JTA66 Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 I don't care about temperatures at this point. I just want a long dry stretch so I can get the yard work started. btw ... since this thread has the term "long-range" in it, does anyone have any early ideas on summer? A repeat of 2010? Cooler? Wet or dry? Thanks for any insights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 I don't care about temperatures at this point. I just want a long dry stretch so I can get the yard work started. btw ... since this thread has the term "long-range" in it, does anyone have any early ideas on summer? A repeat of 2010? Cooler? Wet or dry? Thanks for any insights. Probbly torch/dry to start, then maybe getting wetter as we transfer from La Nada into a weak Nino. If JB's mega -NAO block holds then it would be coolder and rainier but right now I don't see that lasting into summer (if it happens at all) Also with La Nada we typically see better severe weather reaching the east coast, no? (I hear Lee gathering his cameras already) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 12z GFS is a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 12z GFS is a disaster Still holding out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 I hope its nothing but cutters back there. Over the last two months, including this morning, I've watched one storm after another collapse upon arrival here. 24 hours ago the GFS and EC had 0.30" here this morning. As late as last night the NAM had 0.30" here this morning, though by then the EC and GFS were backing off. Verification is gonna be maybe 0.11". The weather gods are torturing me this year. Just end winter everywhere now. OK, end mindless rant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 12z GFS is a disaster Euro is a disaster Great analysis, lemme tell ya. If you're gonna muck up threads, at least do it in your own region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 I hope its nothing but cutters back there. Over the last two months, including this morning, I've watched one storm after another collapse upon arrival here. 24 hours ago the GFS and EC had 0.30" here this morning. As late as last night the NAM had 0.30" here this morning, though by then the EC and GFS were backing off. Verification is gonna be maybe 0.11". The weather gods are torturing me this year. Just end winter everywhere now. OK, end mindless rant What is the average March rainfall amount in Elko? I'm interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Lately all models are a disaster! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Ji's credability is a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 What is the average March rainfall amount in Elko? I'm interested. 0.98" by the 1971-2000 normals. As of now we've had 0.71". 72% of normal already. Normal snowfall is 4.4". As of now we've had about 1.6". 36% of normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Great analysis, lemme tell ya. If you're gonna muck up threads, at least do it in your own region. what else do you want me to say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 I hope its nothing but cutters back there. Over the last two months, including this morning, I've watched one storm after another collapse upon arrival here. 24 hours ago the GFS and EC had 0.30" here this morning. As late as last night the NAM had 0.30" here this morning, though by then the EC and GFS were backing off. Verification is gonna be maybe 0.11". The weather gods are torturing me this year. Just end winter everywhere now. OK, end mindless rant So, I'd assume you'd leave Elko for a NWS elsewhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 0.98" by the 1971-2000 normals. As of now we've had 0.71". 72% of normal already. Normal snowfall is 4.4". As of now we've had about 1.6". 36% of normal. Not as dry as I expected, thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 So, I'd assume you'd leave Elko for a NWS elsewhere? Elko can certainly get some good winter weather. Though usually in bitty pieces. Biggest event in the 4 years I've been here has been 8", and I was conveniently out of town during that one . There hasn't been a single storm greater than 10" in 14 years, even though we've had a few seasonal totals of greater than 60". Right now we're sitting at 31.9". That sounds decent, until you factor in that the biggest storm was 4.5". So yeah, I'd leave for another office sure. Preferably an eastern one which gets as much or more snow seaonally as Trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 12z GFS is a disaster Doesn't the Mid Atlantic have its own mid range thread for you to play in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Elko can certainly get some good winter weather. Though usually in bitty pieces. Biggest event in the 4 years I've been here has been 8", and I was conveniently out of town during that one . There hasn't been a single storm greater than 10" in 14 years, even though we've had a few seasonal totals of greater than 60". Right now we're sitting at 31.9". That sounds decent, until you factor in that the biggest storm was 4.5". So yeah, I'd leave for another office sure. Preferably an eastern one which gets as much or more snow seaonally as Trenton Gotcha.....I'm sure in time you'll move on to bigger and better, I mean wetter (whiter) places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Elko can certainly get some good winter weather. Though usually in bitty pieces. Biggest event in the 4 years I've been here has been 8", and I was conveniently out of town during that one . There hasn't been a single storm greater than 10" in 14 years, even though we've had a few seasonal totals of greater than 60". Right now we're sitting at 31.9". That sounds decent, until you factor in that the biggest storm was 4.5". So yeah, I'd leave for another office sure. Preferably an eastern one which gets as much or more snow seaonally as Trenton Just have to head up to the Rubies to get crushed though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Just have to head up to the Rubies to get crushed though *If* you can get up there. They don't plow the road in winter, and the hybrid is front-wheel drive only, not 4-wheel Besides, I prefer the snow to come to me. Trips up into the Rubies are for those funky June/September events, when the road is more navigable and the trees are foliaged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 *If* you can get up there. They don't plow the road in winter, and the hybrid is front-wheel drive only, not 4-wheel Besides, I prefer the snow to come to me. Trips up into the Rubies are for those funky June/September events, when the road is more navigable and the trees are foliaged. Too bad you're having such a miserable season this year, I know Nevada got rocked last year with the strong El Nino... NYC through NNE is the place to be this winter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 12z GFS is a disaster Late Saturday night looks like a chance for the tiniest amount of ice for SEPA, Southern NJ, Delmarva, and DC even though bufkit shows nada. Otherwise, all precip through day 10 is cold rain. Bleah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Too bad you're having such a miserable season this year, I know Nevada got rocked last year with the strong El Nino... Last winter was pretty good. Of course, the biggest "storm", 6.9" in late April, was really two smaller events, and the snow melted completely in between. Par for the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Too bad you're having such a miserable season this year Oh, and here's another depressing stat... 31.9", but only about 5" of that since late December. That'd be a bad run even back home, let alone here... OK, I'll stop crying you all a river for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 7, 2011 Author Share Posted March 7, 2011 Oh, and here's another depressing stat... 31.9", but only about 5" of that since late December. That'd be a bad run even back home, let alone here... OK, I'll stop crying you all a river for now :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Any signs of a drier pattern? As much as I'm tired of colder air, I'm probably moreso tired of the 2" rain storms that we get once or twice a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 I would watch mid-March as the NAO could still go negative. But if we don't get snow by then, might as well be 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 12z GFS shows a little clipper coming through.... Any chance of some flakes on Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unknown Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Interesting article about a big storm on March 19th http://beforeitsnews.com/story/352/094/Extreme_Lunar_Perigee_March_19,_2011_Means_More_Storms_and_Flooding.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unknown Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 MECS on Nogaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 I know it is a long way off, but does anyone know (predict) what the weather will be like on 3/21 through 3/25? Are any models showing any storms during that time period? Also, what do the temperatures look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 I know it is a long way off, but does anyone know (predict) what the weather will be like on 3/21 through 3/25? Are any models showing any storms during that time period? Also, what do the temperatures look like? GFS has been tanking the NAO in that period. So I'd have to say that there are chances of stormy weather and that it may well be rather chilly. Haven't seen the EC that far out, I only see thru day 10 and thru then the EC is positive with the NAO (at least the 0Z was). But then again, I think the GFS is too thru day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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