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Medium-long range thread


tombo82685

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Anyone want to take some guesses as to how the weather will be on Easter Sunday? Right now, the GFS looks wet, which would really suck. Having 25 in laws over and all of them being stuck inside would just make me drink more...please weather Gods, help.

How many wives do you have? :yikes:

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7+ days away it's got to be a lock then! As long as we get rid of this wet pattern even 90's will be better.

Eh, I'll take temps in the 70's this time of year. We have all of June, July and August (and maybe early September) in which we'll likely have plenty of 90+ temps.

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Warmth over the past 10 days have helped the PHL rankings improve...

Average high temperature rankings at PHL over the last 50 days (3/1-4/19)
Rank  Value   Date
 1	65.3   1945
 2	64.6   1921
 3	62.7   2010
 4	62.6   1977
 5	60.5   2002, 1910
 7	60.4   1976
 8	60.3   1946
 9	59.9   2000
10	59.7   1929
11	59.3   1968
12	59.2   1995
13	58.6   1991
14	58.5   2006
15	58.4   1925
16	58.3   1987, 1955
18	58.1   1913
19	58.0   2008, 1903
21	57.9   1986, 1985
23	57.7   1998
24	57.6   1988
25	57.5   1878
26	57.2   1994, 1942
28	57.1   1973
29	56.9   1979, 1963
31	56.8   1974, 1959, 1954, 1948, 1938
36	56.7   1990
37	56.6   1898
38	56.4   1919
39	56.2   2011, 1964, 1922
42	56.1   1918
43	56.0   2004, 1999, 1949
46	55.9   2003
47	55.8   1997
48	55.7   1936, 1927
50	55.5   2009, 1908, 1894
53	55.4   1953
54	55.2   1981
55	54.8   1969, 1930
57	54.7   2005, 1989, 1951, 1920
61	54.5   1902
62	54.4   1941
63	54.3   1952
64	54.2   1897
65	54.0   1928
66	53.9   1980, 1931, 1909, 1882
70	53.8   1935
71	53.6   1934
72	53.5   1971, 1905
74	53.4   1992, 1983
76	53.3   1923
77	53.1   2007, 1933, 1917, 1889
81	53.0   1982, 1967
83	52.9   1966, 1957, 1947, 1886, 1880
88	52.8   1961
89	52.7   2001, 1912
91	52.6   1972
92	52.5   1978
93	52.3   1975, 1915
95	52.2   1993, 1924
97	52.1   1950, 1943
99	51.9   1962, 1907
101	51.6   1958, 1939, 1899
104	51.5   1893
105	51.4   1901
106	51.2   1944
107	51.1   1890
108	50.8   1896, 1883
110	50.7   1996, 1956, 1937, 1911
114	50.4   1914, 1884, 1891
117	50.3   1904, 1900
119	50.2   1970, 1932, 1906
122	50.1   1879
123	50.0   1960, 1926
125	49.9   1895
126	49.7   1965
127	49.4   1874
128	49.3   1887
129	49.0   1877
130	48.9   1876
131	48.8   1984
132	48.7   1940
133	48.6   1888
134	48.5   1892
135	48.0   1916
136	47.0   1881
137	45.9   1875
138	44.7   1885

Average high temperature rankings at PHL over the last 30 days (3/21-4/19)
Rank  Value  Ending Date
 1	69.7   1945
 2	67.1   2010
 3	66.7   1968
 4	66.6   1910
 5	66.4   1921
 6	65.8   1976
 7	65.2   1977
 8	64.3   1998
 9	63.9   1994
10	63.8   2002
11	63.7   1963
12	63.6   1929
13	62.8   1949, 1948, 1941
16	62.7   1981
17	62.5   2006, 1987
19	62.1   1991
20	61.7   1954
21	61.6   1946
22	61.5   1959
23	61.4   2000, 1913
25	61.3   1986, 1955, 1922
28	61.2   1925
29	61.1   1988
30	61.0   1938
31	60.9   2005, 1999, 1969
34	60.7   1985, 1960, 1952
37	60.6   1995
38	60.4   2008
39	59.9   1978, 1928, 1920
42	59.8   1997
43	59.7   1908
44	59.6   2003
45	59.5   1980
46	59.4   1989
47	59.3   1931
48	59.2   1905
49	59.1   1953
50	59.0   1909
51	58.9   2009, 1942
53	58.8   1903
54	58.7   1993, 1947, 1919
57	58.6   2004, 1974, 1917
60	58.5   1918, 1878
62	58.4   1979, 1951
64	58.2   1897
65	58.1   1973
66	58.0   1967, 1964
68	57.6   1896
69	57.5   1880
70	57.4   1934, 1915, 1912
73	57.3   1962, 1936, 1886
76	57.0   1889
77	56.9   1902
78	56.8   2011, 1971
80	56.7   1950
81	56.5   1933
82	56.4   1923
83	56.3   1924
84	56.2   1898, 1893
86	56.1   1930, 1907
88	56.0   1992, 1982
90	55.9   1890, 1882
92	55.8   1891
93	55.7   2007, 1958, 1932
96	55.5   1975
97	55.4   2001, 1944
99	55.3   1937, 1914, 1906
102	55.2   1970, 1961, 1957, 1916
106	55.0   1927
107	54.8   1884
108	54.7   1990, 1926
110	54.6   1904, 1892
112	54.5   1972, 1939
114	54.1   1996, 1984, 1935, 1895
118	53.9   1943, 1911, 1888
121	53.8   1966, 1900, 1887
124	53.7   1901, 1899
126	53.6   1983
127	53.5   1956, 1894
129	53.4   1877
130	52.9   1883
131	52.3   1940
132	52.1   1965
133	51.4   1876
134	50.7   1879
135	50.0   1874
136	49.8   1885, 1875
138	47.8   1881

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I question why there is no discussion on this heavy rainfall event to besiege us in eastern PA and western NJ? 2-3 inches of rain over the next few days will flood many rivers and urban streams. Frankly, the Little Lehigh Creek behind my house has yet to to return to its base flow. 2-3 inches of rain will be a major flooding event for some streams and rivers. Also, there alot of days with 70 degree temps and thunderstorms in next weeks forecast. This is just begging for more flooding this upcoming week. A bad sign is that the black snakes are seeking higher ground with the rabbits in my backyard. I have seen this in the past couple of days. That is not a good sign.

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  • 5 months later...

The medium range forecast looks fantastic for the Philly metro... at least until Rina spoils the party next weekend. The MJO giveth and the MJO taketh away.

Meh...at least the wx will be nice when I go to the DE Beaches this weekend. :lol:

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The medium range forecast looks fantastic for the Philly metro... at least until Rina spoils the party next weekend. The MJO giveth and the MJO taketh away.

Always have to add a negative in there, don't you? :)

please keep your clothes on. Children scare easily. :guitar:

:lol:

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Great weekend to go to the Catskills or Finger Lakes to see the leaves, except I'm working. :(

Ugh, leaves are really ugly here around the Lake Cayuga area. 70% still green with large leaf droppings. It appears the area was affected by some sort of leaf fungus causing the leaves to get brown spots and quickly fall off the trees.

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