CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 tell Beau that I'm talking about past experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 All the local mets were saying all rain along the coast in the AM...snow showers inland. They mostly had 1-3" with some pockets of 4". They all liked the squall for the afternoon. They said maybe mid-aft for that bringing another 1" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Looks fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 lol really guys? the intellicast radar always looks good That VM crossing TN looks nice http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 HRRR looks like it was initialized in Steve's basement. It weenies out over ern mass after 07z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Looks fine. Yeah, looks fair. I bet I end up with 2-3''. Enough to make things slippery, especially after all the meltwater freezes as the snow starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Any thoughts about squall potential in the afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 HRRR looks like it was initialized in Steve's basement. It weenies out over ern mass after 07z. LOL yea it has sucked this year after 6 like you said but apparently has been very good down there for some reason, probably a southern model. I do like the VM at the base of the trough to get us something, the NC stuff ain't ours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Where did he say that? http://www.facebook.com/beaudodsonweather Beau Dodson HRRR model just about nailed this snow event. Should be used more often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 You have 0 chance. really? you better hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Anticipating about a 2 to 4 inch type scenario for the Berks. I could envision a 5 inch lollipop somewhere in one of the orographically favored areas of S VT or at 2K in the northern Berks. Most of this area should be in the mid-level fronto stuff, so I do expect a steady light snow with some moderate bursts possible. Models seem to imply a QPF screw zone running from BDR, BDL, ORH, to BOS or somewhere thereabouts as they are in between the mid-level forcing and the precip from the low offshore. Areas to the SE should do a little better with the southern stream moisture, but BL temps will likely be in the mid to upper 30s, favoring a mostly light rain scenario for PVD and points S and E, at least initially. I believe the RUC is too far NW with the southern stream moisture, and that meaningful precip will have a hard time making it much NW of PVD. I have seen this bias time and again, and am mostly discounting the RUC for now. I'd say 1 to maybe 2 inches for the BDL to ORH to BOS corridor, with an inch or less S and E of I-84, with the exception of maybe a 2 inch lolly in the hills of NE CT. Maybe next time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Ignore the models, this is RAD Hallucination-cast time! Well GFS RGEM RUC HRRR say you lose your bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Well GFS RGEM RUC HRRR say you lose your bet GFS has a nice enhanced norlun over YBY and MBY on NW.. We'll see if it's onto something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Looks fine. I buy that....1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Well GFS RGEM RUC HRRR say you lose your bet I don't care what those models imply; I'm simply not getting 4" of snow, tmw.....period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I don't care what those models imply; I'm simply not getting 4" of snow, tmw.....period. Okey dokey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 really? you better hope Yea, beads of sweat just racing down my shlong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 GFS has a nice enhanced norlun over YBY and MBY on NW.. We'll see if it's onto something Oh, Its on something alright, I think it comes in liquid form and is made in a cooker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Yea, beads of sweat just racing down my shlong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 This has 2-5 written all over it regionwide I think we might want to move the comments for tonight's event to the obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Seriously thinks Ray gets shafted the rest of the winter, look forward to the deep NAO to return with stale marine air enveloping NE MASS, oh wait that was last year, from his whining I lost track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 HRRR hasn't been good at all beyond 6 hrs. RUC hits SE MA with over .1" per hour for a few hours later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Seriously thinks Ray gets shafted the rest of the winter, look forward to the deep NAO to return with stale marine air enveloping NE MASS, oh wait that was last year, from his whining I lost track. I whined some last night.....not today....not favoring a snowier outcome for one's own BY does not constitute whining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 RUC hits SE MA with over .1" per hour for a few hours later tonight. That will have to be watched.....RUC nailed that event a couple of weeks ago, when most guidance was whififng everone but your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I whined some last night.....not today....not favoring a snowier outcome for one's own BY does not constitute whining. LOL I just read last nights stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 RUC hits SE MA with over .1" per hour for a few hours later tonight. As it will continue to trend lighter and SE with the QPF over the next 12 hours and it affects nobody... C'mon you know this... you've preached it every storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Not sure if MPM posted this but ALY seems a little bullish. Hope they're right. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS: SOUTHERN VERMONT AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. MOST OF EASTERN NEW YORK...EXCLUDING THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CATSKILLS. * HAZARDS: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE VALLEY LOCATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES HIGHER TERRAIN. * TIMING: SNOW DEVELOPING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BY EVENING...CONTINUING OVERNIGHT...TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND HALF AN INCH PER HOUR. * IMPACTS: COULD ADVERSELY IMPACT THE MORNING DRIVE WITH SLIPPERY ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY TO UNDER HALF A MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES: GENERALLY IN THE 25 TO 30 DEGREE RANGE IN THE VALLEYS...20 TO 25 OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH THIS EVENING...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 LOL I just read last nights stuff I also admitted that I was just spoiled and coming down off of the high......and that this winter has been epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 That will have to be watched.....RUC nailed that event a couple of weeks ago, when most guidance was whififng everone but your area. As it will continue to trend lighter and SE with the QPF over the next 12 hours and it affects nobody... C'mon you know this... you've preached it every storm Not always...just have to watch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I also admitted that I was just spoiled and coming down off of the high......and that this winter has been epic. JK dude. I think you get 2-3 nice refresher and look out for some nasty squalls up there tomorrow, could be some very very nasty road conditions, salt sand washed off and moist road conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.