Allsnow Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 hr 162 major snowstorm from dc-nyc...low bout 100 miles east of the delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 984 low on the BM at hour 168. A gorgeous run for the entire nyc metro. Long Island sees the heaviest precip with ..85 to 1 inch. Nyc about .75 to .85. Less west and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 hr 162 major snowstorm from dc-nyc...low bout 100 miles west of the delmarva I think you mean east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 temps are in the upper 20's for this whole storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 I think you mean east? yes sorry typo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 What a tremendous run. Reminds me a ton of the classic snowstorms..the surface low never gets to the insane pressures that we have been seeing the past few years. Gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 If this setup were to verify, we would actually see over running precip and not just banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 984 low on the BM at hour 168. A gorgeous run for the entire nyc metro. Long Island sees the heaviest precip with ..85 to 1 inch. Nyc about .75 to .85. Less west and north. Sounds good to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 EC DAY 6 & 7: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 This sounds like about as perfect of a solution as we could have gotten. The slower ejection of the southern stream energy is making all the difference. Since the GFS seems to be on its own in terms of a faster ejection it might be playing into its fast bias. Still just one run and a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Essentially you want to lock this in right now because without a true -NAO and poor western ridge setup if you try to slow this down and close off H5 you are going to get an apps runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 What a tremendous run. Reminds me a ton of the classic snowstorms..the surface low never gets to the insane pressures that we have been seeing the past few years. Gorgeous. Dude I am psyched! Really love the overall look. It is funny but should we already be looking past Tuesday? Lot of energy in the base of that trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Sounds good to me... Sounds like Dec and Jan lol... and it gives it a lot more credibility to have the Euro showing it. Maybe the first storm blowing up is what causes this to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Dude I am psyched! Really love the overall look. It is funny but should we already be looking past Tuesday? Lot of energy in the base of that trough. Probably because this is the one with the most potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Dude I am psyched! Really love the overall look. It is funny but should we already be looking past Tuesday? Lot of energy in the base of that trough. Not in the least....That storm has major implications on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 162 mod to heavy snow into NYC. Long Island really getting pounded. Very cold solution. temps are in the upper 20's for this whole storm... On the Euro, is this a quick pounder or a long duration event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Not in the least....That storm has major implications on this one It's our block to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Sounds like Dec and Jan lol... and it gives it a lot more credibility to have the Euro showing it. Maybe the first storm blowing up is what causes this to happen. Yes the first storm IS our monster 50-50 Low, which holds the confluence at bay for us to stable it.. Alex, you might recall the January 3, 1996 storm that became our huge 50-50 Low for the 7-8th snowstorm. IF that 50-50 wasn't there, there would be no Blizz of 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 It snows from 150 to to just shy of 174 its light over running to start before the coastal and banding takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Yes the first storm IS our monster 50-50 Low, which holds the confluence at bay for us to stable it.. Alex, you might recall the January 3, 1996 storm that became our huge 50-50 Low for the 7-8th snowstorm. IF that 50-50 wasn't there, there would be no Blizz of 96. I like the look of this storm and it looks like our pattern changes for a week or 10 days as Don S thaw happens, so this should be a nice way to go into that, while we wait for the pattern to reload Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 It snows from 150 to to just shy of 174 its light over running to start before the coastal and banding takes over. If we got that good over running out ahead of the main system this would be quite epic if it were to verify. This run was a step towards greatness no doubt about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I like the look of this storm and it looks like our pattern changes for a week or 10 days as Don S thaw happens, so this should be a nice way to go into that, while we wait for the pattern to reload Well, you typically need a big storm in order to get pattern change right? What the pattern would change to remains to be seen. Temps in the 30's at this point would feel like a heat wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I'm dying to know what DT is saying about these latest Euro runs. I don't have access to his facebook from work. Anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 DT Favoring an inland track with rain for the cities....says euro and gfs are wrong and ggem is right. I think he's nuts to not at least think it's a possibility that dr no and the gfs in relative agreement of a more southeastern track could be correct but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 It's easy to get excited when the Euro shows such a pretty solution but we still have such a long way to go. Would have been nice to see what a better positioned PV as indicated by the 12z GFS would have looked like with a slower moving southern stream such as the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I wouldn't worry what DT thinks it changes every model run. This storm has legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 DT Favoring an inland track with rain for the cities....says euro and gfs are wrong and ggem is right. I think he's nuts to not at least think it's a possibility that dr no and the gfs in relative agreement of a more southeastern track could be correct but who knows He's been honking a Midwest-centered remainder of the winter, so obviously for that call to be right he wants the low to track inland and be an apps runner at least. For all we know he could be right. If we see an early phase and more consolidated energy diving into the trough, we can easily see such a track. There's not sufficient blocking to hold the cold air in by itself, so with a bad storm track we could get roaring southerly winds and rain. It's really luck of the draw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 DT Favoring an inland track with rain for the cities....says euro and gfs are wrong and ggem is right. I think he's nuts to not at least think it's a possibility that dr no and the gfs in relative agreement of a more southeastern track could be correct but who knows Wow interesting thanks. That might be the first time I've ever heard him say that the Euro was wrong!! ha ha ha All kidding aside, what he is saying might very well be true, but at this point of the game, anything is a possibility imo. THINK SNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 DT Favoring an inland track with rain for the cities....says euro and gfs are wrong and ggem is right. I think he's nuts to not at least think it's a possibility that dr no and the gfs in relative agreement of a more southeastern track could be correct but who knows Disregard EURO and GFS in favor of the GEM.....Doesn't sound like the best decision. With that being said, I'm sure we'll see MANY more solutions leading up to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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