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Looking beyond Feb 5-6th event


Baroclinic Zone

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Feeling lucky to be sitting at 32.1/26. Not much melting taking place with these temps/cloudy sky. Looks like the qpf is becoming less robust, but hopfully will still eek out a couple inches to keep it lively.

Clouds have done their thing here today. 34.2/32.

Not really concerned about snow pack b/c the ice storm sat. night kind of locked it up solid.

Coast looks like it's torching today!

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The one thing I like about tomorrow, is that soundings seem very saturated on the GFS. If we can get a decent blob of qpf, or a couple of good bands in here, it could dump on a few people. This is basing on the GFS of course, but I do think it's possible.

I just don't like the screw zone depiction on some of the models.

What time does this shindig start tonight..and what is end time tomorrow?

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The one thing I like about tomorrow, is that soundings seem very saturated on the GFS. If we can get a decent blob of qpf, or a couple of good bands in here, it could dump on a few people. This is basing on the GFS of course, but I do think it's possible.

I just don't like the screw zone depiction on some of the models.

It runs the middle finger of death up form SNE in to the mid coast here on the junk Nam

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I'm watching this screw zone and truthfully it begins not that far south of ALB now..... Models have trended more nw with where the main streak of snow sets up tonight. Things looks quite nice here now, barring any further shift.

The one thing I like about tomorrow, is that soundings seem very saturated on the GFS. If we can get a decent blob of qpf, or a couple of good bands in here, it could dump on a few people. This is basing on the GFS of course, but I do think it's possible.

I just don't like the screw zone depiction on some of the models.

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I'm watching this screw zone and truthfully it begins not that far south of ALB now..... Models have trended more nw with where the main streak of snow sets up tonight. Things looks quite nice here now, barring any further shift.

Don't worry, Rick. The modeling for this year's systems is rock solid when you get to 12-18 hours out.

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32. A few flakes have been flying in the last hour. Advance scouts. No loss o' snowpack here. Mid-Winter look and feel. Hey! It's mid-Winter, that must be why!

There's a lot of people clutching their pearls and I don't understand why. A look at the calendar reveals that it is February 7. It's the meat of the winter right now.

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There's a lot of people clutching their pearls and I don't understand why. A look at the calendar reveals that it is February 7. It's the meat of the winter right now.

When you are as spoiled as we were in January, it makes any type of milder pattern seem a lot more anomalous and rafter-inducing than it really is. As some of us said before, it was amazing we went this long with no real milder pattern on the horizon to speak of until now.

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I wish that were the case of my drive. The ice storm Saturday has made it a rink. There's none left on the trees, but the drive is a b*tch.

Mine is still 95%+ ice... but it was recently sealed and in some spots, the bare blacktop is showing! Egads!

Last night at Wachusett, we were noticing the trees near the top looked like they were made of glass due to the light (0.25") accretion on them. Very purdy

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When you are as spoiled as we were in January, it makes any type of milder pattern seem a lot more anomalous and rafter-inducing than it really is. As some of us said before, it was amazing we went this long with no real milder pattern on the horizon to speak of until now.

Thats why Id rather get it out of the way in January around the 3rd week then bring in the arctic air and snow for Feb, makes the winter feel longer

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