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Looking beyond Feb 5-6th event


Baroclinic Zone

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Nice winds!

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN...

SHELBURNE

403 PM EST MON FEB 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO

1 PM EST TUESDAY...

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY...SNOW...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. TOTAL SNOW

ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.

TEMPERATURE FALLING TO AROUND 19 IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST

WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE

OF SNOW 90 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN CLEARING.

MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS AROUND 1 ABOVE. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH

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looking at radar seems like all that moisture on the coast is moving due north! could this be a sneaky storm seems to be phasing with northern stream

nah seems like the stuff over GA/SC is pushing ENE/E erly. the Ne extent of the stuff is moving NNE ward but it's also sliding E at same time as a whole.....so IMO no dice...no way no how. norlun suprise is our best hope.....

anyone got the MM5 QPF OUTPUT. or ruc

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probably wouldn't matter if it engulfed the cape entirely unless it is ripping down hard. it'll be the difference between -rn and -rnsn i think.

I'm thinking unless we see a big shift to a pronounced shield we get non-accumulating snow or just a mix/rain.

We were seasonably above normal to somewhat mild but not overly above normal today, going to be tough to get that out of here without any CAA.

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I'm thinking unless we see a big shift to a pronounced shield we get non-accumulating snow or just a mix/rain.

We were seasonably above normal to somewhat mild but not overly above normal today, going to be tough to get that out of here without any CAA.

yeah. the GFS offers some hope as it really cools the low levels quickly after 12z out here. the 18z NAM offered virtually no hope in that department.

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