty high (540+ out of the gate) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 Would love to see an other 4 to 8" this winter. That would put many of us over 60" for the season. I don't think Philly, greater Delaware basin has ever seen two 60+" winters back to back? Would be nice to see Philly record 60 inches this winter. But that is unlikely unless something huge occurs with massive snow amounts. I think philly is sitting somewhere's near 39 inches approx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 13, 2011 Author Share Posted February 13, 2011 Geez Tom its like you're teasing the weenies... there's like no QPF at all north of the PA Turnpike and barely any south lol my maps show two periods of .01-.1 so i was just covering my arse cause i don't have the exact precip increments like you get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 lol my maps show two periods of .01-.1 so i was just covering my arse cause i don't have the exact precip increments like you get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 12z Euro has a pretty nasty snow/ice storm for the northern half of the region next Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I think the GFS has been hinting at "something" towards the 22nd for a few runs as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2011 Share Posted February 13, 2011 I think the GFS has been hinting at "something" towards the 22nd for a few runs as well Ice to rain with the cutter WAY north. You should hope the EC is right and not the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Ice to rain with the cutter WAY north. You should hope the EC is right and not the GFS. yep...the ec keeps holding onto the Sunday slop event (frozen mostly LV and north), with the GFS generally stronger with the cutter and delayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2011 Author Share Posted February 14, 2011 yep...the ec keeps holding onto the Sunday slop event (frozen mostly LV and north), with the GFS generally stronger with the cutter and delayed. the first event is slop for philly area ice and snow lehigh valley...2nd event looks like snow or ice from m/d line north with snow in lehigh valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 I'm still going to bust on my temperature forecast from two weeks ago, but at least the -NAO is going to come in by the end of the week. Between the -NAO and the SE ridge, expect oscillations between torch and winter every couple of days. The best chances for snow will be from overrunning events like the one already being discussed for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Ski areas are going to need to recover from this week. Hope they pickup something white next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 the first event is slop for philly area ice and snow lehigh valley...2nd event looks like snow or ice from m/d line north with snow in lehigh valley when is the second event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2011 Author Share Posted February 14, 2011 when is the second event? next monday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 GFS still can't get away from its cutter pattern on most runs.. hope the Euro is right. Though there is cold on the GFS in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 next monday lol wait then what's the first event? i thought the d7 threat was the first, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 wait then what's the first event? i thought the d7 threat was the first, no? first one is sunday afternoon second is monday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 first one is sunday afternoon second is monday evening Looking at ewall, Euro already lost the 1st storm it showed last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Looking at ewall, Euro already lost the 1st storm it showed last night. And the second storm comes in line with GFS and GGEM it appears. A lakes cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 And the second storm comes in line with GFS and GGEM it appears. A lakes cutter. Cold afterwards? I don't have access on my blackberry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Looking at ewall, Euro already lost the 1st storm it showed last night. it caved to the GFS. The 1st 'storm' is merely the overrunning of warmth over cold. It wasn't a storm in the true sense. It was also a lot faster than the GFS, which has been consistent with the cutter idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 18Z GFS has an icy/sleet look to it in the long range. Almost looks like the ice event we had just a couple weeks ago.. HP looks good: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 depicts miller b... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 depicts miller b... Supposedly the 00z Euro has snow in the time period.. it would be nice to remember this winter by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Supposedly the 00z Euro has snow in the time period.. it would be nice to remember this winter by. ...and ice and rain. the 850 line is literally over SE PA with the early next wk system. The 850 line shifts from Wilmington at 174 to Philly at 180...if you're north of that you're getting snow for the most part. NYC is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.