Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 LOL you guys sometimes take this stuff way way too personal, run and hide? Thaw is coming I thawt I thaw a thaw. Prepare for the rebound. well i'm half joking. but, with respect to taking things personal, people want opinions but then get weird about it if said opinion is not what they wanted to hear. it's not a big deal, obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I don't see much keeping next week's "monster" from careening through New England in 6-12 hours ... at this point. Heck the 00z Euro moves the surface low from the western Gulf to southeast MA in 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Ensembles look like the op run for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GGEM has a major Miller B snow event for next Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 GGEM has a major Miller B snow event for next Tuesday. Looks just inside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 nice 50 knot winds to accompany the arrival of arctic air on tuesday night/wed on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GGEM has a major Miller B snow event for next Tuesday. Guidance has trended interesting over the last 24 hours, with really trying to dig that s/w. The ensembles had some weenie solutions at 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 Guidance has trended interesting over the last 24 hours, with really trying to dig that s/w. The ensembles had some weenie solutions at 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Wow, Miller B on the Euro for Tuesday? Looks much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Wow, Miller B on the Euro for Tuesday? Looks much better. Yes!! Where's Ray?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 It blows up big time right as its getting to out latitude....eastern areas get some really good qpf, but might have to deal with ptype issues early on. But all of SNE is easily over a half inch from it with 0.75"-1.00" for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 It blows up big time right as its getting to out latitude....eastern areas get some really good qpf, but might have to deal with ptype issues early on. But all of SNE is easily over a half inch from it with 0.75"-1.00" for eastern areas. Yeah I like the trends for that, today. Certainly offsets the 12z disaster for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 It blows up big time right as its getting to out latitude....eastern areas get some really good qpf, but might have to deal with ptype issues early on. But all of SNE is easily over a half inch from it with 0.75"-1.00" for eastern areas. Pretty impressive looking on both the ggem and euro. That thing just digs a hole once it is east of the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Looks like it might try to make the late week thing more like a brushing like the ggem did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Looks like it might try to make the late week thing more like a brushing like the ggem did Turning the corner hard at 162h. Might be a good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Turning the corner hard at 162h. Might be a good hit. smokes us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 smokes us I like seeing it, but not 7 days out..lol. Either way, potential is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I like seeing it, but not 7 days out..lol. Either way, potential is there. i hear ya. LOL. down from 9 days now though. only what? 14 more euro runs to go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 At what hour does the Euro crash 850 temps along the coast? 96h looks warm for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 At what hour does the Euro crash 850 temps along the coast? 96h looks warm for SE MA. 102 they are way offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Will where would the rain/snow gradient initially set up for the Tuesday system for the 12z EURO verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 12Z Euro and GGEM = Florida flight cancel out of BDL early Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 At what hour does the Euro crash 850 temps along the coast? 96h looks warm for SE MA. it is warm at the start but somewhere right around 98 to 100 hours it seems as this thing bombs they crash out into the atlantic...with quite a good amount of QPF falling in that general time frame. better in E MA than say MBY most likely. an interesting event. huge temp drop too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Will where would the rain/snow gradient initially set up for the Tuesday system for the 12z EURO verbatim Probably about 495, perhaps as close as 128...but it cools rapidly to the coast after the first few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 We would get fringed here verbatium on the Euro for next weekend, But i am not complaining, We have a nice 7 days ahead here in NNE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Here comes the torch at the end of the Euro run. Well maybe torch is a bad word...but definitely the whole CONUS is warming up there with the Pacific air flooding the country. Still a lot of cold in Canada though so once pattern allows more meridional flow again it would cool off quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Here comes the torch at the end of the Euro run. Well maybe torch is a bad word...but definitely the whole CONUS is warming up there with the Pacific air flooding the country. Still a lot of cold in Canada though so once pattern allows more meridional flow again it would cool off quickly. is this a zonal torch or a big trough out west + east coast ridge torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 it is warm at the start but somewhere right around 98 to 100 hours it seems as this thing bombs they crash out into the atlantic...with quite a good amount of QPF falling in that general time frame. better in E MA than say MBY most likely. an interesting event. huge temp drop too. Kewl. I like seeing this one sneak up on us even though the signal has been there. Thanks Will, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 euro actually does a nice job of trying to keep southern canada cold with some sneaky HP. edit: obviously we are talking day 10 here so whatever but i always like those events where cold HP builds into quebec and tries to ooze arctic air south into new england on a NNE flow...always produces unique weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 PV migrates E a bit on the Euro at the end and tries to keep New England cooler than the rest...still a bit above avg but not a torch. But the pattern looks kind of ugly for the several days beyond that...however it might not be as bad as meets the eye if that PV can lurk in far E Canada and kind of filter a bit of cooler air down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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