tombo82685 Posted March 17, 2011 Author Share Posted March 17, 2011 anyways vista snow maps show 2-4 from dc to phl into southern jerz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 its pretty scary how the 28z gfs resembles the mid feb storm Did the earthquake slow down the Earth's rotation instead of speeding it up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 17, 2011 Author Share Posted March 17, 2011 Did the earthquake slow down the Earth's rotation instead of speeding it up? if it translates to less snow for elko, than yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Tom... is the euro 2mb temps really cold like the gfs for late next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Tom... is the euro 2mb temps really cold like the gfs for late next week? 2mb temps are usually pretty cold no matter what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 2mb temps are usually pretty cold no matter what lol... take out the b 2m temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Tom... is the euro 2mb temps really cold like the gfs for late next week? No on the 2m...Euro is more runofthemill cold. The GFS raw has a cold bias btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 its pretty scary how the 28z gfs resembles the mid feb storm 2mb temps are usually pretty cold no matter what Were you two out at a bar somewhere imbibing in some St. Paddy's Day libations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 18, 2011 Author Share Posted March 18, 2011 Were you two out at a bar somewhere imbibing in some St. Paddy's Day libations? were you at the bar also lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 were you at the bar also lol Why? lot's of people, including this reporter for the San Antonio Express, call it St. Paddy's Day. http://www.mysanantonio.com/life/article/Memories-of-St-Paddy-s-Day-in-Ireland-1156210.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unknown Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Just about all of the individual GFS members show a snowstorm http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/members/18zsnowf168.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 18, 2011 Author Share Posted March 18, 2011 Why? lot's of people, including this reporter for the San Antonio Express, call it St. Paddy's Day. http://www.mysananto...and-1156210.php lol interesting, never saw it spelled like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Problem is with just about every single one of the 18 Z GFS ensemble means members they are showing a storm that is suppressed to the south of the region.. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/members/18zf162.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 18, 2011 Author Share Posted March 18, 2011 the 12z ggem looks like it would bury the area, though the 850s look cold, im not sure the surface. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/CMC_12z/cmcloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 if it translates to less snow for elko, than yes. You must be thinking of a different earthquake, since Elko was already screwed in that department a couple of months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 GFS further south ...not surprised considering the means members from 18 Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 GGEM looks north and rainy ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 EURO destroys DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 EURO destroys DC This isn't the DC subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 This isn't the DC subforum. It sure is relevant to Delaware! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 It sure is relevant to Delaware! To be honest, it's rain changing to snow verbatim but nobody would parse an exaggeration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 If it actually snows next week, can it stick during the day? Or are we at the point where it has to snow at night to stick? I feel like even if snow is falling we won't see very much accumulation because the sun angle is getting so high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 It doesn't matter what time of day it snows if the intensity is high. A light snow probably wouldn't even stick considering the ground temps are now way above freezing but a noreaster with high snowfall rates would stick very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Daytime accumulation at this time of year is all about intensity of snowfall. Light to moderate will only accumulate on non-paved surfaces while melting underneath from warm ground holds down accumulation. Heavy snow on the other hand can accumulate on highways regardless of sun angle or warmth of previous days and high totals can result. Unfortunately have stay around more than a day or two afterwards doesn't happen. Most recent example Mar 31-Apr 1, 1997, we pulled out a solid foot of snow around here with roads a mess while it was snowing during the daytime of Mar 31. Around 20 inches fell just SW of here in Coatesville. As I recall it was in the mid 60s on March 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 It doesn't matter what time of day it snows if the intensity is high. A light snow probably wouldn't even stick considering the ground temps are now way above freezing but a noreaster with high snowfall rates would stick very well. Daytime accumulation at this time of year is all about intensity of snowfall. Light to moderate will only accumulate on non-paved surfaces while melting underneath from warm ground holds down accumulation. Heavy snow on the other hand can accumulate on highways regardless of sun angle or warmth of previous days and high totals can result. Unfortunately have stay around more than a day or two afterwards doesn't happen. Most recent example Mar 31-Apr 1, 1997, we pulled out a solid foot of snow around here with roads a mess while it was snowing during the daytime of Mar 31. Around 20 inches fell just SW of here in Coatesville. As I recall it was in the mid 60s on March 30. We got accumulating snow, including on roads, in mid October a few years ago during mid-day, and after a warm spell. It was explained as being very thick clouds as being why. But normally, gotta have heavy rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Snow is nice and all but it's nicer when it can stick around a bit, but crap here the grass already got going trees like the swamp maples are almost leafing out so snow on those branches will be very very bad with all the wieght. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 This pattern is becoming more annoying with each passing model run. I'm not the biggest fan of March snowstorms and the long-range brings back the constant -NAO that destroys any possibility of Spring into April, when it actually should be warmer. It was 70 degrees in Late February.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 You can't be suprised though, strong Nina's favor a January thaw, we got the thaw in February instead. Strong Nina's favor a snowy late February into March. Looks like we will get a snowy end of March into early April. This year it seems like everything is delayed a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 You can't be suprised though, strong Nina's favor a January thaw, we got the thaw in February instead. Strong Nina's favor a snowy late February into March. Looks like we will get a snowy end of March into early April. This year it seems like everything is delayed a month. Indeed, this is a good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 12z GFS looks like a 2/22 redux. Pretty good signal from the ensemble mean as well, but the Low is rather strung out. Indiv members aren't out yet for some reason... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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