IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 As I posted earlier, I expect baby steps out of the GFS for about the next 4-6 runs. Our storm for early next week doesn't evolve into one low pressure system on the GFS, instead it holds back part of the energy and that's really causing problems. We need the storm on Tuesday to really consolidate and blow up once it gets past our lattitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 A step in the right direction. Wouldn't take much adjustment to make a stronger storm. No consistency from GFS yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Agree that tuesday storm is key without that the next storm would cut west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I will be doing the euro pbp tonight, even though i have work tomorrow morn. Hopefully you guys will be around for it. I definitely will, tombo. Of course, I think we all will understand if you need to sleep instead, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I definitely will, tombo. Of course, I think we all will understand if you need to sleep instead, LOL. Nah, ill be here for it. Havent done a good one in a while. Who knows how many more threats we will have to do them for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 We're going straight thru till at least Mid-April Tombo...like some of the Complete Winter's of yore!!! Nah, ill be here for it. Havent done a good one in a while. Who knows how many more threats we will have to do them for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 We're going straight thru till at least Mid-April Tombo...like some of the Complete Winter's of yore!!! hahahah we haven't had a good march storm in a while, yet a lone april Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yes, there are 2 factors involved: 1. Our viewers are sick and tired of all the snow and ice. If I sounded or looked excited, they would be even more upset. 2. I am exhausted from all these threats, big and small (even the small ones lead to great stress and extra work). Last year was much more fun, with just a few events, but all of them huge. And no stinkin' ice. Glenn ^ Thanks for the reply Glenn, its actually cool that you responded, never really thought you high up news weathermen/women would be on here actively. I can understand that it is annoying with these surprise changes and model flip flops, one of the reasons why I would hate to be on the news making forecasts. But hang in there, this winter isn't over yet. I have a feeling that there are still a few tricks left waiting to be unleashed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Well,you know where I'm from right; it's only been 06/07 since we had the VD storm,St,Patty's and the Tax Day storms...it Could happen to you this year... hahahah we haven't had a good march storm in a while, yet a lone april Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Well,you know where I'm from right; it's only been 06/07 since we had the VD storm,St,Patty's and the Tax Day storms...it Could happen to you this year... lol your area runs a lot higher of a chance of getting big snows in march and april than around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 gfs ens mean shows a very disorganized storm that doesn't have much of a surface reflection really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yeah.I know,but it's a historic year...maybe,history's not done... lol your area runs a lot higher of a chance of getting big snows in march and april than around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 0z ggem, looks to be colder and further south than 12z, gotta wait till the color maps come out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Color maps 120 -- http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_120.jpg 132 -- http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_132.jpg 144 -- http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_144.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Not bad. GGEM is getting there, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 color maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 0z ggem, looks to be colder and further south than 12z, gotta wait till the color maps come out holding that energy back...nice catch on the GFS btw...it's really obvious on this run of the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 UKMET @ 144 agrees with the GGEM regarding surface lp track and the holding back of energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 The 12z FIM was a hit. 0.60-1.25, more north & east la-la-la-lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 UKMET @ 144 agrees with the GGEM regarding surface lp track and the holding back of energy map me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 00z UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Seriously though, think it says something that even a model with the same (or very similar) initialization scheme as the GFS disagrees with the GFS and agrees with the other globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 heres the new euro qpf map for the region, should cover everyone who post in this forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Pretty good Tom. I like the boundary areas you chose. heres the new euro qpf map for the region, should cover everyone who post in this forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 heres the new euro qpf map for the region, should cover everyone who post in this forum Map Personally, I'm curious to see what other areas are getting, even if they're not in our sub-forum. Unless it's harder for you to cover a larger area. Nice boundaries though, but you forgot Elko! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Does stormvista have precip maps for the LR ukie? or does the UKMET really only run at 24-hr intervals past 72? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Does stormvista have precip maps for the LR ukie? or does the UKMET really only run at 24-hr intervals past 72? nah it doesn't have the ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 alright, lets get this show on the road, euro has init. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 alright, lets get this show on the road, euro has init. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I like the area getting hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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