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Medium-long range thread


tombo82685

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Yeah, there is zero cold air anywhere.

Day 3

MEX.DMAXF.002.gif

Day 4

MEX.DMAXF.003.gif

Day 7

MEX.DMAXF.006.gif

This is March, we will a few cold days embedded between the warmth but this is certainly not a cold Pattern. Until we get blocking or a PNA, we will have rollercoaster temps with warm days out dueling the colder days

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This is March, we will a few cold days embedded between the warmth but this is certainly not a cold Pattern. Until we get blocking or a PNA, we will have rollercoaster temps with warm days out dueling the colder days

Gee, where have I heard that before?

I haven't really changed my thoughts all week, FWIW. I think we still end up in a roller coaster pattern for a while. A few days torch, then a few days of colder weather behind fronts. The presence a Hudson Bay vortex means cold will never be too far away and the HBV is in the ensembles through the middle of March. The strongest cold will be over the N Rockies/N Plains/Great Lakes, but will make periodic intrusions into our area.

I think there will chances for snow in our area, at least enough that we'll be tracking short term models, but they'll most likely end up as rain here.

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Gee, where have I heard that before?

I think the second half of the month will make it around normal,especially if we go by the 1981-2010 data which is over 1 degree higher for march then the 1971-2010 figures. If it stays stormy we may end up with above average snow which will still not be much because most places in the area only get a few inches or so.

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I'm ready for spring, not sure about others. After a few days in the 60s I got excited about the warm weather. Pretty tired of the cold at this point.

That said, I don't have high hopes for long-term warmth yet. It seems both the warm, in its limited capacity, and the cold will be transient for a while.

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D7 on the GFS/GEFS looks interesting for Philly north. There could be some snow chances. Thread the needle, yes, but that's no surprise in March.

I just looked at yesterday's 12z GFS and it's clear as a bell on Day 7. Are you talking about day 6 when precip pulls away? It *might* end as snow north of Philly...key word in asterisks.

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ur had ur all time winter last year. might as well give up on snow for now...come back to the board in 20yrs.

2nd winter in a row where Mid Feb-March has been an slaughterhouse for winter weather lovers in the DC-PHL corridor

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2nd winter in a row where Mid Feb-March has been an slaughterhouse for winter weather lovers in the DC-PHL corridor

Not in PHL. We had a good snow in late Feb last year (although NYC obviously got the brunt of it). That was it, but after 80" of snow I was good to go. It was in the 60s/70s by mid march and never looked back. Perfect transition.

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no reason to be concerned. The signs for a warm March have been there for the past several weeks

Seriously, why are you trolling me in this thread? You keep popping in here like what I post is in anyway applicable to you or that you add any value to the conversation. Here's a hint: you don't.

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Seriously, why are you trolling me in this thread? I've always thought it was going to be a warm March south of the Mason-Dixon line, but you keep popping in here like what I post is in anyway applicable to you.

Now that JB is no longer at Accu to give him hours of viewing entertainment he needs someone to troll to kill time?

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