Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 both GFS and Euro showing signs of torch post D7 with GFS hinting at it by the 4th of april and Euro by the 6th....getting closer to kicking out this crappy cold rain pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 27, 2011 Author Share Posted March 27, 2011 both GFS and Euro showing signs of torch post D7 with GFS hinting at it by the 4th of april and Euro by the 6th....getting closer to kicking out this crappy cold rain pattern im not sure how "warm" it would get on the euro post april 6th. Big time -epo ridge poking up into alaska argues for the -pna centered over the west coast with majority of the warmth located in the center of the country to great lakes with a trof hanging very close by off the atlantic coast. the true warmth looks to be centered west of us, with us being on the front side of the ridge/backside of trof. Though it would deff be warmer than it is now, which is all that matters. I would also imagine some sneaky backdoor's coming down post euro day 10 if that pattern holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 im not sure how "warm" it would get on the euro post april 6th. Big time -epo ridge poking up into alaska argues for the -pna centered over the west coast with majority of the warmth located in the center of the country to great lakes with a trof hanging very close by off the atlantic coast. the true warmth looks to be centered west of us, with us being on the front side of the ridge/backside of trof. Though it would deff be warmer than it is now, which is all that matters. I would also imagine some sneaky backdoor's coming down post euro day 10 if that pattern holds. yeah perhaps, i just figured that the -pna/plains ridge would shift east some as time progressed on the euro i know phase 6/7 of the MJO this time of year is a bit warmer than average as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 27, 2011 Author Share Posted March 27, 2011 yeah perhaps, i just figured that the -pna/plains ridge would shift east some as time progressed on the euro i know phase 6/7 of the MJO this time of year is a bit warmer than average as well yea which it could do. Sucks you can't see past day ten to see if the pattern is transient or locked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I had some sleet in the rain last week. Underforecasted by Mt Holly as usual. Actually I think you guys mentioned sleet, but you didn't mention how awesome it is so there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 im not sure how "warm" it would get on the euro post april 6th. Big time -epo ridge poking up into alaska argues for the -pna centered over the west coast with majority of the warmth located in the center of the country to great lakes with a trof hanging very close by off the atlantic coast. the true warmth looks to be centered west of us, with us being on the front side of the ridge/backside of trof. Though it would deff be warmer than it is now, which is all that matters. I would also imagine some sneaky backdoor's coming down post euro day 10 if that pattern holds. Helluva sig for a backdoor front pattern in mid April...we could waffle from 80 to 50 very easily if that look held. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Helluva sig for a backdoor front pattern in mid April...we could waffle from 80 to 50 very easily if that look held. Whatever keeps the Dogwoods in check until early May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 gfs/ecm 8-10 day is gross Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 gfs/ecm 8-10 day is gross This pattern sucks. I don't even really know what it is forcing it. It's definitely not the tropics, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 gfs/ecm 8-10 day is gross hopefully they're wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 gfs/ecm 8-10 day is gross +1000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 This pattern sucks. I don't even really know what it is forcing it. It's definitely not the tropics, that's for sure. Both the 12z ECM and 18z GFS are in agreement about the development of an EPO block and cold air returning to the East by Day 9, after a transient warm-up. ECM at 216: GFS at 216: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 hopefully they're wrong. Agreed....probably aren't though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 28, 2011 Author Share Posted March 28, 2011 well ninas are known for there crappy springs...cool wet and backdoors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 gonna be until probably May before real spring gets here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 little better with the 8-10 day...huge+NAO signal so waiting for future runs to show succeeding torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Well, at least the GFS and EC don't look nearly as bad in the 7-10 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Well, at least the GFS and EC don't look nearly as bad in the 7-10 day range. Hoping we can build some continuity with todays guidance. 18z was even warmer in the longer range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 D15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Both the 12z ECM and 18z GFS are in agreement about the development of an EPO block and cold air returning to the East by Day 9, after a transient warm-up. Oh man..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 well ninas are known for there crappy springs...cool wet and backdoors Speak for yourself Tombo with the cool wet backdoors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Speak for yourself Tombo with the cool wet backdoors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 Speak for yourself Tombo with the cool wet backdoors as soon as i wrote that, i knew it was going to go perverted. I just wanted to see how long it would be left alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 as soon as i wrote that, i knew it was going to go perverted. I just wanted to see how long it would be left alone. Sorry! I could resist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS hr 180 beast!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS hr 180 beast!! Blizzard conditions even in philly.... would be one heckuva b**ch slap by mother nature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm hoping for some solid height rises in the wake of next weeks mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 euro continues to put out 3+ inches of qpf over the next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 euro continues to put out 3+ inches of qpf over the next 10 days Heckuva front on Tuesday...Euro looks to torch us for a day before the storms hit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 per accu for me next week, chance of rain monday, tuesday, thursday, friday, saturday, sunday, monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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