WxLover Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Huge improvement. Stronger sub-low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray8002 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Nice run.. Not the best but I like where we're at with this one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Euro known bias is to hang energy back, sounds like a decent improvement. Can we stop with this? The bias is to close lows off in the Desert SW or off of SAN, particularly in spring. There are no biases about splitting shortwaves or maintaining a positively tilted longwave trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Well, to sum things up here, I would say that we have a moderate risk for a winter storm for Thursday. Even the QPF amounts at this stage, which no doubt will be adjusted with time show a fairly good snowfall. Plus, do think this setup will be cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 i wont know precise qpf till the run is done, so bare with me for like 15 mins or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 if anyone outside this area wants some qpf just shoot them out and i will give you the numbers once they are out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Nice run.. Not the best but I like where we're at with this one.. I'd take this and run....all the way to the 20th or so when the pattern becomes favorable once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 if anyone outside this area wants some qpf just shoot them out and i will give you the numbers once they are out... Tombo, KBLM Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Looks like a decent run at this stage of the game! Thanks Tom for the pbp. Hopefully many more to come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 if anyone outside this area wants some qpf just shoot them out and i will give you the numbers once they are out... Appreciate it tom. KSMQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 From nyc thread, phl gets. 60 dayum I will take that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This all seems in line with what everyones favorite meteorologist JB has tweeted this AM..."big storm southern plains Wed to mid and north atlantic states on Friday" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 qpf hazleton .1-.25 abe .2 avp .1-.2 dov 1.25-1.5 acy 1.25 ttn .6-.7 smq .4 blm .6-.7 mdt .25 lns .35-.45 rdg .25-.35 phl .75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Euro saves the day. Stronger with low in SW and across south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 qpf hazleton .1-.25 abe .2 avp .1-.2 dov 1.25-1.5 acy 1.25 ttn .6-.7 smq .4 blm .6-.7 mdt .25 lns .35-.45 rdg .25-.35 phl .75 Tombo- how is the rain/snow line for me here in Lewes, De Thanks, Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 geographically break down .1-.25 johnstown to lewistown to lake wallenpaupack .25-.5 bedford pa to easton pa to mmu .5-.75 hgr to spring city pa to just north of ewig to edison .75-1 dulles to balt to ilg to phl to ttn to ocean county/momouth co border 1-1.25 south side of dc to del canal to toms river 1.25-1.5 fredricksburg to dover to ocean city nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Tombo- how is the rain/snow line for me here in Lewes, De Thanks, Jason your all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 during the storm phl and immediate burbs are in the 20-25 range north and west burbs 15-20...then towards the end of the event the temps fall even more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Tom can you include MIV on your list? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 JMA shows a nice hit...almost exactly like the Euro wrt surface low track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 if anyone outside this area wants some qpf just shoot them out and i will give you the numbers once they are out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Sharp cutoff reigns supreme once again it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 geographically break down .1-.25 johnstown to lewistown to lake wallenpaupack .25-.5 bedford pa to easton pa to mmu .5-.75 hgr to spring city pa to just north of ewig to edison .75-1 dulles to balt to ilg to phl to ttn to ocean county/momouth co border 1-1.25 south side of dc to del canal to toms river 1.25-1.5 fredricksburg to dover to ocean city nj Thanks - Phl is very close to a foot plus - 30-45 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Thanks - Phl is very close to a foot plus - 30-45 miles. still a decent storm for PHL. This has the earmarks to be a big ticket storm for many folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Aww, oh well. I'm guessing the Bensalem area is expected around 7-10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 heres a map also red 1.25-1.5 purplish pink 1-1.25 blue .75-1 lime green .5-.75 dark green .25-.5 lgt green .1-.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 i put belmar in the totals blm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 And there is stil room for this to change and go a bit more westerly right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 euro is trying to build a west based -nap albeit weak, there is higher hgts in greenland and towards baffin island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 And there is stil room for this to change and go a bit more westerly right? yes it has a good bit of room if things align themselves better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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