CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Ironically thought it's much closer with some impressive vvs this run. Going to be a tight call/nowcast. I'd think we see the same pattern, ride the RUC later on today. It's early and it's outside the RUC range but through 18 it's further NW, more consolidated and brings the good stuff up over SE areas. Yeah I'm not really feeling this one, but agree that it may be a nowcast deal. Gulf waves can be very sneaky at times. Even if I only get an inch to whiten things up...that's cool with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Yeah I'm not really feeling this one, but agree that it may be a nowcast deal. Gulf waves can be very sneaky at times. Even if I only get an inch to whiten things up...that's cool with me. Problem will be with the BL torching down here all we may get is more rain. 43.7 here, 34 in ORH, 37 Boston, 40 Taunton, 40-42 over most of SE MA at 11am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Nam looks just awful, congrats Ray, 6pack of barley coming your way Negativity Realism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Yeah I'm not really feeling this one, but agree that it may be a nowcast deal. Gulf waves can be very sneaky at times. Even if I only get an inch to whiten things up...that's cool with me. The only sneaky aspect of this is how readily our massive snowpack is eroding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Problem will be with the BL torching down here all we may get is more rain. 43.7 here, 34 in ORH, 37 Boston, 40 Taunton, 40-42 over most of SE MA at 11am... 37.9\29 Drip, drip, drip. Should have taken Ginx' bet, too..... To fair, I'm probably going to look like an azz with regard to the Thursday fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 Negativity Realism We've got Ray! Welcome to reality. Only a few remaining member of the nation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 interesting that the better shot at a storm might be saturday as opposed to thursday at this point...at least speaking for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 We've got Ray! Welcome to reality. Only a few remaining member of the nation. Winter is far from over, but I think that the next couple of weeks will provide an opportunity to save many a marriage, as the board populous will probably resume it's inexorable flirt with divorce, nxt month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Winter is far from over, but I think that the next couple of weeks will provide an opportunity to save many a marriage, as the board populous will probably resume it's inexorable flirt with divorce, nxt month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 We have finally gotten the sh** week that was long overdue.....right down to the diurnal nuances in that the sun torched us all day, then cloud cover came in right as the sun set....mitigating RAD cooling, then right on cue, they cleared as the sun rose again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 37.9\29 Drip, drip, drip. Should have taken Ginx' bet, too..... To fair, I'm probably going to look like an azz with regard to the Thursday fail. below We've got Ray! Welcome to reality. Only a few remaining member of the nation. It's beautiful out and this is exactly what you guys needed to safely melt down some of the snowpack. Otherwise floods, roofs breaking etc....best possible scenario right now, a steady but controlled melt. It's interesting that so much focus was on the mid-month warmup we kind of forgot about this torch which is pretty impressive all things considered. Timing was perfectly bad last night with cloud cover to prevent rad cooling and then full sun. As far as storm threats it started with the clipper going south. For the most part everything since aside of part 1 of the storm days ago (which still trended warmer/worse as it approached for many in SNE) opportunities are now escaping us as they near. The RUC is shoving the low ESE each run. I'm not sure the models are bad at 12z...it's a miss, may just end up being a close miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 interesting that the better shot at a storm might be saturday as opposed to thursday at this point...at least speaking for MBY. I mentioned that last night, wrt the euro. It has a sneaky low, although it is a loooong shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 This is a little warmer than I thought....I was thinking 38-43 here...cooler N & W Even Kev's neighbor is 42... http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KCTTOLLA7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I mentioned that last night, wrt the euro. It has a sneaky low, although it is a loooong shot. yeah right now i'm not expecting anything but worth keeping an eye for fun. i could see how it gets a bit more interesting but i'm not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Winter is far from over, but I think that the next couple of weeks will provide an opportunity to save many a marriage, as the board populous will probably resume it's inexorable flirt with divorce, nxt month. LOL What worsens this feeling of emptiness with the end of La Epic Part I is it's coinciding with the end of football season. Snowpack is getting annihilated. We may see grass by next week unless Valentine's Day Miller B surprises. I would be happy with a white inch Tuesday, but even that is in doubt with obscene BL temps. Below... the beauty before it all washes away: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 below It's beautiful out and this is exactly what you guys needed to safely melt down some of the snowpack. Otherwise floods, roofs breaking etc....best possible scenario right now, a steady but controlled melt. It's interesting that so much focus was on the mid-month warmup we kind of forgot about this torch which is pretty impressive all things considered. Timing was perfectly bad last night with cloud cover to prevent rad cooling and then full sun. As far as storm threats it started with the clipper going south. For the most part everything since aside of part 1 of the storm days ago (which still trended warmer/worse as it approached for many in SNE) opportunities are now escaping us as they near. The RUC is shoving the low ESE each run. I'm not sure the models are bad at 12z...it's a miss, may just end up being a close miss. Eh....I don't live in a flood prone area, thus I would just assume rip the band aid off and be done with it......this "safe meltdown" strikes me as some perverse torcher right out of the film "HOSTEL"......"it's not torture, it's a safe, controlled death".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 We have finally gotten the sh** week that was long overdue.....right down to the diurnal nuances in that the sun torched us all day, then cloud cover came in right as the sun set....mitigating RAD cooling, then right on cue, they cleared as the sun rose again. 45.3 here. The lack of clearing last night is killing the rest of my snowpack. Starting at 29 degrees a few hours ago...ouch. Quite a bit more snow even 1-2 miles to my NW. It's much more noticeable now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Eh....I don't live in a flood prone area, thus I would just assume rip the band aid off and be done with it......this "safe meltdown" strikes me as some perverse torcher right out of the film "HOSTEL"......"it's not torture, it's a safe, controlled death".... Mainly meant roofs Ray....with bad ice dams a rapid melt is an indoor flood. This gives you all some time to get it cleaned up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Mainly meant roofs Ray....with bad ice dams a rapid melt is an indoor flood. This gives you all some time to get it cleaned up. I'm good...had the situation tended to, this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Snowpack is getting annihilated. We may see grass by next week unless Valentine's Day Miller B surprises. I'm guessing someone in SNE hits 70 by the end of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 I'm guessing someone in SNE hits 70 by the end of March. Might be today at this rate, 46.3 and the thermo is well into the shade/protected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Here is my detailed analysis of the pattern moving foreward: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/12835-epic-winter-stretch-is-overpaps-is-in-camp/page__pid__446112#entry446112 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Might be today at this rate, 46.3 and the thermo is well into the shade/protected. wifebeaterwx just logged in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Here is my detailed analysis of the pattern moving foreward: http://www.americanw...112#entry446112 Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 This is a little warmer than I thought....I was thinking 38-43 here...cooler N & W Even Kev's neighbor is 42... http://www.wundergro...sp?ID=KCTTOLLA7 LOL come on dude..all the other sites in Tolland are in the mid 30's..That thermo is always way warmer than the other Tolland sites. Upper 30's for highs today...and snow tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 There hasn't been a period since the week of xmas that we didn't have a significant event to track.....what a rude awakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 Feeling lucky to be sitting at 32.1/26. Not much melting taking place with these temps/cloudy sky. Looks like the qpf is becoming less robust, but hopfully will still eek out a couple inches to keep it lively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 LOL come on dude..all the other sites in Tolland are in the mid 30's..That thermo is always way warmer than the other Tolland sites. Upper 30's for highs today...and snow tonight Is that a different station than this one, the Tolland MS? 43 something there.... http://weather.weatherbug.com/CT/Tolland-weather.html?zcode=z6286&zip=06084 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 At least the GFS long range looks like it has lost its torch with a few more storm chances in the next 15 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2011 Share Posted February 7, 2011 The one thing I like about tomorrow, is that soundings seem very saturated on the GFS. If we can get a decent blob of qpf, or a couple of good bands in here, it could dump on a few people. This is basing on the GFS of course, but I do think it's possible. I just don't like the screw zone depiction on some of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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